We essentially broke even on Wild Card week, hitting one of three parlays. The Arizona Cardinals and Pittsburgh Steelers let us down, as they were the only losing plays in our other two parlays. It could have been a big week.
Let’s dive in to find my favorite parlay bets for Divisional Round week in the NFL.
Please note that all NFL gameday odds are courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook and are current as of 10:30 p.m. ET on Monday, January 17.
Best NFL Parlay Divisional Round
NFL Divisional Round Top Parlay Picks
Wager: 2 Units To Win 11.36 Units (+568) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Cincinnati Bengals +3.5 Point Spread (-120) at Tennessee Titans
- Green Bay Packers -5.5 Point Spread (-110) vs. San Francisco 49ers
- Buffalo Bills +2.5 Point Spread (-110) at Kansas City Chiefs
Cincinnati Bengals +3.5 Point Spread (-120) at Tennessee Titans
There’s one simple reason to take the Cincinnati Bengals as 3.5-point road underdogs against the Tennessee Titans: Joe Burrow. The second-year quarterback is rolling right now, completing over 70 percent of his passes with 10 touchdowns and zero interceptions in his last three games.
The Bengals offense has really started to take off with Burrow airing it out to his stacked supporting cast that includes Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Joe Mixon.
Cincinnati has the clear-cut advantage at quarterback with Burrow over Ryan Tannehill. I love getting the hook on the three points, which means that if the Bengals lose by a field goal, we still win this NFL bet of the day.
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Green Bay Packers -5.5 Point Spread (-110) vs. San Francisco 49ers
I understand that Kyle Shanahan and the San Francisco 49ers have given the Green Bay Packers fits in the playoffs, most notably in their last meeting two years ago, where Raheem Mostert ran all over this defense. However, that game was in San Francisco and Jimmy Garoppolo attempted eight passes.
This time around, we have a better Packers team and the matchup is in Green Bay. I have a tough time seeing Garoppolo going into Lambeau Field and winning on the road. While he’s been an efficient quarterback this season, he sometimes struggles when he needs to air it out.
San Francisco will need to get their passing game going to keep pace with Aaron Rodgers and this highly efficient Packers offense. I think that Green Bay will avenge their last playoff loss with a win by seven or more points. I love getting them at less than a touchdown here.
Buffalo Bills +2.5 Point Spread (-110) at Kansas City Chiefs
When these two teams met in Week 5 at Arrowhead, the Buffalo Bills won 38-20. The Bills have the perfect formula to knock off the Chiefs. They have a comparable offense led by one of the best quarterbacks in football in Josh Allen. They also have an elite pass defense that ranked No.1 in Pass DVOA.
While Patrick Mahomes is rolling right now, the Bills are peaking at the right time, coming off a blowout win over the New England Patriots. Buffalo has finally found a running game, handing the reins to Devin Singletary, who has combined for 279 rushing yards in his last three games.
The Bills are only 2.5-point underdogs for a good reason. This tells us that oddsmakers think that the Bills are the better team here since homefield advantage usually assures three points.
Check out more of our NFL Divisional Round betting tips:
NFL Divisional Round Longshot Parlay Prediction
Wager: 1 Unit To Win 4.38 Units (+438) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Cincinnati Bengals Moneyline (+140) at Tennessee Titans
- Buffalo Bills Moneyline (+170) at Kansas City Chiefs
Cincinnati Bengals Moneyline (+140) at Tennessee Titans
The Bengals have a legit chance at winning this game outright, so we’ll add them to a parlay. The Titans are finally a bit healthier with the pending return of Derrick Henry, but Ryan Tannehill hasn’t instilled confidence this season.
Tannehill averaged only 219.6 yards per game and seven yards per attempt. He’s devolved into a complete game manager. If this red-hot Bengals offense jumps out to an early lead, I’m not sure that the Titans’ passing game is good enough to keep pace.
I like the value at +140 on the team with the better quarterback and offense here.
Buffalo Bills Moneyline (+115) at Kansas City Chiefs
We’ll also add the Bills to win outright because they’re the more well-rounded team. The Chiefs come in red-hot, winners of 10 of their last 11 games, but they haven’t faced a team like the Bills during that stretch.
Kansas City’s only loss came to the Bengals, while they racked up most of their wins against average to weak competition like the Steelers (twice), Raiders (twice), Broncos (twice), Cowboys, Chargers, Giants, and Packers (with Jordan Love).
This should be a close game, but I’ll take the team with the better defense and comparable quarterback at plus money.
Same Game Parlay Picks NFL Divisional Round
Wager: 2 Units to win 3.94 Units (+310) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Buffalo Bills (+115) Moneyline & Total Points Under 55
The Bills are my pick to win the Super Bowl, so I’ll throw them in a third parlay because of how much I love the value on them at plus money.
We’ve seen the Chiefs’ offense struggle at times this season, especially against this Bills defense. Patrick Mahomes averaged only five yards per attempt in their 38-20 loss earlier in the season. If Buffalo is able to win outright, I believe that it’ll be because of their pass defense slowing down Mahomes once again.
This is why I’ll add the Bills moneyline to a parlay with the Under. They are correlated plays. If Buffalo wins, the Under is likely to hit as well, since their defense will have done its job.
Frank Ammirante’s 2021 NFL Parlay Betting Record: 10-47, +13.71 Units