Here’s our report on 2021 Orioles Win Total Bet: How Many Games Baltimore Will Win, complete with a 2021 Orioles Wins Over/Under. The Game Day takes a dive into offseason acquisitions and losses to determine potentially profitable win total betting odds.
- Orioles Win Total Over/Under odds and lines courtesy of PointsBet current as of 3/18/2021 at 6:00 p.m. ET.
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2021 Orioles Win Total Bet: How Many Games Will Baltimore Win?
2021 Orioles Wins Over/Under
- Over 63.5 wins (-105)
- Under 63.5 wins (-115)
In 2020, the Baltimore Orioles had the fourth-worst record in the American League, good for fourth in the AL East division. They finished one game ahead of the last-place Boston Red Sox to avoid finishing last place in their division for a fourth consecutive year. The O’s have finished better than third in their division only twice since 1998, partially due to playing in a difficult division, and partially because they are seemingly in a constant state of rebuilding. 2021 appears to be another difficult year for Baltimore and O’s fans alike, with Boston and Toronto making moves to improve, and New York and Tampa maintaining solid rosters.
During the offseason, the Orioles lost corner infielder Renato Nunez and utility man Hanser Alberto in free agency, and traded shortstop Jose Iglesias to the Angels for prospects. It was surprising to see the Orioles let go of Nunez, who hit 12 home runs in 52 games in 2020. In 2019, Nunez was one of the team’s most productive players, batting .244 and hitting 30 home runs with 90 RBI. Baltimore must have felt the combination of Trey Mancini, Ryan Mountcastle and Rio Ruiz could make up for the lost production at first and third base. Alberto and Iglesias both added batting average and not much else to the team.
The Orioles are traditionally not big spenders and spent less than $5 million on players who could see significant time as starters. They claimed second baseman Yolmer Sanchez off waivers from the White Sox, and signed shortstop Freddy Galvis, starting pitcher Felix Hernandez and third baseman Maikel Franco.
Sanchez should get the starting job at second base but isn’t expected to produce very much. Richie Martin and Pat Valaika will also compete for time at the position. Galvis is an offensive upgrade over Iglesias at short, but the O’s will be sacrificing some defense. Baltimore is traditionally a hitter’s park, so Galvis should be able to replicate some of what he did in his best years in Philadelphia. Franco was a Spring Training addition to the Orioles’ roster. He will split time with Rio Ruiz at the hot corner. Ruiz grades better defensively, while Franco is better with the bat. King Felix was added on a minor league deal and had a chance at making the minor league roster, but left in the middle of a game on March 16 with elbow discomfort.
The Orioles also get Trey Mancini back this season. He is returning from stage three colon cancer, which kept him out of baseball in 2020. He returns to the team after six months of chemotherapy and a procedure to remove a malignant tumor from his colon. Mancini had a spectacular 2019, when he, Alex Bregman and Anthony Rendon were the only players to have at least 35 doubles, 34 home runs and 100 runs. He hit .292 that season and had 97 RBI. Mancini could see time at first base, right field and designated hitter.
Baltimore’s offense, while lacking star power, should be productive in 2021. Aside from the offseason additions, the team has a few prospects who should make an impact this season. Catcher Adley Rutschman ranks first in the Oriole’s system and second on MLB’s list of top 100 prospects in baseball. He has a plus hit tool, plus power, and the potential to be a top 5 all-around catcher this season.
Ryan Mountcastle should get significant playing time in 2021 after a nice debut in 2020. He could see time at a corner infield or corner outfield position, as his combination of positional flexibility and offensive potential will keep him in the lineup. Outfielder Austin Hays is using Spring Training to earn himself a starting position. His combination of power, speed, and defense should get him more playing time than Cedric Mullins.
The O’s have an offense that should be better than most expect, but the same cannot be said for their pitching. Lefty John Means leads the rotation, with a career 3.97 ERA and 7.4 K/9 rate. He has a four-pitch mix, none of which grade very well. If Felix Hernandez does not make the major league roster, then Wade LeBlanc, Dean Kremer, Keegan Akin, and Jorge Lopez will round out the rotation.
LeBlanc is a long-time veteran and has spent time as a starter and reliever in his career. If the Orioles decide to call up one of their young prospect pitchers, DL Hall or Grayson Rodriguez, LeBlanc could move to the bullpen. Lopez has also been used in the rotation and out of the bullpen, but after five seasons as a journeyman pitcher, his ERA sits at 6.03. Kremer has shown the ability to strike batters out but lacks command, and Akin has high strikeout potential as well. Neither is projected for sub-4 ERAs in 2021.
2021 Orioles Win Total Wager: Under 63.5 wins (-115)
Baltimore’s sub-par pitching staff is going to keep the team from winning games, even if the offense is able to score runs. The Orioles have the makings of a bottom three team in baseball and will struggle to stay afloat in an extremely difficult division.
Take the under as the O’s are one of two teams this year to lose 100 games.
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