The Chiefs grabbed headlines last year when they traded Tyreek Hill to the Dolphins. Would the offense take a step back while adjusting to life without him? Nope. Instead, Patrick Mahomes kicked his game to another level, capturing the MVP Award and leading the Chiefs to another Super Bowl Championship.
Kansas City enters this year wearing a bullseye and should contend for another championship this year.
Chiefs Best Futures Odds
Click to find the top Kansas City Chiefs betting lines with our NFL bets comparison tool:
NFL odds featured in this Chiefs report were found at Caesars Sportsbook and are current as of May 27, at 10:15 PM ET.
Chiefs Win Total Odds
- Over 11.5 Wins (-115)
- Under 11.5 Wins (-105)
Chiefs Win Total Bet: Over 11.5 (-115)
Caesars Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.23 unit(s)
Kansas City’s win total is understandably high. Nevertheless, the over is the best wager. The Chiefs, who are No. 1 in our NFL power rankings, were 14-3 last season and had the fourth-best point differential. Furthermore, the Chiefs have won over 11.5 games yearly from 2018-2022. They last fell short of 11.5 wins in 2017. So, they’ve won more than 11.5 games annually since Mahomes took the starting quarterback gig in 2018.
Chiefs Make Playoffs Odds
- Yes (-400)
- No (+310)
Chiefs Make Playoffs Bet: Yes (-400)
Caesars Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.20 unit(s)
If the Chiefs win more than 11.5 games, they’ll make the playoffs. Additionally, Andy Reid and the talent and depth of the roster should allow them to win a few games in the nightmare scenario of Mahomes missing time with an injury.
Kansas City gutted out a win in the Divisional Round last year when Chad Henne relieved an injured Mahomes. Henne has since retired, but Reid has made chicken salad throughout his career with mediocre or worse backup quarterbacks. Still, tying up significant gambling funds on a chalky -400 line is ill-advised. Hence, the suggested wager amount is small.
Chiefs Futures Prop Bets
Division Exact Order: Chiefs 1st/Chargers 2nd/Broncos 3rd/Raiders 4th (+450)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.22 unit(s)
This is a correlated four-leg parlay. The odds are too short for the Chiefs to win the division for it to be an inviting wager. So, instead, this bet provides bettors an alternative for picking the Chiefs to win the division. It also counts on the second-best quarterback, Justin Herbert, and the second-best roster, the Chargers, handling their business and finishing second in the AFC West, as they did last year.
Finally, Sean Payton’s coaching superiority to Josh McDaniels’s coaching should help the Broncos avoid the basement.
Patrick Mahomes Over 4,675.5 Passing Yards (-115)
BetMGM Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.23 unit(s)
Mahomes has passed for 4,740, 4,839, and 5,250 yards in 2020 through 2022. He also passed for 5,097 yards in 2018. Thus, Mahomes had more than 4,675.5 passing yards in four of five seasons as a starter. Remarkably, he accomplished the feat in 16 games in 2018 and only 15 in 2020.
Kansas City’s offensive tendencies are perfect for him passing for more than 4,675.5 yards again this season. First, according to Football Outsiders, the Chiefs were seventh in situation-neutral pace in 2020, third in 2021, and third in 2022.
Second, per the nfelo app, their Pass Rate Over Expected (PROE) from 2020 through 2022 was 9.5%, 9.5%, and 10.8%. So, the Chiefs play fast and air it out at an exceptionally high rate.
Chris Jones Defensive Player of the Year (+3000)
Caesars Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.27 unit(s)
The Defensive Player of the Year Award is predominantly an award for pass rushers in recent years. In the past 10 seasons, the award was given to eight defensive linemen/pass rushers. The winners who fit the bill during those 10 years were Aaron Donald (three times), J.J. Watt (twice), Khalil Mack, T.J. Watt, and Nick Bosa.
Chris Jones is one of the most disruptive defensive linemen and finished third in the 2022 DPOY voting. According to Pro Football Focus (PFF), Jones was their third-ranked defender in pressure grade and ranked second in hurries (63). Additionally, Jones tied his career high for sacks in 2022, dropping the opposing quarterback 15.5 times.
Chiefs Game Odds & Lines
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Chiefs Best Player Prop Odds
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More AFC West odds: Denver Broncos | Las Vegas Raiders | Los Angeles Chargers
How to Bet on Chiefs Games in 2023
How to Bet Chiefs Moneylines
NFL moneyline wagers are the simplest forms of NFL bets. All you have to do is pick a team to win a given game, and if they do, you win your bet.
Since winning is the only requirement to cash your bet, the odds for NFL moneylines can vary greatly depending on each team’s implied probability of winning (or losing) that game. Favorites are designated by a minus symbol (-200), whereas underdogs are represented by a plus symbol (+200).
If the Chiefs are a (-200) favorite against the rival Raiders, you would have to bet $20 to turn a $10 profit. If Kansas City was a (+200) underdog, you would profit $20 off a $10 bet.
- 2022 Chiefs Moneyline Record: 17-3
How to Bet Chiefs Spreads
Betting the spread is the most efficient way to wager on NFL games, as it presents two evenly priced options. The spread, which is assigned a value by the books, is the number of points that the favorite is expected to win by against the underdog.
If the Chiefs are 6-point favorites over the Commanders, the spread for that game will be set up like this: Chiefs -6 (-110) vs Commanders +6 (-110).
In this scenario, the Chiefs would have to win by more than six points for you to win your bet. If they were to win by a pair of field goals, your bet would push and you would recoup your initial wager.
Kansas City was the only team in the NFL to cover the spread exactly half the time in 2021, and should be a decent bet moving forward as the roster seems to have improved over the offseason.
- 2022 Chiefs Against the Spread Record: 7-12-1
How to Bet Chiefs Over/Unders
If you don’t want to pick a side, you can still bet on Chiefs games by wagering on the total number of points scored.
Sportsbooks set the amount of combined points they expect both teams in the game to score, and then you can bet on either the Over or the Under.
If you expect Mahomes, Kelce, and the Chiefs to light up the scoreboard, then you’ll probably want to take the Over. If you think a specific game could be more defensive, then you would bet the Under.
- 2022 Chiefs Over/Under Record: 9-11
