NFL Player Prop Bets Divisional Round Playoffs | Props For Aaron Rodgers, Patrick Mahomes, & More Predictions

Welcome to the Divisional Round.

We’re officially at the point of the season where our game options are going to start dwindling by the week. However, we have four amazing matchups to sift through this weekend — with two games I’m especially targeting.

With a trip to the Conference Championship games on the line, this weekend is setting up to be even wilder than last week.

Let’s dig in and find some of the best player prop bets to make for the Divisional Round.

All NFL gameday odds for NFL Divisional Round player prop bets are current as of 12 p.m. ET on Friday, January 21.

Titans vs Bengals Player Props

Ja’Marr Chase OVER 76.5 Receiving Yards (-120) at Caesars

Wager: 1 Unit

Ja’Marr Chase‘s regular-season production has him positioned to win Offensive Rookie of the Year, and he hasn’t slowed down as he’s entered the playoffs. Chase has topped 100 receiving yards in three of his last four games and has seen double-digit targets in three of those four as well.

He also gets to face a Titans team that is stout against the run but abysmal against the pass. They’ve allowed the second-most receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts this year.

With the Bengals likely having to rely on the pass this weekend, Chase is well-positioned to put up 77-plus receiving yards.

Player Prop

-120

Ja'Marr Chase: OVER 76.5 Rec Yds @ Titans

CIN @ TEN | 01/22, 5:30 PM ET

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Best NFL Player Prop Bets to Make for NFL Divisional Round

Check out the best player prop bets this week with our props comparison tool, including projections to help you make the best decisions.

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Ryan Tannehill UNDER 237.5 Passing Yards (+105) at Caesars

Wager: 1 Unit

Ryan Tannehill has had a strange season. The Titans have dealt with a myriad of injuries around him, and his numbers have taken a hit because of it.

He’ll get some weapons back this weekend in the form of A.J. Brown and Derrick Henry, but the return of Henry doesn’t mean great things for Tannehill’s passing numbers.

While he’ll get to face a bad Bengals secondary that has allowed almost 264 passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks, Tannehill has only thrown for more than 237.5 yards once in his last six games.

With the Titans likely trying to get Henry more involved this week, Tannehill probably won’t see enough attempts to get him to this total.

Player Prop

+105

Ryan Tannehill: UNDER 237.5 Passing Yards vs Bengals

CIN @ TEN | 01/22, 5:30 PM ET

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Bet $20, Payout $41

Packers vs 49ers Player Props

Jimmy Garoppolo OVER 228.5 Passing Yards (+105) at Caesars

Wager: 1 Unit

Jimmy Garoppolo has become an easy target amongst NFL fans, but the guy still produces.

Aside from last week’s game where he only threw the ball 25 times, Jimmy G has gone over 290 yards in four of his last six games.

He’ll face a tough Packers defense this week, but one that still allowed over 230 passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks during the regular season.

With the 49ers likely playing from behind and having to throw the ball more than last week, I like the Over in this spot.

Player Prop

+105

Jimmy Garoppolo: OVER 228.5 Passing Yards @ Packers

SF @ GB | 01/22, 9:15 PM ET

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Bet $20, Payout $41

Eli Mitchell UNDER 80.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at Caesars

Wager: 1 Unit

Eli Mitchell had an underrated regular season, but he’s in a tight spot in regards to this prop this weekend.

The first problem he faces is that the Packers have a stout run defense that limited opposing running backs to just 76.6 rushing yards per game this season (sixth-best in the league).

The second problem he faces is that the 49ers have (effectively) been working Deebo Samuel into their rushing attack, and he’s taken at least seven carries away from Mitchell in each of San Francisco’s last three games, including 10 last week.

The third problem he faces is that the 49ers are likely going to be playing from behind and having to rely on their passing attack. Combine all those factors together, and I have a tough time seeing how Mitchell tops 80.5 rushing yards this weekend.

Player Prop

-115

Eli Mitchell: UNDER 80.5 Rushing Yards @ Packers

SF @ GB | 01/22, 9:15 PM ET

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Bet $20, Payout $37

Tom Brady, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

After dismantling the Philadelphia Eagles in the Wild Card Round, Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers look poised for a strong outing against the Los Angeles Rams. (Image: USA TODAY Sports)


Buccaneers vs Rams Player Props

Tom Brady OVER 293.5 Passing Yards (-115) at Caesars

Wager: 1 Unit

I don’t love the high total here, but I’m never going to go against the GOAT in the playoffs. Especially after he threw for over 5,300 passing yards during the regular season.

Tom Brady is going to have to throw the ball quite a bit this weekend to keep up with the Rams’ high-powered offense, but he should be able to move the ball against their lackluster secondary like he did in Week 3 when he threw for 432 yards.

Player Prop

-115

Tom Brady: OVER 293.5 Passing Yards vs Rams

LA @ TB | 01/23, 4:00 PM ET

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Bet $20, Payout $37

Odell Beckham Jr. OVER 46.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at Caesars

Wager: 1 Unit

It’s not easy to figure out where the Rams are going to distribute targets outside of Cooper Kupp, but Odell Beckham Jr. seems to be earning Matthew Stafford‘s trust.

OBJ has seen 24 targets over the Rams’ last four games and is coming off a four-reception, 54-yard game against the Cardinals last week.

With the Rams likely having to rely on their passing attack to keep up with Tom Brady this weekend, Beckham Jr. should see plenty of opportunities to top this relatively low total against a Buccaneers secondary that ranked in the bottom-half of the league in terms of yardage allowed to opposing receivers each week.

Player Prop

-115

Odell Beckham Jr.: OVER 46.5 Receiving Yards @ Buccaneers

LA @ TB | 01/23, 4:00 PM ET

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Chiefs vs Bills Player Props

Gabriel Davis OVER 30.5 Receiving Yards (-110) at Caesars

Wager: 1 Unit

Gabriel Davis has come on in a big way. Over his last five games, he’s averaged seven targets and 49.5 receiving yards per game and has topped 30.5 receiving yards in each.

With the Bills likely having to throw the ball to keep up with Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs this weekend, Davis should have plenty of opportunities to top this low total against a Kansas City secondary that finished in the middle of the pack in terms of yardage allowed to opposing wide receivers this season.

Player Prop

-110

Gabriel Davis: OVER 30.5 Receiving Yards @ Chiefs

BUF @ KC | 01/23, 7:30 PM ET

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Bet $20, Payout $38

Patrick Mahomes OVER 24.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at Caesars

Wager: 0.5 Units

Patrick Mahomes isn’t exactly Lamar Jackson in terms of looking to run, but the man knows how to pick his spots and can gobble up yards in a hurry.

Mahomes has run the ball at least three times in six of his last eight games and has topped 24.5 rushing yards in each of his last three heading into this week.

I’m going to drop my confidence down to a half-unit here because quarterback rushing props are always a bit of a dart throw, but Mahomes could easily top this total on one long scramble.

Player Prop

-115

Patrick Mahomes: OVER 24.5 Rushing Yards vs Bills

BUF @ KC | 01/23, 7:30 PM ET

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Check out more of our NFL Divisional Round Betting Tips


Top NFL Divisional Round Player Props

Aaron Rodgers OVER 261.5 Passing Yards (-115) at Caesars

Wager: 2 Units

Aaron Rodgers is probably two weeks away from winning another MVP trophy after throwing for 4,115 passing yards this season.

He’s topped this total in six of his past eight games (it would have been seven of eight if he didn’t leave Week 18’s meaningless game early) and will likely come out throwing this weekend as the Packers look to avoid the 49ers’ stout run defense.

Their pass defense isn’t horrible either, but the Packers are going to have to do their damage through the air if they want to host the NFC Championship game.

Player Prop

-115

Aaron Rodgers: OVER 261.5 Passing Yards vs 49ers

SF @ GB | 01/22, 9:15 PM ET

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Patrick Mahomes OVER 281.5 Passing Yards (-115) at Caesars

Wager: 2 Units

I’ll be honest in saying this total is higher than I’d like it to be. And I don’t love Mahomes’ matchup here either.

Then again, it’s Patrick Mahomes.

Despite struggling through a strange up-and-down season, Mahomes still threw for over 4,800 yards, including three games over 400 yards in his last nine.

With the Chiefs banged-up at running back, they’re going to have to rely on Mahomes’ arm to carry them to the AFC Championship game. And I think he’s going to have to go over 300 passing yards to do that.

Player Prop

-115

Patrick Mahomes: OVER 281.5 Pass Yds vs Bills

BUF @ KC | 01/23, 7:30 PM ET

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Bet $20, Payout $37

Nick’s 2021-22 NFL Playoffs Props Betting Record: 2-7, -4.5 Units

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NBA Betting News

  • Celtics +300 to win NBA Title

    The Boston Celtics are +300 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The Celtics are +300 ahead of their home date with the Warriors for Game 6. We will see a considerable odds shift if the Celtics can win Game 6 on their homecourt. Boston was +310 after Game 5.

  • Celtics vs. Warriors over/under listed at 210

    The over/under for Game 6 of the NBA Finals between the Boston Celtics and the Golden State Warriors is listed at 210, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The total for this contest sits at 210, down from the 210.5 it opened at. 60 percent of the public action has come on the over.

  • Warriors -400 to win NBA Championship

    The Golden State Warriors are -400 to win the NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    Golden State now sits at a prohibitive -400 to win the NBA Championship. For comparison, Stephen Curry MVP is -360. Andrew Wiggins, the dark horse to steal the award with a big close-out game, sits at +2000.

  • Celtics +310 to win NBA Championship

    The Boston Celtics are +310 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The Celtics peaked as high as high as -230 prior to Game 3 and now sit at an attractive +310. Boston entered the season at +4000. The odds could swing wildly again if Boston wins Game 6.

  • Warriors vs. Celtics over/under listed at 210.5

    The over/under for Game 5 of the NBA Finals between the Golden State Warriors and the Boston Celtics is listed at 210.5, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The total for this contest sits at 210.5, down from the 212.5 it opened at. 72 percent of the public action has come on the over.