The Houston Texans may be starting over yet again, but there’s a certain electricity in the air this time around that arguably was missing from the one-year David Culley and Lovie Smith regimes.
The hiring of DeMeco Ryans, who once toiled for the organization as a player and is considered one of the brightest up and coming coaches league-wide, to head up the team is a major reason.
So, too, is Houston’s first-round haul this past April, which netted potential franchise cornerstones on either side of the ball in quarterback C.J. Stroud and linebacker Will Anderson Jr.
While the Texans seemingly have plenty to overcome on the road back to respectability after going a combined 11-38-1 over the last three seasons, there’s reason to believe a significant step forward could be possible in 2023.
Texans Best Futures Odds
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NFL odds featured in this Texans report were found at FanDuel Sportsbook and are current as of Monday, May 30, at 8 p.m. ET.
Texans Win Total Odds
- Over 6.5 Wins (+116)
- Under 6.5 Wins (-144)
Texans Win Total Bet: Under 6.5 Wins (-144)
FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
Doubling last season’s three-win total seems like a solid target for the rebuilding Texans to strive for this season.
Assuming Stroud starts from Day 1, there will undoubtedly be growing pains in the form of missed reads and turnovers right along with the spectacular plays. The rookie won’t exactly have the most dynamic group of pass catchers to start his career with, either, with Robert Woods miscast as a No. 1 receiver.
However, speedy Nico Collins and veteran tight end Dalton Schultz will offer some firepower, while the Dameon Pierce-Devin Singletary backfield pairing should be a major help. On the other side, the defense should certainly make strides under Ryan’s purview and with a notable offseason talent infusion.
Nevertheless, the Jaguars should be the class of the division, the Colts and Titans will be tough outs, and Houston has to deal with a thorny AFC North as well as the Saints and Jets in terms of non-division opponents.
Texans Make Playoffs Odds
- Yes (+520)
- No (-800)
Texans Make Playoffs Bet: No (-800)
FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
As just outlined, I project the Texans for a six-win season, which would certainly be a notable improvement.
That would still leave Ryan’s squad well short of the playoffs but certainly tee up a potential berth as early as 2024, especially if Stroud is able to start the entire season and pick up valuable experience in the process.
Texans Futures Prop Bets
To Win Exactly 6 Games (+550)
FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
The Texans, ranked 22nd in our offensive line power rankings, should be able to find six wins among their 17 games, given the improving talent on the team.
On the divisional end of things, a sweep by the Jaguars wouldn’t surprise, but splits with the Titans and Colts are certainly possible.
Houston also draws an NFC South ledger of opponents in terms of the bulk of its interconference matchups, and the Falcons, Panthers and Buccaneers are all teams the Texans could reasonably overcome.
Throw in an inevitable upset or two of a superior squad along the way, and six wins is worth rolling the dice on.
To Score 1+ TD In Every Regular-Season Game (+500)
FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
Even with an offensive cast that would arguably be inferior to this season’s group overall, the Texans still managed to score at least one touchdown in all but two 2022 games.
The addition of talent like Stroud, Singletary, Schultz, and “redshirt rookie” John Metchie III will give Houston the additional weapons it needs to get into the end zone at least once in each game.
C.J. Stroud Over 3200.5 Passing Yards (-112)
FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
It’s not a stretch to predict Stroud will be given the keys to the offense from Week 1, despite the presence of holdover Davis Mills and veteran Case Keenum.
Even if the second overall pick gets into the starting lineup two or three games into the season, this prop, which Stroud would need to average 188.3 passing yards per contest in a full 17-game slate to hit, is certainly within his reach.
Read more about Stroud and the rest of the Texans’ 2023 NFL Draft.
Texans Game Odds & Lines
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Texans Best Player Prop Odds
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More AFC South odds: Indianapolis Colts | Jacksonville Jaguars | Tennessee Titans
How to Bet on Texans Games in 2023
How to Bet Texans Moneylines
NFL moneyline wagers are the simplest forms of NFL bets. All you have to do is pick a team to win a given game, and if they do, you win your bet.
Since winning is the only requirement to cash your bet, the odds for NFL moneylines can vary greatly depending on each team’s implied probability of winning (or losing) that game. Favorites are designated by a minus symbol (-110), whereas underdogs are represented by a plus symbol (+110).
If the Texans are a (-110) favorite against the rival Colts, you would have to bet $10 to turn a $9.09 profit. If Houston was a (+110) underdog, you would profit $11 off a $10 bet.
- 2022 Texans Moneyline Record: 3-13-1
How to Bet Texans Spreads
Betting the spread is the most efficient way to wager on NFL games, as it presents two evenly priced options. The spread, which is assigned a value by the books, is the number of points that the favorite is expected to win by against the underdog.
If the Texans are 3-point favorites over the Colts, the spread for that game will be set up like this: Texans -3 (-110) vs Colts +3 (-110).
In this scenario, the Texans would have to win by more than three points for you to win your bet. If they were to win by a field goal, your bet would push and you would recoup your initial wager.
Despite its ugly overall record in 2022, the Texans played many teams close enough to cover in eight of their 17 games. With what’s considered an improved roster this season, they could improve on that showing.
- 2022 Texans Against the Spread Record: 8-8-1
How to Bet Texans Over/Unders
If you don’t want to pick a side, you can still bet on Texans games by wagering on the total number of points scored.
Sportsbooks set the amount of combined points they expect both teams in the game to score, and then you can bet on either the Over or the Under.
If you expect Stroud, Pierce, and the Texans to light up the scoreboard, then you’ll probably want to take the Over. If you think a specific game could be more defensive, then you would bet the Under. Houston’s games were lower-scoring more often than not last season often due to the Texans’ own inability to contribute enough to the final point tally, but that could certainly change this season with an improved offensive arsenal.
- 2022 Texans Over/Under Record: 7-10