Manchester City vs Aston Villa Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

Last Updated: Jul 13, 2022

This Premier League season is coming to an end and Manchester City (28W-3L-6D; 90 points), currently leading the league, will host Aston Villa (13W-18L-6D; 45 points), who are in 14th place in the league. The match gets underway at 4:00 pm BST on Sunday at Etihad Stadium. MCFC will have the home advantage and have had 15 wins in the last 20 matches. Meanwhile, Villans have had five losses in the most recent nine matches and will maximize every opportunity in front of them.

Manchester City and Aston Villa played versus each other in the first half of the season on December 1, 2021 and that match ended in a 1-2 win for the Villa. Manchester City has a recent 4-5-1 record against Aston Villa. Citizens have outscored Lions across these head-to-head matches, scoring 28 goals to their six.

Manchester City vs Aston Villa Prediction

The bookmakers are in no doubt about who will win this game. FanDuel have the Manchester City as big favorites with odds of -650, while the Aston Villa are +1600. 4 total goals are predicted.

Defending champion Manchester City head into this game leading the league presently having a record of 28 wins, three losses and six draws in 37 matches. The squad has had 15 wins in the most recent twenty matches. In total, they’ve scored 96 goals. This has predominantly been thanks to the abilities of Kevin De Bruyne, who has nine goals, and Raheem Sterling who has six. They’ve conceded 24. In their last match of the season, Cityzens broke even with West Ham.

Aston Villa have a tally of 45 points so far this campaign and will continue to give it their all. They drew against Crystal Palace 1-1 last Sunday. The team has had five losses in the last nine matches and to date, they’ve managed 13 wins, 18 losses and six draws. When they have managed to win, it’s likely been due to the efforts undertaken by Ollie Watkins and Philippe Coutinho. Can the pair steer Claret & Blue Army to a win here?

The latest squad news is that Manchester City will be without Kyle Walker, Ruben Dias and John Stones. Aston Villa will be missing Ezri Konsa, Kortney Hause and Leon Bailey.

Sportsbook Play of the Day

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Moneyline Pick: Manchester City (-650) at FanDuel

MCFC are considered to be the favorite according to the market. The club has been having a productive beginning to the month with a recent win percentage that’s been delicated. In contrast Villans have a win percentage that’s been very paltry.

Manchester City vs Aston Villa Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Manchester City (-650), Aston Villa (+1600)
  • Spread: Manchester City -2.5 (+121), Aston Villa 2.5 (-153)
  • Over/Under: Under 3.5 Goals (-150), Over 3.5 Goals (+110)

Our lines comparison feature allows you to view the best betting odds quickly and easily.

Manchester City vs Aston Villa Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: Manchester City 6-0-4, Aston Villa 2-4-4
  • Home/Road Split: Manchester City (28-3-6), Aston Villa (13-18-6)
  • Head-To-Head: Manchester City’s record is 4-5-1 in their last 47 matches against the Aston Villa
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 3.5 Total Goals (-150) at BetMGM

Citizens have averaged 1.6 goals per game over their last 10 matches. By comparison, Lions have averaged 1.75 goals per game up through now this month.

Spread Pick: Manchester City -2.5 Goals (+121) at DraftKings

The selected team must win by the amount of the spread or more in order for the bet to win.


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