Monday Night Football Predictions Week 16 | MNF Picks & Dolphins vs Saints Best Bets

A few weeks ago, this game looked like it would be one of the worst of the year on Monday Night Football. But all of a sudden, this game has significant playoff implications for both teams. A loss for each side would essentially end their playoff hopes, but a win might up them in the driver’s seat for a Wild Card berth.

The Dolphins have won six straight games and have finally reached .500. However, they’ve beaten a lot of bad teams during that stretch and will now close the season against the Saints, Tennessee Titans, and New England Patriots.

Meanwhile, the Saints have won their last two games with Taysom Hill under center. But the story has been their defense. They’ve allowed a total of nine points in their last two games, including shutting out Tom Brady and the Buccaneers in Tampa Bay. However, Hill will be out in Week 16 due to COVID-19 and rookie Ian Book is slated to get the start.

So can the Saints get a third straight win and improve to 8-7, or will the Dolphins extend their winning streak to seven and stay alive in the AFC playoff picture?

Let’s dive into our Week 16 preview and the best bets for this Monday Night Football matchup.

Please note that all NFL Week 16 MNF odds and lines are current as of 1 p.m. EST on Monday, December 20.

Monday Night Football Prediction Week 16

Over the last two months, these have been two of the best defenses in the NFL. They both can get big stops when needed and are powered by elite secondaries. So the biggest question in this game is which offense do you trust more?

Taysom Hill has averaged just 6.6 yards per attempt in his three starts and has four interceptions to just two touchdowns. The offense for the Saints just can’t sustain any drives, and they lack big plays.

But Hill won’t even be available in Week 16 and they will turn to fourth-round pick Ian Book, who will start his first game in the NFL. It’s really hard to see how the offense will put up a lot of points.


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Meanwhile, Tua Tagovailoa has seen his adjusted yards per attempt drop in five-straight games and had maybe his worst game of the season against the New York Jets. Not having Jaylen Waddle hurt, but the fact is he didn’t play well.

However, given that the Saints are home and their defense has been so good as of late, it’s hard not to pick them to win here. The offense probably only needs 17 points to win and expect Sean Payton to open up his bag of tricks to put some points on the board.

Take the Saints to win a low-scoring game in New Orleans in Week 16.

NFL Week 16 MNF Prediction: Saints 17, Dolphins 14


Monday Night Football Best Bets Week 16

MNF Best Bet: Saints +2.5 (-110) at TwinSpires

Wager: 1 Unit

This is a tough spread because neither offense is capable of pulling away from the other. Everything points to this game being a one-score contest that likely comes down to the final drive or two.

However, the Saints’ defense has created a ton of turnovers over the last few weeks, and they should be able to overwhelm Tagovailoa in this one. It would be a shock if the Dolphins had any success running the ball, even with their running backs returning to the field after missing last week due to COVID-19.

Expect the Saints to get a close win here on Monday Night Football in our NFL bet of the day.

spread

-110

Saints To Cover +2.5 Spread vs Dolphins

MIA @ NO | 12/27, 8:15 PM ET

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MNF Best Bet: Under 37.5 Total Points (-110) at TwinSpires

Wager: 1 Unit

You’ve got to be crazy here to bet the Over with any kind of confidence. These are two of the best defenses in the NFL going up against two of the worst offenses. It will be quite the shock if either team gets to 21 points.

The smart play here is to take the Under. The only way the Over hits is if a bunch of turnovers are returned for touchdowns. Otherwise, it seems very unlikely that either side is going to move the ball with any kind of consistency.

Take the under here with confidence, as this should be another low-scoring game for the Saints and the Dolphins.

over-under

-110

Dolphins @ Saints: Under 37.5 Total Points

MIA @ NO | 12/27, 8:15 PM ET

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Bet $20, Payout $38

Thanks for reading our NFL Week 16 MNF Predictions! For more NFL betting tips, check out our NFL pick of the day.

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NFL Betting News

  • Early money slightly leaning towards the over in the 49ers-Rams matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting good two-way action on the over/under for the NFC Championship Game matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 46 points has attracted 55% of the bets and 60% of the money thus far. Much moreso than the AFC Championship Game, the betting splits on the point spread and total in this game are much more evenly split, so the sportsbook does not have too much liability on either at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Los Angeles's -170 moneyline odds have attracted 60% of the bets and 70% of the money.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early bettors give slight lean to the Rams over the 49ers

    Based on the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook, the favored Los Angeles Rams are getting slightly more betting attention in their matchup with the San Francisco 49ers.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Los Angeles's -3.5 point spread has received 65% of the bets and 61% of the handle thus far. Bettors are clearly torn in this matchup considering the Rams have arguably been playing better football through the first two playoff games, while the 49ers have won six consecutive games against the Rams, including a thrilling Week 18 overtime victory in Los Angeles.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early money more than 4/1 on the over in the Bengals-Chiefs matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's over/under in the matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 54.5 points has attracted 75% of the bets and 85% of the money thus far. At this point, the sportsbook has big liability to the Chiefs point spread and the over in this matchup, as their most ideal scenario would be a Bengals cover in a low-scoring game at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Kansas City's -335 moneyline odds have attracted 58% of the bets and 61% of the money.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • Early money 3/1 on the Chiefs over the Bengals

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs, as the majority of the action is backing the favored Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Kansas City's -7 point spread has received 61% of the bets and 76% of the handle thus far. Cincinnati is shaping up to be the biggest need of any side or any total this weekend, as the public seems to be enamored with the Chiefs after their thrilling Divisional Round win over Buffalo.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • 49ers-Rams over/under reaches lowest number of the week

    After another line movement, the over/under for the NFC Championship matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams has reached its lowest total of the week.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the 49ers-Rams over/under on Sunday night was posted at 47.5 points. It was quickly bet down to 46.5 in less than 24 hours. However, it has once again moved toward the under, and now currently sits at 46 points. Given that there has not yet been buyback on the over, it is extremely unlikely we see the total get back to anywhere close to the 47.5 points it opened at.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page