Arsenal vs Leeds Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

Last Updated: Jul 13, 2022

It’s a 2:00 pm BST kick-off at Emirates Stadium on Sunday as Arsenal (20-11-3; 63 points), currently in a Champions League position, host Leeds (8-16-10; 34 points), who are in 16th place in the league. Gunners, who have had 13 wins in the last nineteen matches, will have the home advantage for this clash.

Arsenal and Leeds last clashed with each other in December 18, 2021 and the match ended in a 1-4 win for The Whites. Gunners have a record of 5-3-2 in their last 10 matches against Leeds. Gunners have outscored Whites across these head-to-head matches, scoring 25 goals to their six.

Arsenal vs Leeds Prediction

FanDuel have the Leeds as +550 outsiders heading into this match while the Arsenal are strong favorites at odds of -240. A total of 4 goals are predicted.

Arsenal head into this game in a Champions League position with a record of 20 wins, 11 losses and three draws over 34 games. The club has had 13 wins in the most recent nineteen matches and have netted a total of 54 goals while conceding 41. This has largely been because of the accomplishments of Bukayo Saka, who has five goals, and Gabriel Magalhaes who has two. In their most recent match, The Gunners fell against West Ham 1-2.

Leeds come into this game in 16th place in the league having secured eight wins, 16 losses and 10 draws in their previous 34 matches. The squad has had 11 losses in the last nineteen matches and have scored a total of 38 so far, conceding 72 goals. This has mostly been because of the ambition displayed by Jack Harrison, who has six goals, and Rodrigo Moreno who has four. In their most recent match, Whites fell to Manchester City 0-4.

Heading into this match, Arsenal will be missing Kieran Tierney and Thomas Partey. Leeds will be without Adam Forshaw, Patrick Bamford, Tyler Roberts, Stuart Dallas and Crysencio Summerville.

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Moneyline Pick: Arsenal (-240) at FanDuel

Gunners are considered to be the favorite according to the market. The club has been having a good beginning to the month with a recent win percentage not working. In contrast Whites have a win percentage of 20% (one win, one loss and three draws).

Arsenal vs Leeds Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Arsenal (-240), Leeds (+550)
  • Spread: Arsenal -1.5 (+117), Leeds 1.5 (-149)
  • Over/Under: Under 3.5 Goals (-175), Over 3.5 Goals (+125)

You can find the best betting odds with our lines comparison feature.

Arsenal vs Leeds Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: Arsenal 6-4-0, Leeds 3-4-3
  • Home/Road Split: Arsenal (20-11-3), Leeds (8-16-10)
  • Head-To-Head: Arsenal’s record is 5-3-2 in their last 5 matches against the Leeds
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 3.5 Total Goals (-175) at BetMGM

Gunners have recorded an average of 1.5 goals per game over their last 10 matches. By comparison, Whites averaged 1.6 goals per game last month.

Spread Pick: Arsenal -1.5 Goals (+117) at Betfred

For the bet to be a winner, Arsenal must win by the amount of the spread or more.


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