Thursday Night Football for Week 7 features a matchup between two 3-3 teams with the Denver Broncos squaring off against the Cleveland Browns.
The Broncos started the season 3-0 but have come back down to earth with three straight losses. Meanwhile, the injury-riddled Browns have lost two straight and will be without starting quarterback Baker Mayfield (shoulder).
This may not be the most exciting matchup, but thankfully there are plenty of betting opportunities to hold our interest. Let’s check out some Broncos vs Browns prop bets in our NFL prop predictions and pick series.
Please note that all TNF odds and lines are current as of 12 PM EST on Wednesday, October 20.
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Broncos vs Browns Prop Bets: NFL Week 7 Prop Betting Picks
D’Ernest Johnson Over 57.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at Caesars
The Browns lead the NFL in rushing thanks to their dual backfield of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. Both have been ruled out for this game, however, putting D’Ernest Johnson in line for his first career start.
The third-year back has just 40 carries in his career, so he doesn’t have a big body of work for us to reference. He’s made the most of his limited opportunities, however, averaging 5.0 yards per carry.
- Read our full Broncos vs Browns Predictions & Best Bets.
Additionally, the one time Johnson had over 10 carries in a game (Week 4 in 2020), he rushed for 95 yards on 13 attempts.
With Case Keenum starting under center for Cleveland this week, the Browns will likely lean on the run and try to control the clock as much as possible. Denver has a tough run defense, but Johnson should see enough volume to eclipse 58 yards on the ground, making this our NFL bet of the day.
Teddy Bridgewater Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+120) at Caesars
Cleveland’s defense is also dealing with injuries that have prevented it from playing up to its potential. The Browns are tied for third-worst in the NFL in passing touchdowns allowed (14), which bodes well for Teddy Bridgewater and this touchdown prop.
Cleveland has let opposing quarterbacks throw for multiple touchdowns or more in four games this season, which is the same number of games that Bridgewater has thrown multiple TDs this year. Bridgewater has also been throwing the ball more often recently, tallying 87 pass attempts and five touchdowns over his past two games.
Despite missing some of its top weapons in Jerry Jeudy and K.J. Hamler, Denver’s receiving corps still features speedsters and big targets, which is why I like Bridgewater to notch at least two passing touchdowns against Cleveland’s depleted secondary.
Under 41 Total Points (-110) at Caesars
Given all the injuries on both sides and Cleveland’s quarterback situation, the Under is the safe play here. Denver’s defense has allowed the fourth-fewest points per game in the NFL this year (18.3), so it’s hard to envision Keenum and co. putting too many points on the board.
Conversely, Denver’s offense ranks 22nd in points per game (21.0) and may struggle to move the ball against a solid Browns defense. Bridgewater has thrown four interceptions over his last two games and may play more conservatively here as a result.
With both teams banged up and playing on a short week, this game will likely be a defensive battle with both sides grinding it out. This projects to be a slow-paced, low-scoring affair with limited possessions, making the Under the smart play according to our NFL gameday odds.