Here is our best MLB Betting Pick Of The Day, including the Best Baseball Pick Today, 9/10/21. All odds for September 10 MLB bet picks were obtained from DraftKings.
It’s been a slow week in the MLB. I didn’t make a pick on Monday due to the holiday but won our last wager on Tuesday between the White Sox and Athletics. Today I’ve got another best bet and we’re hammering this one!
Best MLB Betting Pick Today
For in-depth analysis of this MLB bet of the day, continue reading.
Season Betting Record
- Overall: 36-21 (+10.16 units)
- Team Totals: 12-7 (+2.62 units)
- First 5 IP Bets: 19-8-3 (+9.39 units)
- Moneylines: 3-3 (-0.5 units)
- Totals: 1-2 (-1.35 units)
Sportsbook Play of the Day
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MLB Bet Of The Day 9/10/21
Washington Nationals @ Pittsburgh Pirates (6:35 p.m. ET)
- Probable Pitchers: WSN RHP Josiah Gray @ PIT LHP Steven Brault
Steven Brault will take the hill for the Pirates, coming off two terrible starts where he allowed 12 runs on 15 hits in seven innings. There’s no reason to think this can’t continue. In those two games, Brault has walked six batters while striking out five and has struggled with a high wOBA to righties and lefties in the last 30 days.
In the last 30 days, Brault has had an xFIP of 6.92 while striking out 14.5 percent of batters and walking 11.3 percent of batters. He’s giving up 40 percent hard contact, along with a BABIP of .326.
The Nationals lineup has always looked juicy against lefties. The projected lineup without Ryan Zimmerman has an ISO of .202 and a wOBA of .385 in the last 30 days. If Josh Bell takes the night off for Zimmerman at first base, these numbers would be greater.
The lineup has hit nearly 30 percent line drives against lefties and has a BABIP of .370 when facing lefties. That batting average of balls in play isn’t a fluke. With nearly 30 percent of line-drive contact and just under 50 percent of hard contact against lefties, the ball is finding the outfield grass along with the seats.
Therefore, the Nationals should be able to score two runs through five innings against Brault and the Pirates. One bloop and a blast is all we’ll need to cash this one.
Baseball Bet Of The Day: Nationals Over 1.5 Runs In The First Five Innings (-145)
Wager: 1.45 Units
Thanks for reading our September 10 MLB Prop Bet of the Day! For more MLB betting tips, check out our September 10 MLB Player Props and September 10 MLB Parlay of the Day.