We finally hit a parlay last week with the Carolina Panthers, New Orleans Saints, and Washington Football Team each covering the spread to give us a +596 payout.
We also came close to hitting another one, as the Philadelphia Eagles and Minnesota Vikings both won outright, but the Cleveland Browns faceplanted against the New England Patriots.
It was a nice bounce-back week after a tough season of parlay betting so far, so let’s try to keep it going with my favorite parlay bets for Week 11 in the NFL pick of the day series.
Please note that all odds are from Caesars Sportsbook, current as of Tuesday, November 16, at 10 AM ET.
Best NFL Parlay Week 11
NFL Week 11 Top Parlay Picks
Wager: 2 Units To Win 12.24 Units (+612) at Caesars
- Chicago Bears +6 (-110) vs Baltimore Ravens
- Indianapolis Colts +7 (-105) @ Buffalo Bills
- Cincinnati Bengals -1 (-110) @ Las Vegas Raiders
Chicago Bears +6 (-110) vs Baltimore Ravens (Caesars)
The Bears are coming off their bye week following a close road loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers on Monday Night Football. Rookie quarterback Justin Fields has played much better lately, completing 36-of-56 passes for 466 yards (8.32 Y/A) with two touchdowns and two interceptions over his last two games. He’s also added 148 rushing yards during this span.
The Ravens will try to bounce back after an ugly road loss to the Miami Dolphins on Thursday Night Football. Baltimore really struggled to move the ball on one of the worst defenses in the NFL and failed to make necessary adjustments.
The Ravens are Super Bowl contenders, but they should not be trusted to cover larger point spreads. Four of their six wins have come by a combined 12 points, including an embarrassingly close two-point victory over the Detroit Lions.
Give me Chicago to cover this spread as home underdogs.
Sportsbook Play Of The Day
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Indianapolis Colts +7 (-105) @ Buffalo Bills (Caesars)
The Colts have hit their stride after starting the year 0-3, going 5-2 over their last seven games with both losses coming in overtime.
Quarterback Carson Wentz is playing efficient football while running back Jonathan Taylor has been absolutely dominant of late. Indy has one of the best offensive lines in the league and their offense is improving each week.
While the Bills remain one of the best teams in the NFL with a much-improved defense, they’ve struggled against the AFC South with losses to the Tennessee Titans and Jacksonville Jaguars. Indianapolis will also be extra-motivated here to avenge their 3-point loss to Buffalo in last year’s Wild Card game.
Look for the Colts to keep this one close against a Bills squad that has a .500 record over the past month.
Cincinnati Bengals -1 (-110) @ Las Vegas Raiders (Caesars)
The Bengals have fallen flat in their last two games following a strong start to the season, losing to the New York Jets and getting blown out at home by the division-rival Browns. They now come off their bye looking to bounce back with a road win.
Cincy will take on a Las Vegas Raiders team that has already started their annual second-half collapse. The Raiders are also coming off consecutive defeats, getting outscored 64-30 in a pair of ugly losses.
We just saw Las Vegas get shredded for 406 yards and five touchdowns by Patrick Mahomes last week, so it wouldn’t surprise me to see Joe Burrow have a big game with his stacked passing attack that includes rookie sensation Ja’Marr Chase and second-year stud Tee Higgins.
Expect the rested Bengals to rebound against the reeling Raiders as part of our NFL bet of the day.
NFL Week 11 Longshot Parlay Prediction
Wager: 1 Unit To Win 10.46 Units (+1046) at Caesars
- Washington Football Team Moneyline (+160) @ Carolina Panthers
- New Orleans Saints Moneyline (+105) @ Philadelphia Eagles
- Dallas Cowboys Moneyline (+115) @ Kansas City Chiefs
Washington Football Team Moneyline (+160) @ Carolina Panthers (Caesars)
Washington had an impressive home win over the defending Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers last week. Their defense looked much better coming off the bye, limiting Tom Brady to only 220 passing yards and intercepting him twice.
This is a Ron Rivera revenge game against his former team. While Cam Newton will likely start for Carolina and Chase Young is out for Washington, this looks like a great value on our NFL gameday odds with a comparable team.
Washington is better than their 3-6 record indicates and if their defensive improvements stick, we could see them go on a little run to get their record to a more respectable level. They’ve had a brutal schedule thus far, but they’ll have a great chance to get a win here against an easier opponent.
Let’s take a chance on Washington to keep it rolling.
New Orleans Saints Moneyline (+105) @ Philadelphia Eagles (Caesars)
The Saints have dropped their last two games by a combined four points following an upset win over the Bucs. They’ll look to bounce back against an Eagles team that has won two of their last three games.
New Orleans has struggled a bit on offense with Trevor Siemian at the helm, so it would not surprise me to see Sean Payton turn to Taysom Hill this week in an effort to give his team a spark.
Despite Philly’s recent improved play, I still believe that the Saints are the better team, especially on defense where they have had great success against the run.
As long as Alvin Kamara (knee) is able to play, look for the Saints to get back on track here.
Dallas Cowboys Moneyline (+115) @ Kansas City Chiefs (Caesars)
The Cowboys returned to form in Week 10, blowing out the Falcons 43-3 following a disappointing 30-16 loss to the Broncos. Dallas showed that their loss to Denver was simply an aberration and that they are still one of the best teams in football.
The Chiefs are coming off their biggest win of the season with a 41-14 rout of the Raiders. Thanks to better play from Mahomes, Kansas City is rounding into form after a sluggish start and has now won three in a row.
That said, I’m not totally convinced the Chiefs are back yet. They beat up on an overrated Vegas team after barely squeaking out home wins against depleted Giants and Packers teams. The Cowboys have one of the most efficient offenses in the NFL and should be able to hang with Mahomes and company in Arrowhead.
Kansas City is only 2.5-point favorites here, which speaks volumes to me. Go with the better team in Dallas.
Same Game Parlay Picks NFL Week 11
Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals
Wager: 2 Units To Win 6.40 Units (+320) at Caesars
- Seattle Seahawks Moneyline (+120)
- Total Points Under 49.5 (-110)
The Seahawks are coming off a dismal performance at Lambeau Field, getting shut out by the Packers 17-0 in Russell Wilson‘s return from the IR. Their latest defeat drops them to 3-6, putting them in a must-win situation against the 8-2 Cardinals.
I expect Wilson to come out with a much better performance in this one. We also still don’t know if Arizona will be getting back Kyler Murray and/or DeAndre Hopkins for this game, or how effective they’ll be if they return.
Not only does this help the Under, but it also improves Seattle’s chances of victory against a Cardinals squad that has lost two of its last three. I’ll take the home underdog at plus money in a desperate situation here.
Frank Ammirante’s 2021 NFL Parlay Betting Record: 3-27, -8.95 Units
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