With five weeks left in the NFL season, the race for MVP has reached a critical point.
The current NFL MVP odds indicate a two-horse race, although there is more than enough time left in the season to consider other options.
Keep reading to get a breakdown of the MVP race and get my NFL MVP winner pick for the 2025 season.
NFL MVP Odds 2025
All NFL odds used for these NFL MVP predictions are current as of Tuesday, Dec. 2, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
- Drake Maye (-135)
- Matthew Stafford (+125)
- Dak Prescott (+1500)
- Jordan Love (+1900)
- Josh Allen (+2500)
- Caleb Williams (+6500)
- Sam Darnold (+6500)
- Patrick Mahomes (+9000)
All other players have odds of +10000 or longer.
Who Will Win NFL MVP?
Matthew Stafford (+125)
Drake Maye has an edge in passing yards and completion percentage, but Stafford leads in most of the other pertinent categories for quarterbacks after 13 weeks.
Stafford has a 32-23 edge in touchdown passes over Maye, while also throwing fewer interceptions.
He’s also taken just 17 sacks this season, whereas only two players have been sacked more than Maye, who has taken 40 through 13 games.
As long as Stafford can shake off his Week 13 performance in a loss to the Panthers and help the Rams finish strong, he will have a better MVP resume than Maye.
Back the two-time Pro Bowler as one of your best NFL bets today.
NFL MVP Contenders
Drake Maye (-135)
Of course, as the current favorite, Maye has to be considered one of the NFL MVP best bets right now.
He trails only Dak Prescott and Patrick Mahomes in passing yards per game and is behind only Sam Darnold in yards per pass. Needless to say, New England’s 11-2 record and 10-game winning streak are also helping Maye’s MVP candidacy.
- See where the Patriots stand in the latest Super Bowl 60 odds.
However, he needs to throw more touchdowns, and he still needs to have an MVP moment, which could potentially come in games against the Bills and Ravens immediately following New England’s Week 14 bye.
Dak Prescott (+1500)
Aside from the Cowboys’ 6-5-1 record, all the numbers point to Prescott being a legitimate MVP candidate.
He is first in yards per game, fifth in completion percentage, tied for second in touchdowns, and first in QBR.
More importantly, Prescott is playing his best football right now, combining to throw 674 yards across back-to-back wins over last season’s Super Bowl participants.
If Prescott can keep putting up those kinds of numbers and somehow get the Cowboys to the playoffs, he will be deserving of MVP honors.
NFL MVP Sleeper Pick
Sam Darnold (+6500)
It’s a shame that Darnold has such long NFL MVP odds given all that he’s accomplished in Seattle this season.
He leads an offense that’s averaging 29.2 points per game, propelling the Seahawks to a tie for the best record in the NFC.
While he’s not the leader of the pack statistically, Darnold is in the top 10 in most major categories.
If he can lead Seattle to a division title and perhaps the NFC’s best record, he could still be a serious factor in the MVP race.
How NFL MVP Voting Is Judged
Like every other NFL award, the NFL’s official Most Valuable Player award is determined by 50 sportswriters in voting compiled by the Associated Press. Thus, the official award title is the AP NFL MVP.
Voters submit their ballots, where they choose their pick for league MVP, directly after the regular season but before the playoffs have started. The votes are tabulated, and the winner is announced at NFL Honors, the league’s annual award show, during the week of the Super Bowl.
When NFL MVP Is Announced
The NFL MVP is the headliner award at NFL Honors, which is annually held during Super Bowl week at the site of the big game. This year’s NFL Honors will be in Las Vegas in early February, though that has not yet been officially scheduled.
Former NFL MVPs
- 1957: Jim Brown, RB, Cleveland Browns
- 1958: Jim Brown, RB, Browns
- 1959: Johnny Unitas, QB, Baltimore Colts
- 1961: Paul Hornung, RB, Green Bay Packers
- 1962: Jim Taylor, RB, Packers
- 1963: Y.A. Tittle, QB, New York Giants
- 1964: Johnny Unitas, QB, Colts
- 1965: Jim Brown, RB, Browns
- 1966: Bart Starr, QB, Packers
- 1967: Johnny Unitas, QB, Colts
- 1968: Earl Morrall, QB, Colts
- 1969: Roman Gabriel, QB, Los Angeles Rams
- 1970: John Brodie, QB, San Francisco 49ers
- 1971: Alan Page, DT, Minnesota Vikings
- 1972: Larry Brown, RB, Washington
- 1973: O.J. Simpson, RB, Buffalo Bills
- 1974: Ken Stabler, QB, Oakland Raiders
- 1975: Fran Tarkenton, QB, Vikings
- 1976: Bert Jones, QB, Colts
- 1977: Walter Payton, RB, Chicago Bears
- 1978: Terry Bradshaw, QB, Pittsburgh Steelers
- 1979: Earl Campbell, RB, Houston Oilers
- 1980: Brian Sipe, QB, Browns
- 1981: Ken Anderson, QB, Cincinnati Bengals
- 1982: Mark Moseley, K, Washington
- 1983: Joe Theismann, QB, Washington
- 1984: Dan Marino, QB, Miami Dolphins
- 1985: Marcus Allen, RB, Los Angeles Raiders
- 1986: Lawrence Taylor, LB, Giants
- 1987: John Elway, QB, Denver Broncos
- 1988: Boomer Esiason, QB, Bengals
- 1989: Joe Montana, QB, 49ers
- 1990: Joe Montana, QB, 49ers
- 1991: Thurman Thomas, RB, Bills
- 1992: Steve Young, QB, 49ers
- 1993: Emmitt Smith, RB, Cowboys
- 1994: Steve Young, QB, 49ers
- 1995: Brett Favre, QB, Packers
- 1996: Brett Favre, QB, Packers
- 1997: Brett Favre, QB, Packers / Barry Sanders, RB, Detroit Lions
- 1998: Terrell Davis, RB, Broncos
- 1999: Kurt Warner, QB, St. Louis Rams
- 2000: Marshall Faulk, RB, Rams
- 2001: Kurt Warner, QB, Rams
- 2002: Rich Gannon, QB, Oakland Raiders
- 2003: Peyton Manning, QB, Indianapolis Colts / Steve McNair, QB, Tennessee Titans
- 2004: Peyton Manning, QB, Colts
- 2005: Shaun Alexander, RB, Seattle Seahawks
- 2006: LaDainian Tomlinson, RB, San Diego Chargers
- 2007: Tom Brady, QB, New England Patriots
- 2008: Peyton Manning, QB, Colts
- 2009: Peyton Manning, QB, Colts
- 2010: Tom Brady, QB, Patriots
- 2011: Aaron Rodgers, QB, Packers
- 2012: Adrian Peterson, RB, Vikings
- 2013: Peyton Manning, QB, Broncos
- 2014: Aaron Rodgers, QB, Packers
- 2015: Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers
- 2016: Matt Ryan, QB, Atlanta Falcons
- 2017: Tom Brady, QB, Patriots
- 2018: Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs
- 2019: Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens
- 2020: Aaron Rodgers, QB Packers
- 2021: Aaron Rodgers, QB, Packers
- 2022: Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs
- 2023: Lamar Jackson, QB, Ravens
- 2024: Josh Allen, QB, Bills
