Sunday Night Football will host quite an important game as the AFC West is wide open right now.
The Chiefs lead the division at 7-4, but the Los Angeles Chargers, Las Vegas Raiders, and Denver Broncos all sit at 6-5.
This week, the Chiefs will take on the Broncos. A loss will mean that the Broncos slide into first place, even if the Raiders and Chargers both win.
Broncos quarterback Teddy Bridgwater is dealing with a leg injury. He was actually forced back into the game thanks to how poorly backup quarterback Drew Lock played.
Can the Broncos overcome the odds? We’ll see, but this game has many prop bets to look at to make some money.
Please note that all NFL gameday odds and lines are current as of 11:00 a.m. ET on Thursday, November 30.
Broncos vs. Chiefs Prop Bets: NFL Week 13 Prop Betting Picks
First Half Spread: Broncos +6 (-115) at Caesars
You’re giving up a bit of juice on this wager, but at +6, this is too good to pass up.
As mentioned, Bridgewater was forced back into the game last week due to Lock’s poor play. However, the running game and Bridgewater working with tight end Noah Fant should be enough to keep the Broncos from being totally inept on offense.
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Defensively, the Broncos are fantastic in coverage and have the players to go back to that shell defense to prevent big plays from the Chiefs.
We’ve seen the Chiefs score 41 recently, but they only put up 19 against the Cowboys, who have a much worse defense than the Broncos.
This could very well be a close call in the first half. Something like 14-10 seems wholly possible.
First Half Total: Over 24 (+100) at Caesars
This is going to come down to the wire. Like I mentioned above, a 14-10 score at the end of the half is definitely in the realm of possibility. What intrigues me about this wager is the +100 line. There is also a scenario in which the Broncos could cover at +6, and this goes over.
Even with a hindered offense, the Broncos still put up 14 against the Chargers in Week 12.
- Read our full NFL Week 13 SNF Predictions & Best Bets.
Again, this running game can assist in keeping games close, and the Chiefs are the fourth-worst graded run defensive unit, per Pro Football Focus.
One way this could go over is the Chiefs managing to score 14 or more. This won’t necessarily be a total indictment of the defense, but the offense could give the Chiefs more possessions than expected.
On the other hand, we could easily see the Broncos put up a couple of field goals and a score with the Chiefs keeping pace or leading.
Again, at +100, this line makes this pick more delectable, though you may have to hold your breath for 30 straight minutes.
Winning Margin: Chiefs 7-12 (+360) at Caesars
Heading into this game, the Chiefs are 10 point favorites. To me, that is just too much. We’ve mentioned a few times already that the Broncos defense has the tools to keep the Chiefs at bay and keep the Broncos in this one.
However, there is going to be a point where the Broncos will have to score something. Considering Bridgewater’s injury status, the Chiefs could easily gameplan to blitz him and try to keep the pressure on him.
While the Chiefs have been terrible against the run, the injury could also mean stacking the box more often than not against Broncos running backs Melvin Gordon and Javonte Williams.
The Chiefs should win this game, but the Broncos’ defense should keep them from covering that 10 number and closer to a touchdown and extra point difference, making this our NFL bet of the day.
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