Aston Villa vs Liverpool Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

Last Updated: Jul 13, 2022

It’s an 8:00 pm BST kick-off at Villa Park on Tuesday as Aston Villa (13-17-4; 43 points), currently in 11th place in the league, host Liverpool (25-2-8; 83 points), who are currently in a Champions League position. Villans, who have recently won back-to-back, will have the home advantage for this match.

Aston Villa and Liverpool last encountered each other in December 11, 2021 and the match ended in a 1-0 win for The Villa. Lions have a record of 7-3-0 in their last 10 matches against Liverpool. Lions have scored 19 goals across these head-to-head matches compared to Reds’ 23.

Aston Villa vs Liverpool Prediction

FanDuel have the Aston Villa as +600 outsiders heading into this match while the Liverpool are strong favorites at odds of -230. A total of 2 goals are predicted.

With a record of 13 wins, 17 losses and four draws after 34 games, Aston Villa come into this game in 11th place in the league. The team hasn’t lost back-to-back, bagging a total of 47 goals so far while conceding 47. This has generally been due to the efforts of Philippe Coutinho, who has four goals, and Jacob Ramsey who has four. In their last game they fell to Burnley 1-3.

Liverpool heads into this match with 83 points. They are in 2nd place in the league and their record right now has seen them pick up 25 wins, two losses and eight draws over the course of 35 matches. The team has had 13 wins in the most recent fifteen matches and they have scored a total of 87 goals so far, conceding 23. Their top players Sadio Mane and Diogo Jota have scored five and five respectively. In their most recent match on Saturday, Reds dropped points against Tottenham 1-1.

The latest squad news is that Aston Villa will be without Kortney Hause and Leon Bailey. Liverpool have not ruled out any players.

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Moneyline Pick: Liverpool (-230) at FanDuel

Reds are considered to be the favorite according to the market. The club has been having a productive beginning to the month with a recent win percentage not working. In contrast Villans have a win percentage of 40% in their last 10 games (four wins, four losses and two draws).

Aston Villa vs Liverpool Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Liverpool (-230), Aston Villa (+600)
  • Spread: Liverpool -1.5 (+120), Aston Villa 1.5 (-153)
  • Over/Under: Under 2.5 Goals (+120), Over 2.5 Goals (-175)

Our lines comparison feature allows you to view the best betting odds quickly and easily.

Aston Villa vs Liverpool Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: Aston Villa 4-4-2, Liverpool 6-0-4
  • Home/Road Split: Aston Villa (13-17-4), Liverpool (25-2-8)
  • Head-To-Head: Aston Villa’s record is 7-3-0 in their last 10 matches against the Liverpool
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 2.5 Total Goals (+120) at BetMGM

Lions have averaged 1.3 goals per game over their last 10 matches. By comparison, Reds have recorded an average of 0.8 goals per game over their last 10 matches.

Spread Pick: Liverpool -1.5 Goals (+120) at FOX Bet

For the bet to be a winner, Liverpool must win by the amount of the spread or more.


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