Super Bowl Predictions 2025

It all comes down to this.

The Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles will battle for the Lombardi Trophy for the second time in three seasons when they clash in Super Bowl 59 on Sunday, Feb. 9, at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans.

Harrison Butker connected on a 27-yard field goal in Super Bowl 57’s final moments to give the Chiefs a 38-35 victory over the Eagles, helping Kansas City to its second title in four seasons, which it successfully defended last year against the San Francisco 49ers.

What will happen this time as Andy Reid’s squad looks to become the first team in NFL history to win three consecutive Super Bowls? Let’s get into my Super Bowl 59 predictions.

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Super Bowl Prediction

FINAL SCORE PICK: Chiefs 27, Eagles 24

Three points separated these franchises in Super Bowl 57, and I would be surprised if this contest weren’t similarly decided in the final moments. Ultimately, it feels inevitable that the Chiefs prevail, as Patrick Mahomes always seems to do just enough to lead his team to victory.

Kansas City has played in 12 one-possession games this campaign, including the AFC Championship Game against the Buffalo Bills, and has won all of them. Andy Reid’s squad manages the late-game moments better than anyone and has repeatedly proven it on this grandest of stages.

Super Bowl Spread Bet

Chiefs -1.5 (-110)

Betting on the Chiefs has become a relatively easy proposition in recent years. When they’re sizable favorites laying more than a field goal, take the points with the underdog. When they’re small favorites or underdogs, back Mahomes to prevail.

The numbers back it up. In the playoffs, Mahomes is 8-0 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) as an underdog or favorite of less than three points. He is 17-3 SU in his postseason career, with the lone losses coming against Tom Brady (twice) and Joe Burrow.

• Get ready for Chiefs vs Eagles with our Super Bowl Prop Bet Sheet.

Jalen Hurts has shown he can be in that elite group, but he’s far less consistent than those two. The Philadelphia signal-caller was superb when these teams met in Super Bowl 57 and turned it on in the NFC Championship Game against Washington, but this offense has been bailed out by Saquon Barkley house calls a lot recently.

What happens if those don’t come? What happens if the Eagles have to play catch up?

I don’t trust Hurts as much as Mahomes in those situations, which isn’t a criticism whatsoever. There’s no current NFL quarterback I trust more than him to manage the game effectively. Sometimes, we have to acknowledge that we’re watching a level of greatness we’ve never seen before, and that’s the case here.

Until someone knocks the Chiefs from their throne, I will keep backing Mahomes in these spots. Back Kansas City to win a historic third consecutive Super Bowl as one of your best NFL bets today.

Super Bowl Over/Under Bet

Over 49 Total Points (-110)

Two years ago, these teams put up a combined 73 points in Glendale, giving us the third-highest-scoring Super Bowl in history.

Do I expect a repeat of that performance? No. Do I expect this to be one of the lower-scoring Super Bowls in history? Also no.

Philadelphia’s defense led the NFL in total yards per game allowed (278.4) and was second in scoring defense (17.8). It has some of the key ingredients to slow down the Chiefs, notably pass-rushers like Jalen Carter and Nolan Smith, who could overpower a relatively weak Kansas City offensive line. It also has talented corners that can play man coverage on the outside.

My concern is that Mahomes is familiar with DC Vic Fangio’s scheme from his time in Denver, which should be helpful even though the talent he’s working with is different. And while the Chiefs finally broke the 30-point threshold for the first time this season in the AFC Championship Game, they got to the high 20s a lot.

• Who will make the difference in the Big Game? Check out our Super Bowl MVP predictions.

Kansas City’s defense ranked fourth in points allowed (19.2) and ninth in total yards surrendered (320.6) during the regular season, but Spagnuolo’s group is more of the bend-don’t-break variety. The Chiefs struggled to stop James Cook last week, an ominous sign heading into a matchup against Barkley, who has been the best running back in the league from start to finish.

This game will also take place indoors on a fast track, which lends itself to a high-scoring environment. With the total sitting on this key number of 49, I’m inclined to take the Over.

Super Bowl 59 Staff Predictions