UFC 265 Lewis vs Gane Prediction: Bet Picks For Interim UFC Heavyweight Title Main Event

Here are Taylor Tarter’s UFC 265 predictions, including UFC 265 bet picks for Derrick Lewis vs Ciryl Gane.

UFC 265 Lewis vs Gane Prediction: Bet Picks For Interim UFC Heavyweight Title Main Event

Derrick Lewis vs Ciryl Gane Prediction & Bet Pick

Derrick Lewis To Defeat Ciryl Gane (+290)

moneyline

+290

Derrick Lewis To Defeat Ciryl Gane (UFC 265)

DraftKings Sportsbook Welcome Offer$1,000 Deposit Match
DraftKings Logo

Bet $20, Payout $78

All UFC 265 Bets, odds, and lines are courtesy of DraftKings. DraftKings is currently offering a deposit bonus of up to $1,000 for new users with your first deposit.

  • Sign up to place your UFC 265 Bets today.
  • Learn more about DraftKings Sportsbook with our hands-on review.

DraftKings is also offering a Bet $1, Win $100 promo for this UFC 265 main event.

UFC veteran Derrick Lewis (25-7-0, 1 NC) will face up-and-comer Ciryl Gane (9-0-0) in an exciting Interim Heavyweight Championship bout at UFC 265 in Houston this weekend.

Gane’s nine wins are distributed equally between KOs/TKOs, submissions, and decisions, while 20 of Lewis’s 25 wins have come via knockout. Despite his inexperience and lack of finishes, Gane should make this fight interesting.

While Lewis may land some heavy shots on his opponent, Gane appears to be more active. He lands nearly twice as many strikes per minute (5.13) as Lewis (2.59), and while he absorbs more strikes as well, his 63% defense rate bodes well for him being able to take some shots.

Neither fighter is much of a threat when it comes to takedowns, although Gane has a 100% takedown defense rate. The French fighter has a handful of submission wins as well, so if the fight goes to the mat he has a clear advantage. 

One statistic that stands out is that Lewis has a lower significant strike rate than Gane despite being known for his knockout power. Perhaps this has to do with Gane having a small sample size of fights compared to Lewis. Maybe it has more to do with Lewis’s fights lasting six minutes shorter on average than Gane’s fights, as Lewis has 0.52 knockdowns per 15 minutes versus Gane’s 0.33 knockdowns per 15 minutes.

Lewis is a +290 underdog, is fighting in his hometown of Houston, and has been hovering around the championship for years. Bet on a determined and hungry Lewis to win in front of the home crowd.


Ciryl Gane vs Derrick Lewis Prop Bet Pick

Under 4.5 Rounds (-175)

prop bet

-175

Derrick Lewis vs. Ciryl Gane: Under 4.5 Rounds (UFC 265)

DraftKings Sportsbook Welcome Offer$1,000 Deposit Match
DraftKings Logo

Bet $20, Payout $31

As a headline pay-per-view fight, this will be a five-round fight, but there is only a slim chance it goes past round three. 

Lewis has only had one fight extend past the third round in his career. Granted, he has not had many fights with the opportunity for five rounds, but only six of his 32 professional bouts have even lasted until the end of the third round. Meanwhile, Gane has seen three of his nine fights end in a decision, and two of those contests were five-round headliner fights.

Both of these fighters have serious knockout power, and it’s incredibly likely that the referee calls an end to this fight before the fourth round. Take the under here, and enjoy an exciting fight.


UFC 265 Event Schedule

  • UFC 265 card event date: Saturday, August 7
  • UFC 265 early preliminary fights: 6 p.m. ET on UFC Fight Pass
  • UFC 265 preliminary fights: 8 p.m. ET on ESPN2 & ESPN+
  • UFC 265 main event start: 10 p.m. ET on ESPN+ PPV

Related articles

Promotions

Welcome offer Caesars Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $1,500 FREE

5 stars
Welcome offer BetMGM Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $1,000 Risk-Free

5 stars
Welcome offer BetRivers Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $250 Free

5 stars
Welcome offer Betway Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $250 Risk Free Bet

5 stars

Schedule & Odds

Top Offers

NBA Betting News

  • Celtics +300 to win NBA Title

    The Boston Celtics are +300 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The Celtics are +300 ahead of their home date with the Warriors for Game 6. We will see a considerable odds shift if the Celtics can win Game 6 on their homecourt. Boston was +310 after Game 5.

  • Celtics vs. Warriors over/under listed at 210

    The over/under for Game 6 of the NBA Finals between the Boston Celtics and the Golden State Warriors is listed at 210, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The total for this contest sits at 210, down from the 210.5 it opened at. 60 percent of the public action has come on the over.

  • Warriors -400 to win NBA Championship

    The Golden State Warriors are -400 to win the NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    Golden State now sits at a prohibitive -400 to win the NBA Championship. For comparison, Stephen Curry MVP is -360. Andrew Wiggins, the dark horse to steal the award with a big close-out game, sits at +2000.

  • Celtics +310 to win NBA Championship

    The Boston Celtics are +310 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The Celtics peaked as high as high as -230 prior to Game 3 and now sit at an attractive +310. Boston entered the season at +4000. The odds could swing wildly again if Boston wins Game 6.

  • Warriors vs. Celtics over/under listed at 210.5

    The over/under for Game 5 of the NBA Finals between the Golden State Warriors and the Boston Celtics is listed at 210.5, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The total for this contest sits at 210.5, down from the 212.5 it opened at. 72 percent of the public action has come on the over.