The Chicago Bears (3-4) are coming off their most-impressive win on Monday Night Football, blowing out the New England Patriots, 33-14.
They will visit the Dallas Cowboys (5-2), who are coming off of a dominant win of their own, smothering the Detroit Lions in Week 7, 24-6.
In a matchup chock-full of early NFC playoff implications, this is a must-win game for both sides.
Let’s take a look at my Chicago vs Dallas best bets and NFL betting tips for Week 8.
Bears vs Cowboys Odds
The oddsmakers have set the Cowboys as heavy 9.5-point betting favorites over the Bears. If you like the Cowboys to cover, I would jump on this line as it stands.
If the line moves to -10, I would be inclined to buy down the line back to -9.5 to avoid a push.
*All odds and lines are current as of noon ET on Tuesday, Oct. 25, at Caesars Sportsbook.
Bears vs Cowboys Implied Totals
Cowboys 26.5, Bears 16
The Cowboys are scoring 19.1 points per game this season, which means the oddsmakers believe they are worth five more points with Dak Prescott under center. Dallas scored 24 last week in Prescott’s first game back.
The Bears are averaging 18 points per game. This suggests that the oddsmakers believe the Dallas defense will bottle up a Bears offense that has been on a positive trajectory of late.
Bears vs Cowboys Pick of the Day
Read more on this Bears vs Cowboys bet below.
Bears vs Cowboys Prediction
Cowboys 27, Bears 13
With Prescott back in the saddle, the Cowboys’ offense appeared more functional in last week’s blowout win over the Lions. While they got off to a slow start, the Cowboys began picking it up as the game progressed and Prescott became more comfortable.
While the Bears’ defense is stout, superior quarterbacks including Kirk Cousins and Aaron Rodgers, who are both around Prescott’s tier or greater, both led their teams to drop 29 and 27 points, respectively, on the Bears.
When it comes to the Cowboys’ defense, you can make a case that they are among the best in the NFL. Outside of the Eagles, who scored 26 points on them, the Dallas defense has conceded fewer than 19 points in every other game this season, including three games yielding fewer than 10 points.
This game will come down to Justin Fields, who has been progressively improving. If he can make plays with his legs and cease to turn over the football, the Bears will keep it close. However, that will be a tough task.
The Cowboys have recorded 13 takeaways while the Bears have recorded 11 giveaways.
Turnovers will ultimately cost Chicago the game.
Bears vs Cowboys Bet Tips
Here are some Bears vs Cowboys betting trends to consider before placing your bets:
- The Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their past six games.
- The Under is 6-0 in the Cowboys’ past six games at home.
- The Cowboys are 11-1 ATS in their past 12 games against teams with a losing record.
- The Bears are 2-11 ATS in their past 13 games on the road against teams with a positive home record.
Bears vs Cowboys Best Bets
Cowboys -9.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
The Cowboys have dominated inferior teams against the spread. While the Bears are improving by the game, they are still beating teams at their level while struggling against the more-competent teams in the NFL.
When it comes to the Cowboys’ advantage in the giveaway-takeaway department, that will be the deciding favor in the game. The more opportunities you give the Dallas offense, the more points they will drop whether it’s via field goals or touchdowns, which will help them cover the -9.5 spread.
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Under 42.5 Total Points (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
The Cowboys’ defense is only allowing 14.9 points per game, which is the second-fewest in the NFL. Meanwhile, the Bears are only scoring 18 points per game, which is bottom 12 in the NFL.
Furthermore, the Under is 6-0 in the past six Cowboys home games, and even if the Cowboys drop a large point total on the Bears, Chicago won’t muster up enough points to hold up their end of the bargain to hit the Over, making the Under the best bet.
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