Super Bowl 58 kicks off Sunday with the San Francisco 49ers facing the Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas’ Allegiant Stadium.
The NFL Super Bowl MVP award market’s player pool has been condensed to two active teams — the winner of the showdown likely featuring the Super Bowl 58 MVP.
Some of the top players in the league are still vying for a championship, and the MVP may be the cherry on top. Let’s take a look at the current odds for the Most Valuable Player award heading into The Big Game.
Super Bowl MVP Odds 2024
These Super Bowl 58 odds for MVP are current as of Monday, Feb. 5, at 9 a.m. ET and provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.
- Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs
(+380)(+120)(+125) - Brock Purdy, QB, San Francisco 49ers
(+330)(+225) - Christian McCaffrey, RB, San Francisco 49ers
(+350)(+475) - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs
(+3000)(+1200) - Deebo Samuel, WR, San Francisco 49ers
(+5000)(+2000) - Isiah Pacheco, RB, Kansas City Chiefs
(+7000)(+3000)(+2800) - Rashee Rice, WR, Kansas City Chiefs
(+7000)(+5000) - George Kittle, TE, San Francisco 49ers
(+7000)(+6000) - Brandon Aiyuk, WR, San Francisco 49ers
(+6000)(+6500)(+6000) - Nick Bosa, DE, San Francisco 49ers
(+5000)(+7500) - All Others (+10000) or Longer
Not much has changed one week out from Super Bowl 58. That calm before the storm won’t last long.
Keep tabs on the latest NFL futures. Toggle with this widget to find our top Super Bowl MVP lines.
Super Bowl MVP Best Bet 2024
Patrick Mahomes (+135)
FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
Death. Taxes. Patrick Mahomes winning in the playoffs.
Nothing but respect to the future GOAT after letting the NFL universe know that he and Travis Kelce are still alive and thriving despite a subpar regular season. As bad as the Chiefs offense has looked, it finished eighth in DVOA heading into the playoffs.
K.C. has topped a couple of depleted defenses, but just beat the best unit in the league. His next task is to top a 49ers unit that allowed 31 points to the Lions.
The odds are low, but if you were line shopping and reading this article prior to the AFC Championship, you could have gotten Mahomes to win MVP at (+500).
Super Bowl MVP Favorites
Brock Purdy (+225)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
This Super Bowl prop is also (+225) at ESPN Bet.
Purdy did his best to throw away the 49ers season in the first half of the NFC Championship game, but showed why he is trusted by head coach Kyle Shanahan in the second half.
The second-year QB was throwing the ball with more zip, confidence, and purpose after spotting the Lions two scores. He was also aided by a little luck, as well, courtesy of Lions CB Kindle Vildor’s helmet.
If he can topple a stout Chiefs defense, there is little in his way to securing Super Bowl MVP.
Find the top Super Bowl betting apps to place your wagers Sunday.
Christian McCaffrey (+475)
Caesars Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.5 Units
Apparently, the only thing more locked in than Mahomes in the playoffs is McCaffrey finding the end zone. Like Purdy, CMC’s second half was more of what was expected from the best overall offensive talent in the NFL.
McCaffrey was scuffling to get three yards per carry before halftime and managed to end the NFC Championship game averaging 4.5 yards per carry once the final whistle blew.
CMC’s TD prowess puts him as a top position player to win MVP, especially if he scores multiple rushing TDs and catches another. Purdy’s issues playing a complete game the past few weeks leaves the door open.
Super Bowl MVP Sleepers & Value Bets
Travis Kelce (+1700)
FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.5 Units
The future Hall-of-Famer now has at least five catches and 71 receiving yards in every game this postseason, as well as three TDs. Injuries, age, inconsistency, and a newfound fame may have had their hands in his lackluster regular season, but Kelce is shining with another Super Bowl in sight.
Kelce’s path to MVP is live if Mahomes has a subpar passing game and any passing scores go to his buddy Kelce.
Deebo Samuel (+2500)
BetMGM Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.25 units
Samuel has seen the biggest drop in odds, with my on him bet last week posting at (+3800).
Samuel’s shoulder issue was a non-issue in the NFC Championship, and once he was featured correctly in the second half, it was business as usual.
Like Kelce, Samuel has a chance at MVP with multiple scores and a poor game from Purdy beyond his passing scores.
How to Bet on Super Bowl MVP 2024
The first thing you need to think about when placing a bet on the Super Bowl‘s MVP is whether this player plays for the team that will win.
The Super Bowl MVP comes from the championship team, so it’s important to place a wager on a player who you think plays on the winning team. Only one MVP has come from the losing team…53 years ago.
Two Super Bowl MVP trends to remember:
1. The prudent play when selecting your Super Bowl MVP is to pick a quarterback. 32 quarterbacks have won this award out of 57 Super Bowls (56.1%).
The NFL is more of a passing league nowadays, which is further reflected in the recent award winners: quarterbacks have won Super Bowl MVP in 12 of the past 17 years.
2. The next closest positions are wide receiver (8) and running back (7).
It’s interesting to note that a wideout has won the award five times in the last 18 Super Bowls, including Rams receiver Cooper Kupp, who won the MVP in 2022.
A running back has not won Super Bowl MVP since Terrell Davis in 1998.
This means that if you want to make a longshot bet on Super Bowl MVP, your best choice would be to select a wide receiver rather than a running back, especially due to the pass-heavy nature of today’s NFL. There has never been a tight end that won this award.
3. Find a sportsbook with a welcome offer or promotion for NFL betting:
Where can I bet the Super Bowl MVP?
While Super Bowl props are the main attraction when betting on the big game, some states have restrictions as to which novelty props sportsbooks can offer.
Here is a full list of the states in which certain Super Bowl props are available:
Coin Toss: AZ, IL, IN, MD, MI, MS, NJ, NY, PA, WA, WV, WY
Gatorade Color: AZ, IL, MD, NJ, WV
National Anthem: IL, MD
MVP Award: AZ, CT, CO, DC, KS, IA, IL, IN, LA, MD, MI, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, WA, WV, WY
Negative Outcomes: AZ, CT, CO, DC, KS, IL, IN, LA, MD, MI, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WA, WV, WY
