Michigan vs Georgia Predictions | Orange Bowl 2021 CFB National Semifinals Pick of the Day

The 2021 Orange Bowl will take place on Friday, December 31 between Michigan (2) and Georgia (3) as part of the 2021-22 CFB National Semifinals.

Both teams enter the game at 12-1. The Michigan Wolverines blew past the Iowa Hawkeyes, 42-3, to win the Big Ten Championship Game and extend their winning streak to five games.

The Georgia Bulldogs, on the other hand, suffered their first loss of the season in the SEC Championship Game to Alabama with a 41-24 defeat. Even so, Georgia impressed the CFB playoff committee enough to survive among the final four teams and reach the postseason.

Who will prevail in the big game at the Orange Bowl? Read on for our top 2021 Orange Bowl betting picks and Michigan vs Georgia predictions.

Michigan vs Georgia Prediction: 2021 Orange Bowl

In addition to finishing with the same record, both teams have much in common despite playing in different conferences. Both squads flourished in the face of stiff competition, as Georgia had the second-strongest strength of schedule this season while Michigan had the fourth-strongest.

Offensively, both clubs also appear to be clones of each other. The Bulldogs average 39.4 points per game and the Wolverines average 37.7 per game. Both coaches love to run the ball as well, ranking near the top in highest percentage of running plays.

Both units are also outstanding defensively. Georgia allowed the fewest points per game in the nation at 9.5, while Michigan wasn’t far behind at 16.1.


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Both defenses excel at stopping the run. Georgia is allowing just 2.7 yards per carry, while Michigan is ceding 3.5.

Accordingly, both of these run-heavy offenses are likely to struggle in what should be a low-scoring game, which is reflected in the totals on our NCAAF gameday odds.

In a defensive tug of war between two equally strong teams, I have a hard time seeing why Georgia should be a heavy favorite. Michigan’s offense is on fire after scoring at least 42 points in three straight games and has shown an ability to break through strong defenses.

Take Michigan to win a close, hard-fought contest.

Orange Bowl Prediction: Michigan 24, Georgia 21

Hassan Haskins Michigan Wolverines

Can the Michigan Wolverines hand the Georgia Bulldogs their second straight defeat when they face off in the 2021 Orange Bowl? (Image: USA TODAY Sports)


Orange Bowl Best Bets for Michigan vs Georgia

Best Bet: Michigan +8 (-125) at Caesars (Would bet up to +8)

Wager: 0.5 Units

Georgia has blown out many formidable teams this season but outside of Alabama, Michigan will be their toughest test yet.

The Bulldogs should be favored based on their body of work, but they should not be favored by more than a touchdown. This should be a low-scoring game that is decided by a touchdown or less.

I like Michigan to cover the spread and potentially win. For the moment, I’m going to wait to place my bet as I suspect the Wolverines will close as 9-10-point underdogs.

spread

-125

Michigan: Cover +8 Spread vs Georgia

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Best Bet: Michigan Moneyline (+240) at Caesars (Would bet up to +225)

Wager: 0.5 Units

For the first time this season, Georgia looks vulnerable. Up until the SEC Championship Game they beat all of their opponents (besides Clemson) by 17 or more points. Then they were torn to shreds by Alabama.

If Michigan wins, it will likely be by controlling the ball with the run game and playing terrific defense.

I recommend taking a flier on Michigan’s moneyline, but wait until closer to kickoff to get the best price.

moneyline

+240

Michigan To Defeat Georgia

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Want to make a bet on Michigan to win the 2022 CFB National Championship?

Best Bet: Michigan To Win 2022 CFB National Championship (+800) at Caesars

Wager: 0.5 Units

I see value in Michigan’s moneyline, but I see even more value in betting on them winning or losing in specific National Championship matches and winning the National Championship.

At +800 odds, Michigan has a breakeven price of 11.1% of winning the national title. Their chances aren’t as good as Alabama or Georgia, but they’re still in contention.

In fact, I simulated the College Football Playoff 100,000 times, and the Wolverines won the National Championship in 14.5% of my simulations.

That is why I recommend using them on this National Championship result wager.

prop bet

+800

Michigan To Win 2022 CFB National Championship

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Thanks for reading our 2021 Orange Bowl Predictions! Find more college football betting tips, and check out our latest College Football Power Rankings.

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NFL Betting News

  • Early money slightly leaning towards the over in the 49ers-Rams matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting good two-way action on the over/under for the NFC Championship Game matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 46 points has attracted 55% of the bets and 60% of the money thus far. Much moreso than the AFC Championship Game, the betting splits on the point spread and total in this game are much more evenly split, so the sportsbook does not have too much liability on either at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Los Angeles's -170 moneyline odds have attracted 60% of the bets and 70% of the money.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early bettors give slight lean to the Rams over the 49ers

    Based on the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook, the favored Los Angeles Rams are getting slightly more betting attention in their matchup with the San Francisco 49ers.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Los Angeles's -3.5 point spread has received 65% of the bets and 61% of the handle thus far. Bettors are clearly torn in this matchup considering the Rams have arguably been playing better football through the first two playoff games, while the 49ers have won six consecutive games against the Rams, including a thrilling Week 18 overtime victory in Los Angeles.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early money more than 4/1 on the over in the Bengals-Chiefs matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's over/under in the matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 54.5 points has attracted 75% of the bets and 85% of the money thus far. At this point, the sportsbook has big liability to the Chiefs point spread and the over in this matchup, as their most ideal scenario would be a Bengals cover in a low-scoring game at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Kansas City's -335 moneyline odds have attracted 58% of the bets and 61% of the money.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • Early money 3/1 on the Chiefs over the Bengals

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs, as the majority of the action is backing the favored Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Kansas City's -7 point spread has received 61% of the bets and 76% of the handle thus far. Cincinnati is shaping up to be the biggest need of any side or any total this weekend, as the public seems to be enamored with the Chiefs after their thrilling Divisional Round win over Buffalo.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • 49ers-Rams over/under reaches lowest number of the week

    After another line movement, the over/under for the NFC Championship matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams has reached its lowest total of the week.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the 49ers-Rams over/under on Sunday night was posted at 47.5 points. It was quickly bet down to 46.5 in less than 24 hours. However, it has once again moved toward the under, and now currently sits at 46 points. Given that there has not yet been buyback on the over, it is extremely unlikely we see the total get back to anywhere close to the 47.5 points it opened at.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page