Thursday Night Football Predictions Week 14 | TNF Picks & Steelers vs Vikings Best Bets

The Pittsburgh Steelers will visit the Minnesota Vikings in the NFL Week 14 edition of Thursday Night Football at 8:20 p.m ET on the NFL Network.

We’ve reached December, which means the NFL playoffs are on the horizon. For teams that have yet to be mathematically eliminated from postseason contention, every game matters.

In the Week 14 opener on Thursday Night Football, we will see the Steelers and Vikings. Both teams are currently on the outside looking in for the playoff picture, and whoever loses may see their postseason chances disappear for good.

Thursday Night Football Prediction Week 14

There have been times this season in which both of these teams have looked really good. There have also been times when they have both looked really bad.

For the Steelers, they have taken a step back defensively while their offense remains underwhelming most of the time. While they have popped occasionally, Pittsburgh plays an ugly style of football with an aging Ben Roethlisberger under center.

Meanwhile, the Vikings are not much different. Their defense is one of the worst in the NFL. While their offense is pretty good, it’s often not enough to overcome their defensive shortcomings.

To make matters worse for Minnesota, RB Dalvin Cook is a game-time decision with a shoulder injury. Backup RB Alexander Mattison is a quality No. 2 if Cook can’t go, but lacks the explosiveness and playmaking ability that Cook would normally bring to the table.


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The key to a Vikings win is attacking the Steelers’ secondary while keeping their defense honest with the run. QB Kirk Cousins doesn’t always play his best football in primetime, but there isn’t much on the line here.

For a Steelers win, they’ll need their defense to step up. Once the backbone of their team, Pittsburgh’s defense has been a shell of itself this year due to injuries, offseason losses, and cap casualties. They were in salary cap hell at the start of last offseason and have paid for it since.

The Steelers will also need a monster game out of rookie RB Najee Harris, as Minnesota has one of the worst run defenses in the NFL. If Harris can get going and force the Vikings to play with an extra man in the box, Roethlisberger may be able to make some plays with his waning arm.

This will be an ugly game, but somebody has to win. I’ll lean on the Vikings to win a close one at home.

TNF Week 14 Pick: Vikings 24, Steelers 20

Kirk Cousins Alexander Mattison Minnesota Vikings

Can Kirk Cousins and Alexander Mattison lead the Minnesota Vikings to victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers on Thursday Night Football in Week 14? (Image: USA TODAY Sports)


Thursday NFL Betting Trends for 2021

  • The Over is 4-11.
  • The Underdog is 7-8 against the spread.
  • The Favorite is 12-3 on the moneyline.
  • The Home Team is 6-9.

*Anthony Cervino is 26-16 on his NFL Best Bets for 2021 for The Game Day.


Thursday Night Football Best Bets Week 14

*NFL gameday odds and lines are current as of Thursday, December 9 at 5 PM ET.

TNF Best Bet: Steelers +3.5 (-115) at Caesars

Wager: 3 Units

While I like the Vikings to win outright, I do believe the Steelers will keep the game close until the end and will take them against the spread, as this game could very well come down to a field goal.

Three points are just too many to give Pittsburgh in a primetime spot against Cousins. Back the Steelers against the spread for our NFL bet of the day.

spread

-115

Steelers To Cover +3.5 Spread @ Vikings (NFL Week 14)

PIT @ MIN | 12/09, 8:20 PM ET

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Check out more of our NFL Week 14 betting tips:


TNF Best Bet: UNDER 44.5 Total Points (-110) at Caesars

Wager: 2 Units

The Under has been the play on Thursday NFL games this season, hitting 11 times. Look for that trend to continue in Week 14.

Both teams have the firepower to put up points, but injuries and lack of rest are going to keep this game low-scoring. Minnesota’s defense will look to make a statement at home after getting embarrassed by Detroit, while Pittsburgh’s defense is coming off a strong performance against Baltimore and is always a threat to show up.

over-under

-110

UNDER 44.5 Total Points Scored In Steelers @ Vikings (NFL Week 14)

PIT @ MIN | 12/09, 8:20 PM ET

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TNF Best Bet: Vikings Moneyline (-180) at Caesars

Wager: 1 Unit

As expected, Minnesota is favored to win at home. There’s a bit too much juice for my liking, however, so I’d use the Vikings moneyline as a leg of a parlay.

moneyline

-180

Vikings To Defeat Steelers (NFL Week 14)

PIT @ MIN | 12/09, 8:20 PM ET

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Bet $20, Payout $31

Thanks for reading our NFL Week 14 TNF Predictions! For more NFL betting tips, check out our NFL Week 14 Best Bets.

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NFL Betting News

  • Early money slightly leaning towards the over in the 49ers-Rams matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting good two-way action on the over/under for the NFC Championship Game matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 46 points has attracted 55% of the bets and 60% of the money thus far. Much moreso than the AFC Championship Game, the betting splits on the point spread and total in this game are much more evenly split, so the sportsbook does not have too much liability on either at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Los Angeles's -170 moneyline odds have attracted 60% of the bets and 70% of the money.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early bettors give slight lean to the Rams over the 49ers

    Based on the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook, the favored Los Angeles Rams are getting slightly more betting attention in their matchup with the San Francisco 49ers.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Los Angeles's -3.5 point spread has received 65% of the bets and 61% of the handle thus far. Bettors are clearly torn in this matchup considering the Rams have arguably been playing better football through the first two playoff games, while the 49ers have won six consecutive games against the Rams, including a thrilling Week 18 overtime victory in Los Angeles.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early money more than 4/1 on the over in the Bengals-Chiefs matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's over/under in the matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 54.5 points has attracted 75% of the bets and 85% of the money thus far. At this point, the sportsbook has big liability to the Chiefs point spread and the over in this matchup, as their most ideal scenario would be a Bengals cover in a low-scoring game at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Kansas City's -335 moneyline odds have attracted 58% of the bets and 61% of the money.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • Early money 3/1 on the Chiefs over the Bengals

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs, as the majority of the action is backing the favored Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Kansas City's -7 point spread has received 61% of the bets and 76% of the handle thus far. Cincinnati is shaping up to be the biggest need of any side or any total this weekend, as the public seems to be enamored with the Chiefs after their thrilling Divisional Round win over Buffalo.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • 49ers-Rams over/under reaches lowest number of the week

    After another line movement, the over/under for the NFC Championship matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams has reached its lowest total of the week.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the 49ers-Rams over/under on Sunday night was posted at 47.5 points. It was quickly bet down to 46.5 in less than 24 hours. However, it has once again moved toward the under, and now currently sits at 46 points. Given that there has not yet been buyback on the over, it is extremely unlikely we see the total get back to anywhere close to the 47.5 points it opened at.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page