Packers vs Vikings Predictions Week 11 | NFL Pick of the Day
Week 11 features fierce NFC North rivals duking it out this weekend as the Green Bay Packers (8-2) head to Minnesota to take on the Vikings (4-5).
The Vikings are coming off of an impressive 27-20 win over the Los Angeles Chargers, while Green Bay just kept Seattle scoreless in Russell Wilson’s first game back.
Both teams are relatively healthy and riding highs. With that in mind, let’s take a look at our Packers vs Vikings predictions and best bets.
Please note that all NFL gameday odds are current as of 12:00 p.m. ET on Friday, November 19.
Packers vs Vikings Prediction
The Packers have won three of the last four meetings between these two bitter rivals and no longer have to worry about starting a backup QB.
While they will be without star running back Aaron Jones for the next week or so, backup A.J. Dillon has emerged as a more than viable replacement despite the criticism he faced early in his career.
What’s most notable about Green Bay is how well its defense has performed this season. The offseason signing of linebacker De’Vondre Campbell has been a home run, while the loss of star corner Jaire Alexander has been mitigated by Kevin King’s breakout season.
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Green Bay is looking like a complete team this season and at 8-2, the Packers are inching closer and closer to a first-round bye in a vulnerable NFC.
Nevertheless, you cannot count out a divisional opponent. We just saw on Monday Night Football what happens when a team enters enemy territory underestimating its opponent. Everyone expected a Rams’ blowout and we were dealt quite the opposite.
Minnesota, despite its flaws, can stay in a game. The loss of star edge rusher Danielle Hunter is not easy hole to fill, but the Vikings are getting safety Harrison Smith back along with center Garrett Bradbury.
Not to mention, star running back Dalvin Cook is getting healthier and healthier each week removed from his high-ankle sprain.
Prediction: Packers 28, Vikings 27
Packers vs Vikings Best Bets
Best Bet: Packers Moneyline (-115) at Caesars
Wager: 1 Unit
The Packers might grab a lead fairly early and try to play keep away without forcing the issue. Assuming that is the case, this game could end up closer than it should have based on the first half, but will be a win for Green Bay nonetheless.
Laying the points with the Packers is appealing since they’re better than the Vikings in a vacuum, but the juice to take the small spread isn’t worth it when you can slide down to the moneyline at just -115.
I’m backing Green Bay as my NFL pick of the day.
Green Bay Packers Moneyline (GB @ MIN, NFL Week 11)
GB @ MIN | 11/21, 1:00 PM ET
Bet $20, Payout $37
Best Bet: Over 47 Total Points (-110) at Caesars
Wager: 2 Units
It would not shock me one bit if this ended up as the highest-scoring game on the slate. Despite divisional matchups typically ending up chippy, these teams can properly attack each other’s weaknesses.
Both have strong run games and bottom-10 rush defenses to go along with alpha wide receivers and hyper-accurate quarterbacks.
Each team being top-12 in DVOA is great, but that might not last after Sunday.
Total Points Over 47 (GB @ MIN, NFL Week 11)
GB @ MIN | 11/21, 1:00 PM ET
Bet $20, Payout $38