Best MLB Bet Today: MLB Betting Pick Of The Day 9/17/21

Here is our best MLB Betting Pick Of The Day, including the Best Baseball Pick Today, 9/17/21. All odds for September 17 MLB bet picks were obtained from DraftKings.

Our hot streak finally came to an end on Wednesday with our first loss since August 10. It took over a month to lose an official play on this site, so I’m proud of that. Let’s see if we can start a new streak with these MLB betting tips today.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today

prop bet

-140

Houston Astros Over 2.5 Runs In 1st 5 Innings (HOU vs. ARI, 9/17/21)

ARI @ HOU | 09/17, 8:10 PM ET

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Bet $20, Payout $34

For in-depth analysis of this MLB bet of the day, continue reading.

Season Betting Record

  • Overall: 37-22 (+10.06 units)
  • Team Totals: 12-7 (+2.62 units)
  • First 5 IP Bets: 20-9-3 (+9.39 units)
  • Moneylines: 3-3 (-0.5 units)
  • Totals: 1-2 (-1.35 units)

Sportsbook Play of the Day

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MLB Bet Of The Day 9/17/21

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros (8:10 p.m. ET)

  • Probable Pitchers: ARI LHP Madison Bumgarner @ HOU RHP Brandon Bielak

Madison Bumgarner‘s hit a major rough patch recently, going 0-3 with a 7.43 ERA, 7.30 FIP, and 1.70 WHIP over his last four starts, allowing at least four runs in each of those outings. He’s been getting pounded during that stretch with 26 hits allowed in 23 innings, including seven home runs.

The 32-year-old appears to be fading down the stretch, but his poor performance isn’t merely a recent trend. Since the beginning of 2020, Bumgarner has a 5.11 ERA and 5.25 FIP over 32 starts spanning 171 innings. With over 2,000 big-league innings on his left arm, his best days are seemingly behind him.

That makes this an incredibly tasty matchup for the Houston Astros, who have been the best-hitting team in baseball against southpaws this year with a 121 wRC+. They’ve also been crushing the ball lately, averaging 7.1 runs per game over their last 10. With a power-laden lineup that features premier right-handed hitters such as Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman, Carlos Correa, and Yuli Gurriel, Houston appears poised to feast at home.

The Astros should explode against Bumgarner early and score at least three runs in the first five innings, making this one of the best MLB bets today.

Baseball Bet Of The Day: Astros Over 2.5 Runs In 1st 5 Innings (-140)

Wager: 1.4 Units

prop bet

-140

Houston Astros Over 2.5 Runs In 1st 5 Innings (HOU vs. ARI, 9/17/21)

ARI @ HOU | 09/17, 8:10 PM ET

DraftKings Sportsbook Welcome Offer$1,000 Deposit Match
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Bet $20, Payout $34

Thanks for reading our MLB Bet of the Day! For more MLB betting tips, check out our Best MLB Player Prop Bets Today.

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Schedule & Odds

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NBA Betting News

  • Mavericks +800 to win West

    The Dallas Mavericks are +800 to win the Western Conference, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The Mavericks are +800 to win the West, a huge jump from the +360 they sat at prior to Game 3. Dallas was able to win Game 4 but is not expected to emerge from the West. No team has ever overcome a 3-0 series deficit to win a series in the NBA Playoffs.

  • Mavericks +3000 to win NBA Championship

    The Dallas Mavericks are +3000 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    Dallas has found some life after a Game 4 victory but is still up against history in their bid to win four straight in order to even make the NBA Finals. Dallas sat at +1100 prior to their Game 3 loss.

  • Warriors -139 to win NBA Championship

    The Golden State Warriors are -139 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    At -143 before their Game 4 loss, the Warriors actually climbed to -139. Golden State is still the heavy favorite to win it all but has not yet been assigned the odds due to a team that is certain to make the NBA Finals.

  • Warriors fall to -250 to win West

    The Golden State Warriors have fallen to -250 to win the Western Conference, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    Golden State headed into Game 4 at -10000 to win the West but has come crashing back to reality after failing to sweep the Mavericks. It is worth noting that no team in NBA history has ever overcome a 3-0 deficit and that only two teams have even managed to tie it back up.

  • Heat +160 to win East

    The Miami Heat are +160 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    Miami is tied 2-2 against Boston but is being viewed as the clear underdogs. Miami is dealing with injuries to Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, and P.J. Tucker and is facing a relatively healthy Celtics squad. Miami was +137 heading into Game 4 with a 2-1 series lead.