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Week 11 features a great matchup between the four-win Atlanta Falcons and the visiting 6-4 New England Patriots, one of the hottest teams in football.
These two teams enter Week 11 having been on opposite sides of blowouts last week. The Patriots are coming off a 45-7 win over the Browns at home, while the Falcons are looking to bounce back from a 43-3 loss to the Cowboys.
Let’s dive into the game prop bets for Thursday Night Football.
Please note that all NFL gameday odds and lines are current as of 11:00 a.m. ET on Thursday, November 18.
Patriots vs Falcons Prop Bets: NFL Week 11 Prop Betting Picks
Mac Jones Passing Touchdowns Over 1.5 (-120) at Caesars
Wager: 2 Units
This week, Mac Jones takes on an Atlanta defense that is giving up the third-most passing touchdowns per game. Jones isn’t collecting passing touchdowns galore, but he did throw for three in last week’s win over the Browns.
The Patriots have opened up the offense more to allow Jones to throw downfield, which has worked wonders. Jones just needs two touchdowns to win this bet, and this offense is top-10 in explosive passing plays.
Bank on Jones hitting this prop and make this your NFL bet of the day.
Patriots vs Falcons Game Prop Bets to Make This Week
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Damien Harris Over 52.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at Caesars
Wager: 1 Unit
Damien Harris is back after missing last week’s game due to a concussion. And while Rhamondre Stevenson is certainly one to look out for coming off of a huge performance, the Falcons are giving up the fifth-most rushing yards per game over the last three games with 142.
- Read our full NFL Week 11 TNF predictions and best bets.
The Falcons just do not have a great defense in general, and Harris is a very consistent back that is a terror for teams to try to contain. The Patriots don’t use him much in premium touch situations, but that doesn’t matter because this bet is all about the rushing yards.
Harris has gone over 52.5 rushing yards six times this season, and he should have no problem going over that against one of the worst run defenses he’s seen this year.
Damien Harris should have no problem running the ball against Atlanta, which has struggled against the rush as of late. (Image: USA TODAY Sports)
Patriots -3.5 First Half (-105) at Caesars
Wager: 1 Unit
Over their last three games, the Patriots are scoring more than almost every team in the first half, averaging around 17 points per first half in that span. Meanwhile, the Falcons have gotten off to slow starts and are averaging just over seven points per first half in the last three games.
New England is the better team overall, and even though the Falcons are at home, they average 16.3 when playing in Atlanta versus their surprising 21.5 points per game they average when playing on the road.
All New England has to do is be leading by four at halftime for you to win the bet. With the way they have played and Bill Belichick on a short week taking on a rookie head coach, I like our chances with this one.
Double Result Patriots/Patriots (-150) at Caesars
Wager: 1.25 Units
It’s not that I don’t respect the Falcons, but the Patriots are just the hotter team right now and aren’t coming off a hapless loss.
New England feels primed to dominate this game whether it’s an ugly one or not, and I’m taking the double result here that Mac Jones and the guys lead both the first half and win the game to win this bet.
Thanks for reading our NFL Week 11 Patriots vs Falcons Prop Bets! For more NFL Week 11 betting tips and tipster picks, check out our NFL Week 11 Best Bets and NFL Week 11 Prop Bets.
