Buccaneers vs Jets Predictions Week 17 | NFL Pick of the Day

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will hit the road to face the New York Jets in Week 17, pitting two teams that are polar opposites on the talent spectrum against one another. Following a shutout loss to the New Orleans Saints in Week 15, the Buccaneers bounced back to defeat the Carolina Panthers handily by the score of 32-6 in Week 16.

As for their opponent, the Jets squeaked out a win over the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 16, giving them their fourth win of the season. Even though New York isn’t competing for a playoff spot, they’d love to finish the season strong, placing a foundation for them to build on next season.

Can the Jets upset the Buccaneers at home and play spoiler in the NFC playoff race, or will Tampa Bay rout New York as the visiting team to improve to 12-4 on the season?

Continue reading below to see my Buccaneers vs. Jets predictions, along with my favorite bets.

Please note that all NFL gameday odds are current as of 1:30 p.m. EST on Thursday, December 30.

Buccaneers vs Jets Prediction

It was fairly easy to predict that the Buccaneers would run away with their contest against the Panthers in Week 16. Tampa Bay was coming off of a dismal loss to New Orleans, making it the first time that Tom Brady had been shut out in a home game in his entire career.

With Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Leonard Fournette sidelined, the Buccaneers received contributions from other members of their offense. Ronald Jones and Ke’Shawn Vaughn did a remarkable job replacing the production of Fournette, while Antonio Brown made a welcomed return to the offense.


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Despite Fournette and Godwin being on injured reserve, there’s a chance that Evans makes his return in Week 17 versus the Jets. However, with it being a hamstring ailment for Evans, Tampa Bay could be extra cautious in bringing him back as hamstring injuries are easy to worsen.

Besides the offense getting back on track, the defense of the Buccaneers has been steadily improving in recent weeks. That doesn’t bode well for rookie Zach Wilson and an offense of the Jets that scores only 18.4 points per game (sixth-fewest in the NFL).

New York was able to show signs of life on offense versus Jacksonville in Week 16, as Wilson used his legs more than in previous weeks. In addition, Michael Carter rushed for 100 yards against the Jaguars, giving the Jets reason for optimism heading into the future.

While it was a positive sight for Jets fans in Week 16, they’ll be facing a much stiffer test in Week 17 versus the reigning Super Bowl champions. Similar to how I envisioned Tampa Bay blowing out Carolina this past week, I believe the Buccaneers will do the same to the Jets this upcoming Sunday.

Prediction: Buccaneers 38, Jets 13


Buccaneers vs Jets Best Bets

Skyler Carlin 2021 NFL Betting Record: 6-16-0

Best Bet: Buccaneers -13.5 (-107) at TwinSpires

Wager: 1 Unit

Heading into Sunday’s contest, the Buccaneers are two-touchdown favorites over the Jets, and understandably so. Tampa Bay is the far superior team, and while New York has shown flashes at times this season, they haven’t been able to string together two wins in a row yet.

Two of the wins for the Jets this season came against the Tennessee Titans and the Cincinnati Bengals, so there’s always a chance for an upset. That being said, I don’t envision this contest being remotely close as the Buccaneers will want to take care of business to keep their hopes of earning the No. 1 seed in the NFC alive.

Outside of their games against the Saints, the Buccaneers have looked the part of being a team that could repeat as champions this season. Even with Tampa Bay being shorthanded, they’ll have enough firepower on both sides of the ball to steamroll New York on the road.

The Buccaneers are 5-1 against the spread in their last six games, and they are 4-1 against the spread this season when favored by 10+ points. On the flip side, the Jets are 5-11 against the spread in their last 16 games and are 2-3 against the spread when they are double-digit underdogs.

Look for the Bucs to blowout the Jets in our NFL pick of the day.

spread

-107

Buccaneers Cover -13.5 Spread @ Jets

TB @ NYJ | 01/02, 1:00 PM ET

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Bet $20, Payout $39

Best Bet: Over 45.5 Total Points (-113) at TwinSpires

Wager: 1 Unit

This past week, I thought that the Buccaneers and the Panthers would be able to get us to over 43.5 points. Unfortunately, I was wrong, as Tampa Bay did their part by scoring 32 points, while Carolina mustered only six points of offense.

Even after falling short last week, I’m taking the over again in this game, mostly because I believe the defense of the Buccaneers could get on the board this week. Despite Wilson not turning the ball over in Week 16 versus the Jaguars, he has still thrown 11 interceptions, which is tied for the 12th most in the league.

Meanwhile, the defense of the Buccaneers has been opportunistic this season, forcing 26 turnovers thus far (tied for sixth-most in the NFL). There’s a good chance we see Wilson make at least one costly mistake, which would lead to more possessions for Brady and the offense of the Buccaneers.

The over has been achieved in four of the last six games that Tampa Bay has faced an opponent from the AFC East. And as for New York, they’ve hit the over in nine of their last 12 games, as they could score some garbage-time points to help us reach the total of 46 points.

over-under

-113

Buccaneers @ Jets: OVER 45.5 Points

TB @ NYJ | 01/02, 1:00 PM ET

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Bet $20, Payout $38

Thank you for reading our Buccaneers vs. Jets Predictions! For more NFL betting tips, check out our NFL Week 17 Best Bets and NFL Week 17 Parlay Picks.

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NFL Betting News

  • Early money slightly leaning towards the over in the 49ers-Rams matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting good two-way action on the over/under for the NFC Championship Game matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 46 points has attracted 55% of the bets and 60% of the money thus far. Much moreso than the AFC Championship Game, the betting splits on the point spread and total in this game are much more evenly split, so the sportsbook does not have too much liability on either at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Los Angeles's -170 moneyline odds have attracted 60% of the bets and 70% of the money.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early bettors give slight lean to the Rams over the 49ers

    Based on the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook, the favored Los Angeles Rams are getting slightly more betting attention in their matchup with the San Francisco 49ers.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Los Angeles's -3.5 point spread has received 65% of the bets and 61% of the handle thus far. Bettors are clearly torn in this matchup considering the Rams have arguably been playing better football through the first two playoff games, while the 49ers have won six consecutive games against the Rams, including a thrilling Week 18 overtime victory in Los Angeles.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early money more than 4/1 on the over in the Bengals-Chiefs matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's over/under in the matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 54.5 points has attracted 75% of the bets and 85% of the money thus far. At this point, the sportsbook has big liability to the Chiefs point spread and the over in this matchup, as their most ideal scenario would be a Bengals cover in a low-scoring game at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Kansas City's -335 moneyline odds have attracted 58% of the bets and 61% of the money.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • Early money 3/1 on the Chiefs over the Bengals

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs, as the majority of the action is backing the favored Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Kansas City's -7 point spread has received 61% of the bets and 76% of the handle thus far. Cincinnati is shaping up to be the biggest need of any side or any total this weekend, as the public seems to be enamored with the Chiefs after their thrilling Divisional Round win over Buffalo.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • 49ers-Rams over/under reaches lowest number of the week

    After another line movement, the over/under for the NFC Championship matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams has reached its lowest total of the week.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the 49ers-Rams over/under on Sunday night was posted at 47.5 points. It was quickly bet down to 46.5 in less than 24 hours. However, it has once again moved toward the under, and now currently sits at 46 points. Given that there has not yet been buyback on the over, it is extremely unlikely we see the total get back to anywhere close to the 47.5 points it opened at.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page