Justin Fields Draft Position Bet For The 2021 NFL Draft: How Far Will He Slip?
@FAmmiranteTFJPosted: Apr 19, 2021
Last updated: Apr 20, 2021
Picks in this article
With the 2021 NFL Draft approaching, here’s our tip on any Justin Fields Draft Position Bet opportunities that may be available for 2021 NFL Draft futures betting.
Read our full 2021 NFL Draft Guide for more betting tips, our 2021 NFL Mock Draft, our 2021 NFL Draft Player Scouting Reports, and more analysis and tips.
Justin Fields Draft Bet For 2021 NFL Draft
Make this wager at BetMGM right now.
- Justin Fields Draft Position: 4.5 — Pick 5 or later
- Over 2.70 (+170)/Under 1.44 (-227)
One of the biggest questions surrounding this year’s draft is where will Justin Fields be selected? Coming into this season, Fields was widely considered to be the second-best quarterback prospect behind Trevor Lawrence, but he’s been surpassed by Zach Wilson.
The Jaguars are a lock to select Lawrence first (-10000) and the Jets are likely to take Wilson second (-2500), leaving the 49ers at three as the highest slot for Fields to be selected. The 49ers are guaranteed to take a quarterback after trading up for this pick, but does Kyle Shanahan have his sights set on Mac Jones?
At first, it was widely reported that Shanahan was smitten with Jones, with Adam Schefter stating that the former Alabama star is the likely choice. Daniel Jeremiah also listed Jones at third overall in his most recent mock draft.
However, after Fields had his second Pro Day on April 14, the odds moved towards him as the favorite to go third overall (-132). I think this is an overreaction to the 49ers presence at the second Pro Day and I believe that Jones will be the pick at third overall. There’s just too much smoke for there not to be fire here.
That leaves the Atlanta Falcons at fourth overall. It appears that they are content with moving forward with Matt Ryan for the time being. There has been virtually no buzz on the Falcons targeting a quarterback in this year’s draft, but they could still take Fields or even Trey Lance. However, the most likely scenario is for them to trade down.
Mike Lombardi reported that the Washington Football Team loves Lance and will make an effort to trade up from 19th overall to select the former North Dakota State star. The Falcons plan to attend Lance’s second Pro Day on April 19th and have received calls to trade down.
It really looks like the first four selections of this year’s draft will be quarterbacks, with the odd man out likely falling towards the end of the top 10 picks. If you’re betting on the over here, you’re projecting the rumors to be true about Jones and the 49ers, as well as the Falcons or a trade partner selecting Lance.
Given that the over still has solid value, this looks like the best play here. There’s just too much risk in laying -227 on the under because of the presence of two other premium quarterback prospects. Take the value and bet on the over.
Pick: Justin Fields To Be Drafted OVER 2.70 (+170)
Player Prop
+170
Justin Fields Selected After Pick 4 (2021 NFL Draft)
Bet $20, Payout $54
