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The buzz around both college and pro football media is that Jim Harbaugh will leave the Michigan Wolverines and make his return to the NFL.
With Harbaugh seemingly available and ready for a new destination, it has us wondering where this high-profile coach will land. Let’s take a look.
The Game Day’s top betting expert, Frank Ammirante, has created odds for Harbaugh’s next team (along with the implied probability); he also used DraftKings pricing as a base line for comparison.
NOTE: DraftKings’ odds for this market are not available on sports betting apps. Frank has created his own hypothetical odds based on his knowledge of the NFL and the betting markets.
Team | The Game Day's Odds | DraftKings Odds |
---|---|---|
Los Angeles Chargers | +200 (33%) | +150 |
Las Vegas Raiders | +250 (29%) | +650 |
Washington Commanders | +400 (20%) | +600 |
Atlanta Falcons | +1500 (6%) | +900 |
Carolina Panthers | +2000 (5%) | +800 |
Seattle Seahawks | +3000 (3%) | N/A |
Tennessee Titans | +4000 (2%) | +3500 |
Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
The Chargers are the favorites to land Harbaugh, albeit we like their odds a little less than . This is a move that makes sense, hiring an offensive-minded coach for franchise quarterback Justin Herbert.
It’s a great time for the Chargers to make a splash, following several years of failure to meet lofty expectations. It’s an attractive job because of Herbert’s presence along with a big market like Los Angeles.
Harbaugh coached the 49ers when he was in the NFL and also finished his career as quarterback for the Chargers, so perhaps a return to California is in the cards.
The Raiders come in second because owner Mark Davis is always looking to make a splash. I have Las Vegas behind the Chargers because interim head coach Antonio Pierce is another worthy candidate.
This job could be appealing to Harbaugh because it gives him a chance to hand-pick his new franchise quarterback, since the Raiders don’t currently have one on the roster.
Joining a storied franchise like the Raiders after Harbaugh already coached the 49ers definitely seems like a potential outcome.
The Commanders are the next likeliest landing spot for Harbaugh. Washington is looking to make a big move under new ownership, so what better way to do so than hire this year’s National Championship winner?
This is an appealing position because the Commanders hold the number two pick in this year’s draft and have a lot of cap space to retool the roster.
Harbaugh would have a chance to take his next franchise quarterback in Caleb Williams or Drake Maye in Washington.
Here we have the start of the more unlikely landing spots for Harbaugh among teams with coaching vacancies. However, the Falcons look like the most feasible option for the Michigan head coach.
Atlanta is stacked with talent on offense with Bijan Robinson, Drake London, and Kyle Pitts, which would give Harbaugh a lot of weapons at his disposal.
The Falcons could make a move for Justin Fields to address their quarterback concerns. That would be an enticing situation for Harbaugh.
The Panthers just had a disastrous season where they finished with the worst record and don’t even have the first overall pick. Rookie quarterback Bryce Young really struggled in his first year as a pro.
The reason why Carolina is fifth on this list is perhaps Harbaugh could be interested in trying to get Young’s development back on track.
We could see Carolina try to make a splash at head coach as a way to improve their team, as it’ll be tough to give Young better weapons without a first round pick.
Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports
The Seahawks have surprisingly decided to move on from Pete Carroll, putting them as a potential longshot landing spot for Harbaugh.
Seattle has a talented roster that is just a couple of moves away from ascending to playoff contenders, which could make it attractive to Harbaugh.
What better way to get back at your former team in the 49ers than by joining their division rivals in the Seahawks? Having said that, former Seahawks’ defensive coordinator Dan Quinn feels like a better fit as head coach.
The Titans have let go of Mike Vrabel, which was another surprising move considering that he’s one of the best head coaches in the NFL, consistently getting the most out of questionable rosters in Tennessee.
Rookie quarterback Will Levis showed some flashes as a rookie, which could make the Titans a bit attractive to Harbaugh.
However, I’d bet that Texans’ offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, who worked with Titans’ general manager Ran Carthon with the 49ers, winds up as the team’s next head coach.
Before we dive into our best bet for Harbaugh’s next team, it’s important to note that wagering on head coaches landing spots is a volatile move, so it’s usually better to just sprinkle on a team with longshot odds.
However, I’m breaking that rule with my choice of the Chargers here because they seem like the perfect fit.
The Chargers need to add a coach who can continue to develop Herbert. We saw Harbaugh have success with Alex Smith and Colin Kaepernick in San Francisco, so this would be an exciting partnership.
After a few years of disappointment, it’s time for the Chargers to push their chips to the middle of the table and go all-in. Pairing Harbaugh and Herbert would give them a coaching-quarterback duo that could eventually come close to rivals Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes of the Chiefs.
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