At the start of each campaign, all 20 Premier League teams have aspirations of winning the title, especially after Leicester City showed small clubs what was possible during their magical 2015-16 season.
However, by the turn of the year, things start to change. The top teams begin to separate themselves from the pack, leaving the bottom clubs in a fight for survival.
With the bottom three EPL teams getting relegated to the EFL Championship at the end of the season, surviving the drop is a must for clubs and their fan bases.
As we head into the final 12 matches of the 2025-26 campaign, two teams are almost guaranteed to be relegated, but who will join them?
Let’s dig into the latest EPL relegation odds and make our predictions.
Premier League Relegation Odds
Soccer odds used for these Premier League relegation predictions are current as of Tuesday, Feb. 17, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
| Place | Team | Games Played | Points | Goal Difference | Relegation Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 26 | 32 | -4 | (+1600) |
| 14 | Brighton | 26 | 32 | 0 | (+2000) |
| 15 | Leeds United | 26 | 30 | -9 | (+900) |
| 16 | Tottenham | 26 | 29 | -1 | (+500) |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest | 26 | 27 | -13 | (+240) |
| 18 | West Ham | 26 | 24 | -17 | (-125) |
| 19 | Bournemouth | 26 | 18 | -23 | (-3500) |
| 20 | Wolves | 26 | 9 | -32 | (-10000) |
While it doesn’t have a 100% track record, the magic number for staving off relegation is typically 40 points from 38 games.
Let’s dive into our 2025-26 EPL relegation predictions.
Premier League Relegation Predictions
Burnley (-3500) / Wolves (-10000)
There’s no reason to separate these two sides, who both look destined for the Championship.
Wolves have just one win in 26 games and will need another victory before the end of the season to avoid matching the mark set by 2007-08 Derby County as the only EPL side to win just once in 38 games. They also need three points to clear that Derby side’s competition record low of 11 points.
Burnley have been relatively better, but that’s a low bar. The Clarets have just four victories on the season, with their most recent triumph over Crystal Palace stemming a tide of 16 league matches without a win.
As the odds suggest, there’s very little chance that either of these teams pulls off a great escape.
Nottingham Forest (+240)
After finishing seventh last season and qualifying for the Europa League, Nottingham Forest has endured a tumultuous campaign that I believe will end in relegation.
The club just hired its fourth manager of the season, Vitor Pereira, who will follow Sean Dyche, Nuno Espirito Santo, and Ange Postecoglou, and try to get this runaway train back on the tracks.
That job won’t be easy, as the Tricky Trees have one win in their last five league matches, a run that includes a scoreless home draw with Wolves that proved to be the end of Dyche’s tenure.
- Check out our Premier League Winner Odds & Predictions.
Not only does Forest have to contend with a relegation battle, but the club also reached the Europa League play-off round, with a two-legged tie against Fenerbache to come over the next two weeks.
If that doesn’t go well, the mood could sour on Pereira quickly, making his job even tougher than it already is.
I’m backing Forest to get relegated as my soccer bet of the day.
Premier League Relegation Contenders
West Ham (-125)
West Ham have been in the relegation zone for basically the entire season, as they started the season with just one win in their first nine matches. However, they’re making a strong late-season push to avoid the drop.
The Hammers have won three of their last five games, closing the gap to Forest to just three points in the process.
Nuno’s squad will have to continue that form during the run-in, which features a mix of difficult fixtures and opportunities to pick up points.
As long as West Ham take care of business at home against the likes of Leeds, Everton, and Wolves, they’ll have a chance to stay up.
Tottenham (+500)
How a club like Tottenham keeps finding itself in the relegation conversation is beyond me. However, it can’t be ruled out.
Spurs just fired manager Thomas Frank after the former Brentford man managed to pick up just 29 points from 26 games.
- See where Brentford sit in the Premier League Top 4 odds.
Interim manager Igor Tudor will be tasked with turning around a team that hasn’t won a Premier League match in 2026, but qualified directly for the Champions League Round of 16.
That competition shouldn’t be a priority compared to avoiding relegation, but its presence could sap some squad energy ahead of crucial league games.
Still, with fixtures against Nottingham Forest, Wolves, and Leeds still to play, I expect Tottenham to pick up enough points to avoid the drop.
