Burnley vs Aston Villa Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

Last Updated: Jul 13, 2022

Currently in 17th place in the league, Burnley (7-14-13; 34 points) host Aston Villa (12-17-4; 40 points), currently in 14th place in the league, at Turf Moor on Saturday. Kick off is at 3:00 pm BST. Clarets, who have had a varying degree of wins and failures lately, head into this match with vital home advantage.

Burnley and Aston Villa last met each other in January 27, 2021 and the match resulted in a 3-2 win for The Clarets. Clarets have a record of 4-2-4 in their last 10 matches against Aston Villa. Clarets’ total goals across these head-to-head games is 12 compared to Lions’ 16.

Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction

FanDuel have the Aston Villa as strong favorites going into this match with odds of +140, while the Burnley are +200 outsiders. 2 total goals are predicted.

With a record of seven wins, 14 losses and 13 draws after 34 games, Burnley come into this clash in 17th place in the league. The team has had some painful losses and thrilling wins recently, bagging a total of 31 goals so far while conceding 46. This has mostly been thanks, in many ways, to the performances by Josh Brownhill, who has two goals, and Wout Weghorst who has two. In their last game they suffered a defeat at the hands of Watford 1-2.

Aston Villa have a tally of 40 points so far this campaign and will continue to give it their all. They defeated Norwich City 2-0 last Saturday. The squad has had 10 losses in the latest twenty matches and to date, they’ve managed 12 wins, 17 losses and four draws. When Claret & Blue Army have achieved success, it’s likely been thanks to the efforts undertaken by Ollie Watkins and Philippe Coutinho. Can the pair guideClaret & Blue Army to a win here?

The latest squad news is that Burnley will be missing Ben Mee, Johann Gudmundsson, Ashley Westwood, Maxwel Cornet and Erik Pieters. Aston Villa will be missing Kortney Hause and Leon Bailey.

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Moneyline Pick: Aston Villa (+140) at FanDuel

Villans are the favorite team according to the betting market. The club is hoping that this month looks better than the last; they come into this matchup with a recent win percentage of 20% (one win, two losses and two draws). In comparison, Clarets have a win percentage of 57.14% (four wins, two losses and one draw).

Burnley vs Aston Villa Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Aston Villa (+140), Burnley (+200)
  • Spread: Aston Villa -0.5 (+137), Burnley 0.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under: Under 2.5 Goals (-140), Over 2.5 Goals (+100)

Check out all the best betting odds with our lines comparison feature.

Burnley vs Aston Villa Betting Trends

  • Win-Loss record last 10 games: Burnley 4-4-2, Aston Villa 4-4-2
  • Home/Road Splits: Burnley (7-14-13), Aston Villa (12-17-4)
  • Head-To-Head: Burnley’s record is 4-2-4 in their last 10 matches against the Aston Villa
  • Type of Match: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 2.5 Total Goals (-140) at BetMGM

Clarets averaged 1.0 goals per game last month. Lions recorded an average of 1.0 goals per game last month in comparison.

Spread Pick: Aston Villa -0.5 Goals (+137) at Caesars

For the bet to be a winner, Aston Villa must win by the amount of the spread or more.


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