With just two games left in the regular season, the MVP race is yet to be decided.
For the top two candidates, the NFL MVP odds are as tight as they’ve been in the last few weeks, with one or two longshots still in the mix.
With time running out, let’s look at our NFL MVP best bets heading into Week 17.
NFL MVP Odds 2025
All NFL odds used for these 2025 MVP predictions are current as of Monday, Dec. 22, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
- Matthew Stafford (-215)
- Drake Maye (+180)
- Josh Allen (+2500)
- Trevor Lawrence (+3500)
- Justin Herbert (+8000)
- Caleb Williams (+10000)
- Sam Darnold (+10000)
All other players have odds of +15000 or longer.
Who Will Win NFL MVP?
Matthew Stafford (-215)
The fact that the Rams lost last week hurt Stafford’s MVP chances a little, even though he threw for over 450 yards and three touchdowns in that epic overtime game against the Seahawks.
Coming out of that game, Stafford now leads the NFL in passing yards, on top of his comfortable lead in passing touchdowns.
Statistically, nobody comes close to Stafford, which is why he’s my NFL MVP winner pick.
Back the Rams quarterback to win Most Valuable Player as your NFL pick of the day.
NFL MVP Contenders
Drake Maye (+180)
Even if he can’t surpass Stafford’s statistical accomplishments this season, Maye isn’t giving up his MVP bid without a fight.
His NFL MVP odds improved considerably after he helped the Patriots overcome an 11-point fourth-quarter deficit against the Ravens.
- See where New England sits in the latest Super Bowl odds.
It was the type of fourth-quarter performance you see from MVPs, which is why Maye is still a factor in the MVP race.
Josh Allen (+2500)
Buffalo’s close call against the Browns didn’t do Allen’s MVP chances any favors. Allen only threw for 130 yards in the game, causing his odds to plummet.
That said, he’s still an interesting longshot candidate because he’s carried the Bills for much of the season and still has a chance to lead Buffalo to an AFC East title.
NFL MVP Sleeper Pick
Trevor Lawrence (+3500)
Lawrence might be a little late to the MVP conversation, but he made a massive statement on Sunday, leading the Jaguars to a road win over the Broncos.
That performance came on the heels of Lawrence throwing for five touchdowns and rushing for another the previous week against the Jets.
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Lawrence and the Jags have won seven of their last eight games, averaging 33 points per game during that stretch.
He’s put together an MVP-caliber performance during the second half of the season, which should garner him some consideration if he can keep it up for two more weeks.
How NFL MVP Voting Is Judged
Like every other NFL award, the NFL’s official Most Valuable Player award is determined by 50 sportswriters in voting compiled by the Associated Press. Thus, the official award title is the AP NFL MVP.
Voters submit their ballots, where they choose their pick for league MVP, directly after the regular season but before the playoffs have started. The votes are tabulated, and the winner is announced at NFL Honors, the league’s annual award show, during the week of the Super Bowl.
When NFL MVP Is Announced
The NFL MVP is the headliner award at NFL Honors, which is annually held during Super Bowl week at the site of the big game. This year’s NFL Honors will be in Las Vegas in early February, though that has not yet been officially scheduled.
Former NFL MVPs
- 1957: Jim Brown, RB, Cleveland Browns
- 1958: Jim Brown, RB, Browns
- 1959: Johnny Unitas, QB, Baltimore Colts
- 1961: Paul Hornung, RB, Green Bay Packers
- 1962: Jim Taylor, RB, Packers
- 1963: Y.A. Tittle, QB, New York Giants
- 1964: Johnny Unitas, QB, Colts
- 1965: Jim Brown, RB, Browns
- 1966: Bart Starr, QB, Packers
- 1967: Johnny Unitas, QB, Colts
- 1968: Earl Morrall, QB, Colts
- 1969: Roman Gabriel, QB, Los Angeles Rams
- 1970: John Brodie, QB, San Francisco 49ers
- 1971: Alan Page, DT, Minnesota Vikings
- 1972: Larry Brown, RB, Washington
- 1973: O.J. Simpson, RB, Buffalo Bills
- 1974: Ken Stabler, QB, Oakland Raiders
- 1975: Fran Tarkenton, QB, Vikings
- 1976: Bert Jones, QB, Colts
- 1977: Walter Payton, RB, Chicago Bears
- 1978: Terry Bradshaw, QB, Pittsburgh Steelers
- 1979: Earl Campbell, RB, Houston Oilers
- 1980: Brian Sipe, QB, Browns
- 1981: Ken Anderson, QB, Cincinnati Bengals
- 1982: Mark Moseley, K, Washington
- 1983: Joe Theismann, QB, Washington
- 1984: Dan Marino, QB, Miami Dolphins
- 1985: Marcus Allen, RB, Los Angeles Raiders
- 1986: Lawrence Taylor, LB, Giants
- 1987: John Elway, QB, Denver Broncos
- 1988: Boomer Esiason, QB, Bengals
- 1989: Joe Montana, QB, 49ers
- 1990: Joe Montana, QB, 49ers
- 1991: Thurman Thomas, RB, Bills
- 1992: Steve Young, QB, 49ers
- 1993: Emmitt Smith, RB, Cowboys
- 1994: Steve Young, QB, 49ers
- 1995: Brett Favre, QB, Packers
- 1996: Brett Favre, QB, Packers
- 1997: Brett Favre, QB, Packers / Barry Sanders, RB, Detroit Lions
- 1998: Terrell Davis, RB, Broncos
- 1999: Kurt Warner, QB, St. Louis Rams
- 2000: Marshall Faulk, RB, Rams
- 2001: Kurt Warner, QB, Rams
- 2002: Rich Gannon, QB, Oakland Raiders
- 2003: Peyton Manning, QB, Indianapolis Colts / Steve McNair, QB, Tennessee Titans
- 2004: Peyton Manning, QB, Colts
- 2005: Shaun Alexander, RB, Seattle Seahawks
- 2006: LaDainian Tomlinson, RB, San Diego Chargers
- 2007: Tom Brady, QB, New England Patriots
- 2008: Peyton Manning, QB, Colts
- 2009: Peyton Manning, QB, Colts
- 2010: Tom Brady, QB, Patriots
- 2011: Aaron Rodgers, QB, Packers
- 2012: Adrian Peterson, RB, Vikings
- 2013: Peyton Manning, QB, Broncos
- 2014: Aaron Rodgers, QB, Packers
- 2015: Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers
- 2016: Matt Ryan, QB, Atlanta Falcons
- 2017: Tom Brady, QB, Patriots
- 2018: Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs
- 2019: Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens
- 2020: Aaron Rodgers, QB Packers
- 2021: Aaron Rodgers, QB, Packers
- 2022: Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs
- 2023: Lamar Jackson, QB, Ravens
- 2024: Josh Allen, QB, Bills
