Steelers vs Ravens Predictions Week 18 | NFL Pick of the Day

After winning his final game in Heinz Field, the Pittsburgh Steelers and quarterback Ben Roethlisberger will be playing for an outside shot at making the playoffs.

The Ravens also have an unlikely chance at reaching the postseason after losing their last five games.

With this in mind, let’s look into the best bets for this contest.

Richard’s Prediction Picks Record: 13-16 (-0.10 units)

Please note that all NFL gameday odds are current as of 3 p.m. EST on January 7, 2022.

Steelers vs Ravens Prediction

In order for the Steelers to make the playoffs, they need to not only win this game but need the Jacksonville Jaguars to take down the Indianapolis Colts and for the Los Angeles Chargers and Las Vegas Raiders game to end in anything except for a tie.

Considering the Colts are north of two touchdowns in the spread department, it seems highly unlikely.

The Ravens have an even more unlikely path to the postseason, needing a win against the Steelers, a Jaguars win over the Colts, a Dolphins win or tie against the Patriots, and a Chargers loss to the Raiders to sneak in.

That task will be even tougher without quarterback Lamar Jackson who will miss another game due to injury, leaving the Ravens to turn to Tyler Huntley yet again.

Huntley, who played extremely well against the Green Bay Packers earlier this season, did not perform nearly as well against the Los Angeles Rams last week in a 20-19 loss that was a crushing blow to Baltimore’s playoff chances.


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While there is still something to play for, as we saw on Monday Night Football in Week 17, the Steelers may have won, but Roethlisberger is simply at the end of the line.

Against the Browns, Pro Football Focus gave him a grade of 42.8 out of 100. He threw for 123 yards on 46 attempts and threw a single interception and touchdown. Roethlisberger also had three turnover-worthy plays.

The Ravens are depleted on the back-end, but the Steelers and Big Ben are simply not equipped to take advantage of it. The Ravens will key in on running back Najee Harris and will do all they can to not allow him to beat them.

The Roethlisberger story ends here, on the road, in Baltimore in our NFL pick of the day series.

Prediction: Ravens 21, Steelers 17

Tyler Huntley, QB, Baltimore Ravens

Can Tyler Huntley lead the Ravens to a Week 18 win over the Steelers? (Image: USA TODAY Sports)


Steelers vs Ravens Best Bets

Best Bet: Ravens -3.5 (-113) at TwinSpires

Wager: 0.25 Units

In all honesty, the spread market here is one I’d mostly avoid, but the Ravens are a fairly sharp bet here.

Huntley may not have played as well against the Rams, but he did still earn a 73.3 grade from PFF. He lacked the statistical output, but he did push the ball downfield a bit more, posting a 9.9 average depth of the target, which was by far his best of the season in games he’s started.

The Steelers are built well along the defensive line, but the secondary and coverage unit is definitely beatable.

At home, Huntley possesses enough athletic ability to take down the Steelers and has the weapons to do so, too.

spread

-113

Ravens Cover -3.5 Spread vs Steelers

PIT @ BAL | 01/09, 1:00 PM ET

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Bet $20, Payout $38

Best Bet: Under 41 Total Points (-110) at TwinSpires

Wager: 1 Unit

Although I’ve made Huntley sound like this world-beater, he definitely is not. He had a monster game against the Packers, but he could not perform as well statistically against the Rams.

The Steelers offer a defense that is more appetizing, but neither of these offenses strikes me as a threat for a higher-scoring game.

Unless Huntley goes bonkers as he did against Green Bay, the Ravens are probably good for about three touchdowns or so.

The Steelers, however, essentially rely on a running game and an extension of the running game with all of Roethlisberger’s short passes. Over the last three weeks, Roethlisberger has not posted an average depth of target over 6.5 and has five turnover-worthy plays.

With so many holes on the offense, I can see both teams inching toward the 20 point total, but they’ll have a tough time crossing it leading to the under.

over-under

-110

Steelers @ Ravens: UNDER 41 Points

PIT @ BAL | 01/09, 1:00 PM ET

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Thanks for reading our NFL Week 18 Ravens vs Steelers Predictions! For more NFL betting tips, check out our NFL Week 18 Parlay Picks.

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Schedule & Odds

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NFL Betting News

  • Early money slightly leaning towards the over in the 49ers-Rams matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting good two-way action on the over/under for the NFC Championship Game matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 46 points has attracted 55% of the bets and 60% of the money thus far. Much moreso than the AFC Championship Game, the betting splits on the point spread and total in this game are much more evenly split, so the sportsbook does not have too much liability on either at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Los Angeles's -170 moneyline odds have attracted 60% of the bets and 70% of the money.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early bettors give slight lean to the Rams over the 49ers

    Based on the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook, the favored Los Angeles Rams are getting slightly more betting attention in their matchup with the San Francisco 49ers.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Los Angeles's -3.5 point spread has received 65% of the bets and 61% of the handle thus far. Bettors are clearly torn in this matchup considering the Rams have arguably been playing better football through the first two playoff games, while the 49ers have won six consecutive games against the Rams, including a thrilling Week 18 overtime victory in Los Angeles.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early money more than 4/1 on the over in the Bengals-Chiefs matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's over/under in the matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 54.5 points has attracted 75% of the bets and 85% of the money thus far. At this point, the sportsbook has big liability to the Chiefs point spread and the over in this matchup, as their most ideal scenario would be a Bengals cover in a low-scoring game at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Kansas City's -335 moneyline odds have attracted 58% of the bets and 61% of the money.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • Early money 3/1 on the Chiefs over the Bengals

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs, as the majority of the action is backing the favored Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Kansas City's -7 point spread has received 61% of the bets and 76% of the handle thus far. Cincinnati is shaping up to be the biggest need of any side or any total this weekend, as the public seems to be enamored with the Chiefs after their thrilling Divisional Round win over Buffalo.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • 49ers-Rams over/under reaches lowest number of the week

    After another line movement, the over/under for the NFC Championship matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams has reached its lowest total of the week.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the 49ers-Rams over/under on Sunday night was posted at 47.5 points. It was quickly bet down to 46.5 in less than 24 hours. However, it has once again moved toward the under, and now currently sits at 46 points. Given that there has not yet been buyback on the over, it is extremely unlikely we see the total get back to anywhere close to the 47.5 points it opened at.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page