Super Bowl 59 will feature a rematch of Super Bowl 57 as the Kansas City Chiefs go for the three-peat against the Philadelphia Eagles.
As with every Super Bowl, there are several player props to target, from stars like Patrick Mahomes and Saquon Barkley to supporting players like JuJu Smith-Schuster and Kenneth Gainwell.
With that in mind, let’s take a closer look at some of my favorite player props for Super Bowl LIX between the Chiefs and Eagles.
All Super Bowl Odds used in Frank’s NFL player props below are current as of Tuesday, Jan. 28.
Best Eagles Player Props for Super Bowl 59
Jalen Hurts: Over 26.5 Pass Attempts (-125) at Caesars Sportsbook
While Jalen Hurts has gone Under 26.5 pass attempts quite often lately, this is the game script to take the Over.
We’re likely going to see a close game that comes down to the wire, as highlighted in the betting market with the Chiefs as 1.5-point favorites.
That means more pass attempts for Hurts, especially at the end of the game where we could see the Eagles try to play fast to kick a last-minute field goal.
- See our full list of the best Super Bowl props.
The Chiefs allowed 33.2 pass attempts per game to opposing quarterbacks this season. Take a look at the game log of QB pass attempts vs Kansas City this year:
- Josh Allen (2): 34
- C.J. Stroud (2): 28
- Bo Nix (2): 29
- Russell Wilson: 37
- C.J. Stroud (1): 39
- Jameis Winston/Dorian Thompson-Robinson: 25/9
- Justin Herbert (2): 30
- Aidan O’Connell: 35
- Bryce Young: 35
- Josh Allen (1): 40
- Bo Nix (1): 30
- Baker Mayfield: 31
- Gardner Minshew: 30
- Brock Purdy: 31
- Derek Carr/Jake Haener: 28/7
- Justin Herbert (1): 27
- Kirk Cousins: 29
- Joe Burrow: 36
- Lamar Jackson: 41
Each opposing team has combined for 27+ pass attempts against the Chiefs this year. The only time when a starting quarterback failed to hit this number vs Kansas City was when Jameis Winston was benched.
Hurts Over 26.5 pass attempts looks like the best bet of the Super Bowl, so take this now in my NFL pick of the day.
Saquon Barkley: Under 22.5 Rush Attempts (-117) at DraftKings Sportsbook
Since we’re likely to see more pass attempts from the Eagles in this game, that means that Saquon Barkley Under 22.5 rush attempts makes sense.
While Barkley has gone Over 22.5 rush attempts in four of his last five games, the Chiefs have allowed only 18.9 carries to running backs this season.
Let’s take a look at what the leading opposing rusher did vs the Chiefs in each game this year:
- James Cook (2): 13
- Joe Mixon (2): 18
- Jaleel McLaughlin: 16
- Najee Harris: 13
- Joe Mixon (1): 14
- Nick Chubb: 9
- Gus Edwards: 10
- Sincere McCormick: 12
- Chuba Hubbard: 16
- James Cook (1): 9
- Audric Estime: 14
- Bucky Irving: 7
- Alexander Mattison: 14
- Jordan Mason: 14
- Alvin Kamara: 11
- J.K. Dobbins: 14
- Bijan Robinson: 16
- Zack Moss: 12
- Derrick Henry: 13
As you can see here, there hasn’t been a single lead ball carrier to get to 23+ carries vs the Chiefs this season. Take Saquon to go Under 22.5 rush attempts in this spot.
Dallas Goedert: Over 49.5 Receiving Yards (-113) at DraftKings Sportsbook
Since I’m expecting the Eagles to pass more than usual in this game, it makes sense to target the Over on one of their pass-catchers.
Dallas Goedert looks like a terrific choice because the Chiefs struggle against tight ends.
Kansas City has given up 67.2 receiving yards per game to tight ends this season.
It also helps that Goedert has come alive during this playoff run, putting up 188 yards in three games, including 85 against the Commanders last week.
Bet on Goedert to get 50+ receiving yards in this favorable matchup.
Sportsbook Play of the Day
Best Chiefs Player Props for Super Bowl 59
Patrick Mahomes: Over 23.5 Completions (-125) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
If this game goes down to the wire as I expect, that would mean that Patrick Mahomes would be in a spot where he’d have to play fast, dinking-and-dunking his way down the field for the chance at a game-winning field goal.
That would bode well for his Over 23.5 completions prop.
Mahomes has gone Over this number in 10 of his last 16 games.
You’re likely to see the Chiefs struggle to run the ball with Kareem Hunt and Isiah Pacheco, especially against an Eagles defense that has allowed only 4.08 yards per carry this season.
That means more passing volume, giving Mahomes a good chance at hitting this prop.
Samaje Perine: Over 6.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at Caesars Sportsbook
Here we have a sneaky prop on the Chiefs’ third-down and hurry-up back, Samaje Perine.
While this is a player who has a marginal role in the offense, we’ve seen him get loose for a chunk play quite often this season.
In fact, Perine has gone Over 6.5 receiving yards in 16 of 19 games this season, which is good for an 84.2% hit rate.
I can’t pass that up in a game that projects to be close, which would mean more opportunities for targets for this third-down back.
Xavier Worthy: Over 5.5 Rushing Yards (-113) at DraftKings Sportsbook
This is another low-key prop that you should target, going with rushing instead of receiving yards on the Chiefs’ top wideout, Xavier Worthy.
You can bet that Andy Reid will dig deep into his bag of tricks in the big game.
That could mean involving Worthy on a reverse or some other type of trick play as they try to take advantage of the rookie’s game-breaking speed.
Worthy has rushed for 58 yards in his last five games, with four of those at 10+ yards and one at -8.
The rookie has at least two rush attempts in four of those matchups as well, so it’s clear that the Chiefs are making it a priority to get the ball in his hands in any way they can.
All we need is six yards here, so ride with Worthy in the big game.
Best Head-to-Head Player Props for Super Bowl 59
Dallas Goedert +14.5 Receiving Yards vs Travis Kelce (-115) at DraftKings Sportsbook
I’m already riding with Dallas Goedert Over 49.5 receiving yards, so it makes sense to take him +14.5 against Travis Kelce.
We’re getting a slightly favorable number at +14.5 because Goedert and Kelce’s receiving yards prop are only 14 yards apart.
The reason why I like Goedert is because Kansas City is giving up 67.2 receiving yards to tight ends, while Philadelphia is at 40.9.
That doesn’t mean that Kelce will be shut down, it just makes me prefer getting +14.5 receiving yards with Goedert here.
