The Chiefs, Cowboys, and Buccaneers are all attempting to put frustrating losses behind them, and those teams are prominently featured in our Week 7 NFL prop picks. Look for them to start out well en route to decisive victories.
After two solid weeks with game prop results — and a few painful near-misses on player props in Week 5 — I struggled again in Week 6. The season record has not improved as hoped yet, but I am narrowing the focus to stronger potential plays, as there is now a better sample size of results after six weeks.
Scott Engel 2022 NFL Props Record: 22-52 (-43 Units)
Before reading Scott’s picks, toggle with the widget below for our full list of NFL Week 7 player props:
NFL betting odds used for prop bets are from DraftKings Sportsbook (unless otherwise noted) and are current as of Wednesday, Oct. 19.
NFL Player Props Week 7
Travis Etienne: Over 51.5 Rushing Yards (-110) vs Giants
WAGER: 1.5 Units
Travis Etienne is starting to emerge as the dynamic sparkplug he was projected to be in the preseason. Early in the schedule, it appeared as though James Robinson was ready to reclaim a major role in the Jacksonville backfield, but now the statistical momentum has shifted to Etienne.
In the past two games, Etienne has rushed for 157 yards. The New York defense has played well overall, but the Giants are susceptible to the running game, as they have allowed the third-most rushing yards to RBs.
Allen Lazard: Anytime TD Scorer (+175) vs Commanders
WAGER: 1.5 Units
The Packers have certainly dealt with WR issues this season, but Allen Lazard has continued to be an incredibly consistent TD threat. He has eight TD receptions in his last eight games played, including four this season.
Washington has allowed eight TD receptions to WRs, tied for the second-most in the league. The Green Bay passing game may be a shadow of its past self, but Lazard is still a very bankable guy who should find the end zone again this week.
Brandon Aiyuk: Anytime TD Scorer (+170) vs Chiefs
WAGER: 1 Unit
Brandon Aiyuk is coming off his best game of the season, as he caught two TD passes for the first time in his career while totaling eight receptions for 83 yards on 11 targets. We are not chasing last week, yet the matchup is very good and the Kansas City defense has much else to focus on.
We will have to wait and see how much playing time Christian McCaffrey gets in his 49ers debut, but the Chiefs now have to game plan to face him along with Deebo Samuel and George Kittle. Aiyuk can get open frequently this week, and it is essential to highlight that Kansas City has allowed an NFL-high nine TD receptions to WRs.
Austin Ekeler & Kenneth Walker III: 200+ Rush Yards & 2+ Combined TDs (+400) – Seahawks vs Chargers
WAGER: 1 Unit
I have included a daring weekly special from DraftKings, and it’s one that can certainly hit. These two featured RBs have to combine to go Over 200 rushing yards and score twice from scrimmage, and the statistical totals are certainly attainable.
The Seahawks and Chargers rank 27th and 28th, respectively, in rushing yards allowed to RBs. Seattle ranks 26th in receiving yards allowed to RBs and this will be a highly exploitable matchup that is custom-made for Austin Ekeler.
Los Angeles has allowed eight TDs from scrimmage to RBs, and Kenneth Walker has tremendous upside. He is averaging 5.5 yards per carry and should do his part to make this a very compelling RB battle to watch and wager on.
Gerald Everett: Anytime TD Scorer (+165) vs Seahawks
WAGER: 1 Unit
Gerald Everett gets to face his former team this week, which always makes for a fun wager, and it is realistic for a player to want to burn his old squad, even if it is for just good-natured trash talk against his past teammates.
From a more solid statistical perspective, eyeing tight ends against the Seahawks has always been a sound approach, as Seattle has been more vulnerable to the position since their best defensive years. This year, the Seahawks have allowed the second-most receiving yards to the position, so Everett may be able to take a catch and run reception into the end zone.
Joe Burrow: Over 2.5 Passing TDs (+155) vs Falcons
WAGER: 1 Unit
Joe Burrow passed for three TDs for the second time this season in Week 6 vs New Orleans. This week, he faces the NFC’s worst pass defense and he will gun the ball frequently in an anticipated shootout with the Falcons.
Getting sacked has been less of an issue for Burrow in recent weeks, and Atlanta ranks next to last in the NFL with eight sacks. He will have ample time to pick the Falcons part, making this wager a quality NFL bet.
NFL Prop Bets Week 7
Chiefs vs 49ers: KC 21-30 Total Points Band (+140)
WAGER: 1.5 Units
Kansas City scored 20 points last week against Buffalo, the NFL’s best defense in terms of points allowed (13.5 per game). San Francisco is best in the NFC, allowing 14.8 per game, but the 49ers are dealing with a lot of significant injuries and allowed 28 points to the Falcons last week.
The Chiefs lead the NFL in offensive points per game at a 29.3 clip and are by far the best offense the Niners will have faced this season.
San Francisco has played against four teams ranked 25th or lower in points per game, and the other two — Seattle and Atlanta — are tied for eighth (24.3 per game). Neither the Seahawks nor the Falcons are truly considered to be among the league’s better offenses.
Giants vs Jaguars: Under 4.5 Total TDs (-110)
WAGER: 1.5 Units
Both of these teams are allowing fewer than 20 points per game, and the Jaguars rank 15th in offensive points per game (23), while the Giants are 18th (21.2).
New York has not allowed more than two offensive TDs in a game yet this season. The Giants have one dynamic playmaker on offense, and the Jaguars have a mediocre crew surrounding Trevor Lawrence.
Lions vs Cowboys: DAL 1st To Score/Moneyline (-105)
WAGER: 1 Unit
The Cowboys will come out quickly and leave no doubt in this matchup. They want to move forward after the loss to Philadelphia, and Dallas will start off well in the return game for Dak Prescott.
Dallas has averaged 6.7 first-quarter points per game, which is tied for seventh in the league, and it has fashioned that total without Prescott since he suffered a thumb injury in Week 1. The Lions average 8.3 first-quarter points per game at home, but just 3.5 on the road.
- Check out the latest NFL Week 7 Odds for more on the upcoming slate of games.
Buccaneers vs Panthers: TB TD For 1st Score (+160)
WAGER: 1 Unit
After enduring an embarrassing loss at Pittsburgh and defeats in three of its past four games, Tampa Bay will want to immediately establish the upper hand in a game it should win. The Buccaneers won’t let the Panthers hang close for a half like the Rams did last week.
Even though divisional games can sometimes be tighter matchups than we might expect, the Buccaneers are a strong NFL betting target in Week 7. Tom Brady is 10-4 vs the NFC South with 31 TD passes since 2020, and he has five TD passes in his last two starts at Carolina.
Falcons vs Bengals: ATL Over 20.5 Total Points (+100)
WAGER: 1 Unit
The Falcons are an overachieving, scrappy bunch that has won three of their last four games, including an impressive win over the 49ers. In all but one game so far this season, the Falcons have sailed past this projected points total.
Cincinnati allows 19.2 points per game, which puts them close to allowing the targeted total, and the pick becomes even more comfortable when you consider the Bengals allowed 26 points to an injury-riddled New Orleans offense last week.
Seahawks vs Chargers: LAC 2H -3.5 (-110)
WAGER: 1 Unit
Seattle has already exceeded most expectations from NFL analysts and fans by posting a 3-3 record so far. But two of their wins have come at home, and the one road victory was against the one-win Lions.
Look for the Chargers to pull away late for the win, as they are the best team the Seahawks have faced since losing at San Francisco in Week 2.
The Seahawks defense played its best game of the season in Week 6, holding Arizona to nine points, but they will have much more trouble handling Austin Ekeler. The Chargers are also expected to get Keenan Allen back this week. Seattle may hang tight for a half, but its defense will unravel late in the game.
