Super Bowl 57 will feature a deluxe helping of player prop picks to consider. On Conference Championship weekend, I split on all my selections and will now look to finish with a flourish after my playoff results have been steadier so far.
Even the best players can make us sweat. I recommended Travis Kelce at Over 76.5 yards against the Bengals, and thankfully cashed when he finished with 78.
In Super Bowl 57, passing and receiving yardage will be harder to earn for the Chiefs against the NFL’s top pass defense. Meanwhile, Kansas City allowed an NFL-high 33 passing TDs during the regular season, although the Chiefs allowed only two passing TDs in two AFC playoff games.
Philadelphia has set a record for most rushing TDs in a season (39), including the playoffs, breaking a previous record that was set in 1962. But the Eagles have also allowed a rushing TD in seven consecutive games overall, another stat to consider when perusing the Super Bowl 57 player prop options.
All Super Bowl Odds used in Scott’s NFL player props below are current as of Thursday, Feb. 2.
Super Bowl 57 Player Prop Bet Odds
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Scott Engel’s 2022 NFL prop betting record: 91-164-1 (-80 Units)
Best Eagles Player Props for Super Bowl 57
DeVonta Smith: Anytime TD Scorer (+155) at DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
The Chiefs allowed an AFC-high 20 TD receptions to wide receivers during the regular season. They allowed two more to the position during the AFC playoffs.
Smith was held to two receptions in the NFC Championship Game, but he can easily bounce back to catch a TD pass in Super Bowl 57. He had a TD reception in the divisional round against the Giants.
- See our full list of the best Super Bowl touchdown props.
Smith had eight-plus targets in the four games prior to facing the 49ers, so his healthy amount of playmaking opportunities should return against the Chiefs’ secondary. I’m listing this as my top NFL pick of the day.
A.J. Brown: Longest Reception Over 26.5 Yards (-110) at DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
During the regular season, Brown averaged 17 yards per reception, which ranked fourth in the NFL. He is a threat to either make a big catch downfield or break away from defenders after a reception.
Brown had long receptions of 28 and 22 yards in two NFC playoff games. In his final six regular-season games, he had a long reception of 30-plus yards in every outing.
Kansas City ranked 19th in passing yards allowed per game during the regular season.
Miles Sanders: Over 13.5 Rushing Attempts (-105) at DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
Sanders had 11 rushing attempts in the NFC Championship Game as we saw Kenneth Gainwell rush 14 times in a blowout. Super Bowl 57 should be a tighter game and Sanders will also be a key factor in establishing an ideal offensive balance for the Eagles.
In the divisional round, Sanders had 17 rushing attempts. He averaged a career-high 15.2 rushing attempts per game during the regular season.
I did highlight the Eagles’ historic rushing TD proficiency this season, so Sanders should be considered as an Anytime TD Scorer play at -120.
Jalen Hurts: Under 246.5 Passing Yards (-115) at DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
We could see some receiving heroics from Smith and Brown against the Kansas City secondary, but the Eagles may pick their spots to attack via the pass. They are a very balanced team that can potentially beat the Chiefs in various ways.
- Find more of our top Jalen Hurts Super Bowl props.
Hurts can obviously challenge the Kansas City defense as both a runner and passer, yet he doesn’t have a lot of upside in terms of passing yards when you consider recent results. He has not passed for 160 yards in two playoff games and he did not reach the projected passing total here in six of his last eight regular-season games played.
Best Chiefs Player Props for Super Bowl 57
Patrick Mahomes: Under 289.5 Passing Yards (-115) at DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
Mahomes passed for 326 yards in the AFC Championship Game, but Cincinnati’s pass defense ranked 26th during the regular season. Reaching the projected yardage total is a stiff challenge for any QB against the Eagles.
- Discover what else our experts are betting for Patrick Mahomes Super Bowl props.
Philadelphia has allowed over 260 passing yards just once in a game this season, and that was in one of the two games Hurts missed late in the year. Mahomes has not passed for more than 230 yards in three of his last five games overall.
Jerick McKinnon: Over 3.5 Receptions (+120) at DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
The Eagles’ pass defense will be heavily focused on Kelce, and Mahomes’ wide receivers are unreliable. The wideouts may not get open consistently against the Philadelphia defensive backs.
Mahomes is comfortable checking down or dumping off to McKinnon, who had four targets in the AFC Championship Game and five-plus catches in three of his final five regular-season games. Philadelphia ranked 21st in receptions allowed to RBs during the regular season.
Isiah Pacheco: Anytime TD Scorer (+115) at DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
The Philadelphia pass defense is top-notch, but the Eagles can be more vulnerable to the ground game. As I mentioned previously, the Eagles have been consistently allowing rushing TDs in recent games.
During the regular season, Philadelphia allowed 15 rushing TDs, which ranked 19th in the NFL. Pacheco had five rushing TDs, and you can also consider Mahomes as an Anytime TD Scorer (+475), as he had a career-high four rushing TDs this campaign.
Travis Kelce: Under 79.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 0.5 Units
The defensive game plan of the Eagles will be obvious. They will try to contain Kelce as much as possible.
While no opponent can fully stifle the guy who is arguably the greatest receiving TE of all time, Kelce has been better for volume over huge yardage numbers recently. He has six-plus receptions in each of his last six games while being held under the projected yardage total in three of his past four.
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Best Head-to-Head Player Props for Super Bowl 57
A.J. Brown -34.5 Receiving Yards vs Marquez Valdes-Scantling (-115) at DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
I previously indicated that Brown has upside against a Kansas City secondary that can be vulnerable to potential big plays. Overall, the Chiefs unit has received some impressive play at times from a good draft class, but the Eagles certainly have the better pass defense.
Brown only had 50 receiving yards in two NFC Playoff games, but they were one-sided affairs and he should be much more productive in a closer Super Bowl matchup. We should see the Brown that finished the regular season with 95-plus receiving yards in five of his last six games.
Valdes-Scantling had 116 yards in the AFC Championship Game, yet he did not top 30 receiving yards in his previous six outings.
Miles Sanders - 0.5 TDs vs Isiah Pacheco (+205) at DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 0.5 Units
While I do like taking Pacheco to rush for a TD, I would not be surprised at all to see Sanders rush for more than one TD if the game becomes a higher-scoring matchup. As previously noted, the Eagles score so frequently via the run that Sanders could still rush for more than one TD even if other RBs get their end-zone chances.
Sanders has rushed for 13 TDs, including in the playoffs. Pacheco has rushed for five TDs, none in the postseason.
