It should be an exciting game between two of the most electrifying quarterbacks in football in Jayden Daniels and Lamar Jackson when the Washington Commanders (4-1) take on the Baltimore Ravens (3-2).
Washington is coming off a blowout win over the Browns, while the Ravens survived the Bengals in a thrilling overtime victory.
This should be a close one, so let’s dive into my Commanders vs Ravens predictions and best bets for Week 6.
Commanders vs Ravens Odds
NFL odds are current as of Friday, Oct. 11, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: Commanders (+245) vs Ravens (-305)
- Spread: Commanders +7 (-115) vs Ravens -7 (-105)
- Over/Under: Over 51.5 (-110) / Under 51.5 (-110)
Commanders vs Ravens Prediction
Ravens 31, Commanders 24
The Commanders have been one of the most surprising teams in the NFL.
Jayden Daniels hasn’t just exceeded expectations — he’s playing like an MVP candidate.
The former LSU star has completed over 77 percent of his passes, averaging 8.7 yards per attempt and adding 300 yards on the ground.
But it’s going to be tough to go into Baltimore and knock off one of the Super Bowl favorites in the Ravens.
The Ravens offense has been virtually unstoppable during their current three-game winning streak, where they’ve scored 41, 35, and 28 points.
Washington will need to win a shootout to pull off the upset, but that may prove to be too much of a daunting task.
Sportsbook Play of the Day
Commanders vs Ravens Best Bets
Over 51.5 Points (-110)
While 51.5 points is a high bar, it’s hard not to take the Over with the way these offenses have played this year:
- Commanders: 1st in EPA per play
- Ravens: 2nd in EPA per play
It’s also worth noting that each team isn’t nearly as good on defense:
- Commanders: 27th in EPA per play
- Ravens: 22nd in EPA per play
Look for a shootout in this inter-conference showdown between the Commanders and Ravens. I’ll go with the Over as one of my best NFL bets today.
Terry McLaurin: Over 60.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Terry McLaurin currently has a 27% target share (WR13) with 533 air yards (56% of team share) this season.
In other words, he’s the clear-cut target hog for the Commanders.
We’ve seen McLaurin put up 100+ yards in two of his last three games.
The Ravens just gave up huge production to Ja’Marr Chase (193 yards) and Tee Higgins (83 yards).
There’s a good chance that the Commanders are playing from behind in this game, resulting in more passing volume.
Fire up McLaurin to go Over 60.5 receiving yards this week.
