Heading into this Divisional Round contest between the Tennessee Titans and Cincinnati Bengals, there is very little chatter surrounding the No. 1 seed Titans.
Instead, an emphasis has been put on the up-and-coming Bengals, headlined by quarterback Joe Burrow.
What does this mean for a Same Game Parlay wager, though?
Here, we will look at a parlay that offers substantial value to you, but be prepared to take a bit of a risk. Let’s dive in.
Bengals vs Titans Same Game Parlay (+387)
Wager: 0.5 Units
- Bengals Moneyline (+155)
- Over 47 Total Points (-110)
Please note that all NFL gameday odds are current as of 3 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 19.
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Bengals Moneyline (+155) at Caesars
The first leg of this parlay, in which I’d advise wagering half of a unit, is taking the Bengals on the moneyline.
I know this is going directly against my premise of no one talking about the Titans, but that is why the unit wager here is lower.
Make no mistake, the Titans are an excellent football team and running back Derrick Henry is expected to be in the lineup after he passed a contact practice test.
The Titans also have an impressive defense compared to their pre-season expectations, ranking 11th overall according to PFF and finishing the season 10th, 15th, 27th, and 6th in run defense, tackling, pass rush, and coverage, respectively.
For a pass-rushing unit to rank that low and for the coverage unit to still remain strong further illustrates how great the Tennessee secondary and coverage units have been.
However, the top-three cornerbacks on the team, Kristian Fulton, Janoris “Jackrabbit" Jenkins, and Elijah Molden have all played relatively poorly as of late.
Only Molden, a nickel corner, posted a PFF grade of 64 or higher in either of the Titans’ previous two games, earning a 74.2 overall and 84.2 coverage grade in a Week 17 victory against the Miami Dolphins.
The Titans are a team that likes to play man coverage, but heading into this game against the Bengals receivers and playmakers, that will need to change in a hurry.
As is, there is not a single cornerback on the Titans roster that matches up well with any of the Bengals talented wide receivers, including Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Tyler Boyd. Tennessee safeties Kevin Byard and Malik Hooker will need to step up in a big way.
- Check out more NFL Divisional Round Parlays
On the pass rush side, the Titans rank 27th in the league but do possess two guys inside the top 15 in total pressures in Harold Landry (64) and Denico Autry (61), however, neither ranks higher than 40th in terms of PFF pass-rushing grade.
Going up against the Bengals offensive line, the success that Landry and Autry have had will need to show up as Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow is virtually unstoppable when he is kept clean.
Burrow completed over 74 percent of his passes from a clean pocket, throwing for 3,645 of his 4,855 yards, 26 touchdowns, and eight interceptions.
The key to slowing down Burrow will be generating a pass rush. When pressured, Burrow completed less than 60 percent of his passes, had a 10:6 touchdown to interception ratio, and posted a PFF grade of 65.4.
With the number of weapons the Bengals have going up against a Titans defense that has been successful, but can be beaten, expect a high-scoring Bengals victory in Nashville.
Check out more of our Bengals vs Titans betting tips:
Over 47 Total Points (-110) at Caesars
Starting in the trenches, it’s quite an interesting battle.
The Titans are solid all across the offensive line with no one having a PFF grade lower than 69.1. However, the Bengals have a great pass rusher in Trey Hendrickson and have D.J. Reader in the middle, who will pose a problem.
Conversely, the Bengals have bright spots in left tackle Jonah Williams and guard Quinton Spain, but other than that, the entire right side of the offensive line is a liability.
Defensively, the Titans are best at the back end, while the Bengals also have a cornerback in Chidobe Awuzie who ranks 4th in PFF coverage grade amongst all corners with at least 300 coverage snaps.
There are holes in both defenses, and that is where the offenses come in.
We’ve already discussed the Bengals offense with the exception of running back Joe Mixon, but we know they are good to go.
With Derrick Henry back in the lineup and wide receivers Julio Jones and A.J. Brown healthy, the Titans will put up an excellent fight.
The factor here to consider is Bengals head coach Zac Taylor allowing Burrow to “cook" as we saw against the Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs earlier this season.
We saw the Bengals get a bit more conservative against the Raiders and that cannot happen against the Titans.
I’m taking the Over here as I do not foresee the Bengals playing conservatively.