Both the Texans and the Raiders are one-win teams, and they face off in a late afternoon game in Las Vegas. The saying might be that what happens in Vegas stays in Vegas, but if the Raiders lose, then their fans are unlikely to forget about it.
Despite the similarities in records, Las Vegas has played much better than Houston when playing similar opponents. Below, please read about how I factor that in for my Houston vs Las Vegas best bets.
Texans vs Raiders Odds
At home against a weaker team, odds makers have determined that the Raiders should win by a touchdown in a game with modest scoring. A cursory look at their game logs suggests that this is the right conclusion to make, but this game has the potential to get ugly.
Texans vs Raiders Implied Totals
Raiders 26.25, Texans 19.25
The bookmakers believe that the Raiders should score about four touchdowns and the Texans should score only three.
Texans vs Raiders Pick of the Day
Read more on this Texans vs Raiders bet below.
Texans vs Raiders Prediction
Raiders 31, Texans 20
The Texans/Raiders game is an excellent example of a game where records can be misleading. Both teams have only one win, but the Raiders have played much better.
Las Vegas has an average scoring margin of -1, which is less than half a point better than the median NFL team. The Raiders should be a .500-level team, but because of bad breaks, they have a poor record.
Houston is not as bad as they look, as they have an average scoring margin of -2.6. This looks not that much worse than Las Vegas until you consider the types of opponents both teams have played.
One way to assess two teams is to see how they have done playing similar opponents. For example, the Raiders have played five playoff-caliber teams in the Chargers, Cardinals, Titans, Broncos, and Chiefs.
Las Vegas lost to KC by only a point, Tennessee by two points, Los Angeles by five, and Arizona by six. You might not have a bad team when all your losses are by less than a touchdown against playoff teams.
Houston’s only win has come against the Jaguars, and they fared worse against the Broncos and Chargers than Las Vegas. So the Raiders shouldn’t have any issues winning at home this weekend.
Texans vs Raiders Bet Tips
Here are some Texans vs Raiders betting trends to consider before placing your bets:
- Houston is 3-1-1 against the spread
- Vegas is 2-3 against the spread
- Pinnacle is taking $10,000 max bets from winning bettors on this game
- Texans DE Jonathan Greenard is Questionable with a calf injury
- Raiders WR Hunter Renfrow did not practice on Thursday with a hip injury and is Questionable.
- Darren Waller remained sidelined Thursday with a hamstring injury and is Questionable, while Raiders TE Foster Moreau remained limited with a knee injury.
Texans vs Raiders Best Bets
Raiders -7 (-108) at FanDuel Sportsbook
The Raiders have a hefty spread to cover, but I think Derek Carr and their offense can cover it. I expect it will be an ugly game with home-field advantage and a weak Texans team.
The Raiders should jump to an early lead that they slowly pad. I like Las Vegas, and I would bet them up to -7.5.
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Over 45.5 Points (-110) at FanDuel Sportsbook
The Raiders will be ahead most of the game, which is why I like a small play on the Over. With the Texans behind, they should play more aggressively on offense which helps with having 46 or more points being scored.
I like the Over and would bet it up to 46.5 points.
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