One of the more exciting matchups on the NFL Week 6 slate is the Green Bay Packers heading to Chicago to take on the Bears, where they’ll be fighting for first place in the NFC North.
Aaron Rodgers and the 4-1 Packers sit atop the division, having won four in a row since their embarrassing loss to the New Orleans Saints in Week 1. Their last win was a wild one on Mason Crosby‘s game-winning field goal in overtime against the Cincinnati Bengals after both sides combined to miss five field goals.
The second-place Bears, on the other hand, have been more up and down this year at 3-2, winning two games by double-digits but also suffering a pair of 20-point losses. They’ve won three of their last four, however, and rookie QB Justin Fields seems to have settled in since his disastrous Week 3 performance against the Cleveland Browns.
After outdueling Joe Burrow in Week 5, can Rodgers beat another young signal-caller in Week 6? Check out our Packers vs Bears predictions and best bets for Week 6.
Please note that all Green Bay vs Chicago odds and lines are current as of 4 PM EST on Friday, October 15.
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Packers vs Bears Prediction
The Packers will look to maintain their grip on first place with a fifth straight win. Their offense has been clicking with at least 25 points in each of their last four games, although it’s worth noting that their point total has decreased by multiple points every game since Week 2.
That trend could certainly continue against a rugged Bears defense that’s allowing only 20 points per game this season — the seventh-fewest in the NFL. Chicago will look to slow the game down and keep the ball out of Rodgers’ hands as much as possible.
As for Fields, he’ll have to contend with a Green Bay unit that’s allowed 22 points or less in three of its last four games. While the Packers’ defense is nothing special, it’s solid enough to limit Fields and give Rodgers enough opportunities to do his thing.
With 10 touchdowns over his last four games, Rodgers is still playing at an MVP level. While Fields is talented, he’s still learning and won’t be able to match points with the future Hall-of-Famer, resulting in another victory for Green Bay.
Prediction: Packers 27, Bears 20
Packers vs Bears Best Bets
Best Bet: Packers Moneyline (-250) at Unibet
Wager: 1 Unit
The Packers’ defense hasn’t been great this year, but they’ve been better lately and should be able to hold Fields in check. The 22-year-old has yet to throw for 210 yards in a game, but he’s going to need to air it out here if the Bears are going to keep up.
That could result in another interception or two for Green Bay’s defense, which has five picks over their last four games. Turnovers will give Rodgers extra chances to do damage, which will only make it harder for Chicago to win.
I just don’t see a path to victory for the Bears here unless their defense totally stifles the reigning MVP. The Packers should win relatively easily, making this our NFL bet of the day.
Best Bet: Over 44 Total Points (-110) at FanDuel
Wager: 1 Unit
The Packers have had their game total points go over 44 in three of their five games this year, while the Bears haven’t done so since Week 1. Chicago’s offense is trending in the right direction, however, and Fields should have some success this week against Green Bay’s mediocre defense.
Look for Fields to find the end zone a couple of times this week while the Packers’ offense continues to put up points. Accordingly, I’m taking the Over based on our NFL gameday odds.
Packers vs Bears Same Game Parlay Picks
- Packers -2.5 Alternate Spread
- Over 40.5 Total Points
- Packers to Score 1st Points
- Bears 1st Half Points Over 6.5
Same Game Parlay Odds: +425 at DraftKings
Wager: 0.5 Units
For my same game parlay, I’m predicting Green Bay to win by at least a field goal, which should be doable given that their average margin of victory has been 8.3 points this year. I have a lower total here as well since divisional matches tend to be lower-scoring.
I also expect the Packers to score first given their superior offense, but the Bears should be able to score at least one touchdown in the first half. I’m wagering just half a unit here since it’s a larger parlay, but I like the +425 odds from DraftKings.