With three Super Bowl rings before the age of 30, Patrick Mahomes has quickly put his name in the conversation among the NFL’s all-time great quarterbacks.
The Kansas City Chiefs star has the opportunity to add to his legacy on Sunday when his team faces the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl 59. With a victory, Mahomes would pick up an NFL-record third consecutive Lombardi Trophy and his fourth in six seasons.
What will Mahomes have in store against a Philadelphia defense that had success against in Super Bowl 57? Let’s dig into my favorite Patrick Mahomes props for this must-see matchup.
All NFL odds used for these Patrick Mahomes prop bets are current as of Monday, Feb. 3, at 4:30 p.m. ET.
Patrick Mahomes Interception Prop
Patrick Mahomes: Under 0.5 Interceptions (-130)
After turning the ball over in seven straight games to start the season, Mahomes has handled it with much more care down the campaign’s final stretch. He has now attempted 288 passes since his most recent interception, a fourth-quarter pick against the Bills in a Week 11 loss at Highmark Stadium.
In four previous Super Bowl appearances, Mahomes has a 7:5 TD:INT ratio. However, he has only thrown eight interceptions in 20 career playoff games, including just one in his previous nine playoff outings.
- Get ready for Chiefs vs Eagles with our Super Bowl 59 predictions.
Since the Tyreek Hill trade a few years back, Mahomes has greatly improved at taking what the defense gives him, which tends to be low-risk passes near the line of scrimmage, significantly limiting his turnover potential.
And while the Eagles’ defense has taken the ball away at an alarming rate this postseason — Philly has forced 10 turnovers (four INTs) in three postseason games — it has essentially played with a lead the entire time. That may not continue as an underdog in this matchup, and Mahomes knows DC Vic Fangio’s scheme well from his time in Denver.
I’ll back the league’s best quarterback to continue to take care of the ball on Sunday.
Sportsbook Play of the Day
Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards Prop
Patrick Mahomes: Over 6.5 Rush Attempts (+113)
The Patrick Mahomes prop I like the most is his rushing attempts prop.
Mahomes has used his legs more this postseason than any before, rushing 18 times across the Buffalo and Houston games. That volume led him Over this number in both matchups.
Kneel-downs have played a factor, as he had two in the fourth quarter and one at the end of the first half in each game. Still, he would’ve cashed this prop in the AFC Championship Game without those. There’s also a decent chance that those opportunities will be there on Sunday since Kansas City is favored to win.
Mahomes has gone Over this number in two of four Super Bowl appearances, including last year’s win against a vaunted 49ers’ defense. Seven of those carries came before overtime, and none were kneel-downs. Mahomes is more willing to run in the most important games, and it wouldn’t surprise me if Jalen Carter’s pressure up the middle forces him to evacuate the pocket more often than he would like.
Back Mahomes to go over his rushing attempts prop at plus-money odds as one of your best NFL bets today.
