One of the games that will have playoff implications in Week 18 features the Washington Commanders hosting the Dallas Cowboys. The Commanders, who are just 4-12, have long been eliminated from the playoffs. However, the Cowboys would claim the NFC East crown with a win.
Let’s take an early look at the betting market for this matchup and highlight some wagers that could prove to be profitable. Also, check out our Week 18 predictions and best bets for the rest of the busy slate.
Cowboys vs Commanders Odds
NFL odds used for this Dallas vs Washington preview were found at DraftKings Sportsbook and are current as of Jan. 3, 2024, at 1:00 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Cowboys (-800) • Commanders (+550)
- Spread: Cowboys -13 (-110) • Commanders +13 (-110)
- Total Points: Over 46 (-110) • Under 46 (-110)
- Implied Score: Cowboys 29.5, Commanders 16.5
Cowboys vs Commanders Predictions
Score Pick: Cowboys 34, Commanders 17
A controversial call helped the Cowboys escape with a win over the Detroit Lions in Week 17. They are 6-2 over their last eight games, putting them in the driver’s seat in the NFC East.
With the Philadelphia Eagles facing the struggling New York Giants, the Cowboys will likely need to win this game if they want to capture the division.
The Commanders have been particularly bad down the stretch, losing seven straight games. Most of those have not been close, with five losses coming by at least eight points. Don’t expect them to keep this game close, either.
Cowboys vs Commanders Best Bets & Props
Cowboys Over 29.5 (-110)
FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit
The Cowboys have scored at least 30 points in a game nine times this season. That included a 45-point performance against the Commanders in Week 12.
The Commanders have given up the second-most passing yards per game in the league, so let’s make this our NFL bet of the day with Dak Prescott lined up to produce another juicy stat line.
Both Teams To Score 15+ Points (-125)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit
The Cowboys haven’t been dominating teams with their defense, giving up at least 19 points in four of their last five games. They have played seven games on the road, giving up at least 15 points in six of them. The Cowboys should breeze past 15 points and look for the Commanders to reach at least that total, too.
Over 45.5 (-110)
FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit
We’re already on the Cowboys to score at least 30 points. We also like the Commanders to get to at least 15 points.
With both of those in mind, let’s also take the over for the game total. The Cowboys have had a total of 46 points or fewer eight times this season, and they hit the over in five of those games.
Cowboys vs Commanders Same Game Parlay
Cowboys vs Commanders SGP (+138)
FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit
- Over 45.5 (-110)
- Cowboys Over 29.5 (-110)
It’s difficult to envision a path for the Commanders’ defense to have success in this game. In addition to giving up a lot of yards through the air, they have allowed the most passing touchdowns in the league, and when they last met, Prescott came away with four scores through the air.
Not only have the Commanders been giving up passing touchdowns in bunches, but they have just seven interceptions all season. CeeDee Lamb has the potential to torch them since they have given up the most yards per target (9.75) to opposing wide receivers.
Expect the Cowboys’ offense to do the bulk of the work to help the over hit for both of these totals in the parlay.