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Best MLB Bets Today: MLB Pick of the Day 8/27/21

Posted: Aug 27, 2021Last updated: Aug 30, 2021

Here is our best MLB Betting Pick of the Day, including the Best Baseball Pick Today, 8/27/21. All odds for August 27 MLB bet picks were obtained from PointsBet.

After cashing another bet on Tuesday, we’re now up over eight units by betting just three games a week. Our patience and selectivity are paying off, so let’s see if we can end the week on a high note with one of my best MLB bets today.

MLB Pick Today

For in-depth analysis of this MLB pick of the day, continue reading.

Season Betting Record

  • Overall: 33-21 (+8.07 units)
  • Team Totals: 12-7 (+2.62 units)
  • First 5 IP Bets: 17-8-3 (+7.29 units)
  • Moneylines: 3-3 (-0.5 units)
  • Totals: 1-2 (-1.35 units)

Sportsbook Play of the Day

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Read Anthony Cervino’s PointsBet review for more insight and get your welcome bonus below, or continue reading this analysis.

MLB Bet Of The Day 8/27/21

St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates (7:05 p.m. ET)

  • Probable Pitchers: STL LHP J.A. Happ @ PIT LHP Dillon Peters

For my MLB betting tip today, I’m looking to fade Dillon Peters. If you don’t recognize the name, you shouldn’t. He has a career 5.56 ERA, 5.67 FIP, and 1.59 WHIP over five seasons, so he’s not very good.

Peters has pitched surprisingly well in his first two starts for the Pittsburgh Pirates this year, the most recent of which came against these same St. Louis Cardinals. It’s only two starts, however, so I’m leaning on his larger track record here, especially now that the Cardinals’ lineup is more familiar with him.

Although Peters has a 1.86 ERA in his first two starts, his 5.01 xFIP indicates that he’s been getting lucky. He’s struck out 14.3% of batters and walked 9.5% of batters. If you do that consistently, you’re going to pay in the big leagues.

Peters is also a lefty who will face a predominately right-handed lineup tonight. Righties have ravaged Peters for a .288/.360/.530 batting line throughout his career, which bodes well for Paul Goldschmidt, Nolan Arenado, and co. For their part, St. Louis has better splits against lefties, on the road, and in the second half this year.

Given that, I like the Cardinals to score at least three runs in the first five innings against Peters tonight. He’s going to walk batters and put plenty of guys on base, so we just need a couple of clutch knocks to cash my MLB betting pick of the day.

Baseball Bet Of The Day: St. Louis Cardinals Over 2.5 Runs In 1st 5 Innings (-105)

Wager: 1.05 Units

Thanks for reading our August 27 Best MLB Bet Of The Day! For more MLB prop betting tips, check out our August 27 Best MLB Prop Bets.

Author

Jason Radowitz

Jason Radowitz is a jack of all trades when it comes to writing sports. Jason writes and bets the MLB, NFL, NBA, NCAAF, and NCAAB when the sports are in season. Currently, he's a Writer and Betting Analyst for The Game Day providing daily content in the MLB. Earlier in his sports career, Jason was a graduate assistant for the University of Hartford Men's Basketball team using analytics and numbers to help put together the winningest season in program history. With his articles, you will be sure to get an analytical approach.

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