All told, Week 7 was kind to the ole’ bank account.
In terms of prop bets, I’ll take a 5-3 finish. The Carolina Panthers sputtered along as planned, as did the San Francisco 49ers with a little assist from Mother Nature.
Where did I miss big? The Kansas City Chiefs. And I missed BIG.
I thought Patrick Mahomes and co. would score 30+ points. They finished with three. That’s still hard to write a few days after it happened. I saw it with my own eyes and I accept it now, although the Kansas City Chiefs’ ineptitude remains fascinating.
Let’s see if we can do even better in Week 8. It’s an improved buffet of games to choose from, and I’m once again fading the Tennessee Titans. I’m also thrilled to see what kind of entertainment the Dallas Cowboys and Minnesota Vikings can deliver on Sunday Night Football.
Without further adieu, here are my best NFL Week 8 prop bets. Please note that all odds and lines are current as of 2 PM EST on Wednesday, October 27.
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NFL Week 8 Best Prop Bets
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts
If you like watching great running backs do magical things with the football in their hands, this is the game for you. Derrick Henry is a legitimate MVP candidate, while Jonathan Taylor continues to establish himself as one of the best backs in football.
Both teams have played well lately, winning three of their last four games. The Titans have scored at least 24 points in each of their last six games and recently got A.J. Brown and Julio Jones back. The Colts have scored 25+ in four straight games and have turned things around following an 0-3 start.
With both teams clicking offensively and unlikely to offer much resistance on defense, this game should be high-scoring on both sides.
- Read our full Titans vs Colts Predictions & Best Bets.
Both Teams to Score 20+ Points (-140) on BetMGM
Wager: 1 Unit
Tennessee ranks sixth in the NFL with 27.6 points per game, while Indianapolis has scored at least 24 points in five of its last six games. Both teams are coming in with momentum and should continue to put up points in a game that has sneaky shootout potential, making this our NFL bet of the day.
Indianapolis Colts Over 2.5 Touchdowns (-155) at DraftKings
Wager: 1 Unit
Indy’s offense is capable of scoring multiple touchdowns on the ground (Taylor) or through the air (Carson Wentz). While I was impressed with Tennessee’s defensive effort against Kansas City last week, they are still one of the worst units in the league and have already surrendered 30+ points on three separate occasions this year.
Washington Football Team at Denver Broncos
Quick, describe the Denver Broncos’ offense in one word.
Unfortunately, I can’t tell you which word I came up with because I’m not sure my editors will allow such venom to be spewed on this amazing website. Needless to say, it’s been bad.
Denver has fallen apart after winning its first three games of the season, averaging just 16 points per game while losing its last four in a row. Washington is struggling as well, scoring just 45 points over its last three games (all losses).
I’m not expecting a ton of offense here, but there are still plenty of ways to make money on this one.
- Read our full Washington vs Denver Broncos Predictions & Best Bets.
Denver Broncos Over 10.5 1st Half Points (-110) at DraftKings
Wager: 1 Unit
Washington’s defense is the perfect remedy for a struggling offense, which is not something I expected to say before the season started. The Football Team ranks dead-last in the NFL with 30 points allowed per game and has allowed at least 20 points in every game this year.
Denver will be more-rested after playing in Thursday Night Football last week and is expected to get Jerry Jeudy back as well, which should give the offense a boost.
Broncos Moneyline & Both Teams Score 10+ Points (+100) at BetMGM
Wager: 1 Unit
Let’s get crafty. I like Denver to win and think both teams will hit double digits, which they’ve done in every game this year except for Denver’s Week 4 loss to the Baltimore Ravens, when Teddy Bridgewater left the game early with an injury.
As long as we don’t see any Drew Lock in this game, Bridgewater and Taylor Heinicke will guide both of their offenses to at least 10 points.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints
Without Drew Brees, this game just doesn’t have the same pop. That’s not to say it won’t be compelling, but Tom Brady vs Jameis Winston is, well, different.
Both teams played well defensively last weekend, albeit in vastly different games. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers absolutely clobbered the Chicago Bears, making Justin Fields look especially rookie-ish. The Saints, meanwhile, ground out a 13-10 road win against Geno Smith and the Seattle Seahawks in the rain.
With so many great offensive players in this game, some might be thinking shootout. I’m going in the other direction, though, and will be dabbling in a few prop bets which reflect that.
- Read our full Buccaneers vs Saints Predictions & Best Bets.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Under 3.5 Total Touchdowns (-150) at DraftKings
Wager: 1 Unit
New Orleans’ defense is excellent and has yielded the third-fewest points per game this season (16.8). They’ll also be at home, which is a significant advantage for them.
Tampa Bay’s offense is explosive, but good defensive teams such as the Los Angeles Rams and New England Patriots have slowed them down this year. Expect the Saints to do the same this week.
New Orleans Saints 1st to 10 Points (+150) at BetMGM
Wager: 1 Unit
Most will likely side with the Bucs here, but I think the Saints get off to a fast start and do enough defensively to hold off Brady and co. While their offense stalled on the road in bad weather last week, I think New Orleans bounces back at the Superdome.
Best NFL Prop Bets Today
Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings
The Dallas Cowboys are rolling, having won five straight games since narrowly losing to Tampa Bay in Week 1.
Ezekiel Elliott looks recharged. And the defense, while not necessarily the team’s strength, is putting a ton of pressure on opposing quarterbacks.
Dak Prescott is a bit of an unknown with his health and availability, which is certainly a concern. But this is an offense built to move even if he’s unable to play. Although we can’t simply gloss over his potential absence.
The Minnesota Vikings haven’t been as dominant, but they’re 3-3 after winning three of their last four games. They have a knack for playing in close games, as five of their six contests have been one-possession affairs.
With both teams coming off bye weeks, don’t be surprised if we see another tight game here.
- Read our full Cowboys vs Vikings Predictions & Best Bets.
1st Touchdown Over 9.5 Yards (-110) at DraftKings
Wager: 1 Unit
Having two good, short-yardage running backs in Elliott and Dalvin Cook is a slight concern, but I’m not betting against all the receiving talent in this game between Justin Jefferson, Adam Thielen, Amari Cooper, and CeeDee Lamb.
There will be plenty of explosive plays on Sunday night, and I believe they will start early.
Both Teams to Score 20+ Points (-200) at BetMGM
Wager: 1 Unit
This one’s a little chalky, but I’m perfectly fine with it. The offenses in this game both have a chance to shine, and I expect the scoreboard operator to be busy.
With a Total hovering in the mid-50s according to our NFL gameday odds, I like this play a lot.
Thanks for reading our NFL Week 8 Prop Bets! For more NFL betting tips, check out our NFL Week 8 Best Bets.