For the SEC Championship, 12-0 Georgia faces 9-3 LSU in what is expected to be a lopsided matchup. In fact, Georgia at -17.5 is the largest favorite this weekend in any of the 10 conference championship games.
The Bulldogs won the National Championship last year, and LSU is coming off an embarrassing loss to Texas A&M last weekend.
For my SEC Championship Game predictions, I address whether Georgia will win and if they can cover such a large spread against a tough LSU team.
SEC Championship Game Odds
As of Monday, SEC Championship lines at FanDuel have Georgia as a -17.5 favorite with a point total set at 50.5 points. I largely agree with these CFB odds, although Georgia probably should be favored by more based on how well they have beaten their opponents this season.
SEC Championship Prediction
Georgia 34, LSU 14
As you would expect in an SEC Championship game between two top-5 teams, both rank in key statistical categories toward the top of the country. However, what is impressive about Georgia is the numbers that they have put up against tough non-conference and conference competition.
UGA has a +26.4 average scoring margin, the 2nd best in the country.
They started the year against a strong Oregon team and won 49-3. Other impressive wins include South Carolina (48-7), Florida (42-20), Mississippi State (45-19), Tennessee (27-13), and Kentucky (16-6).
- Read about Georgia’s chances to win in our full CFB National Championship Odds report.
On the other hand, LSU has impressive wins, but some were narrow. They beat Alabama, but only 32-31 in overtime. The Tigers also barely beat Auburn and Arkansas.
LSU has had an impressive season, but they aren’t nearly as good as Georgia. The Bulldogs should win, and by a large margin.
SEC Championship Best Bets
Georgia -17.5 (-110) at FanDuel Sportsbook
WAGER: 0.75 units
Georgia has been the best CFB team this season, but they are boring betting-wise. Despite a 12-0 record, they are only 6-6 against the spread.
The Bulldogs have met expectations this season, but that doesn’t mean they can cover nearly three-touchdown spreads.
This week’s game is different from a typical Georgia game because they are playing in a conference championship game. If they easily beat LSU, they will be the number-one seed in the CFP. But, on the other hand, if they barely win, Michigan might overtake them.
That is why I like Georgia to cover the spread.
In their few competitive games this year, the Bulldogs have won big. They easily beat back tough Tennessee, Kentucky, Mississippi State, and Oregon teams.
17.5 points is a lot to lay, but it is worth it for Georgia.
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