Super Bowl 60 features a rematch of Super Bowl 49 with the Seattle Seahawks taking on the New England Patriots. Considering what preseason expectations were for each of these two teams, it’s one of the most surprising matchups in NFL history.
That makes it a great time to play DFS and build a pick’em at Underdog Fantasy.
With that in mind, let’s get right into our Underdog DFS picks.
Super Bowl DFS Picks
Read our hands-on Underdog Fantasy review for details on game types and promotions and check out all of the best Super Bowl betting sites.
Without further ado, let’s dive into Pick’Em at Underdog for this Super Bowl matchup:
Underdog Pick’Em for Super Bowl 60 (+900)
- DeMario Douglas: Less Than 10.5 Receiving Yards
- Drake Maye: More Than 36.5 Rushing Yards
- Kenneth Walker III: More Than 23.5 Receiving Yards
- Stefon Diggs: Less Than 16.5 Yards Longest Reception
We’ll start out this pick’em by going under 10.5 receiving yards on DeMario Douglas. This is a wideout with a marginal role in the Patriots’ offense. With Mack Hollins back in the lineup for the Conference Championship, Douglas didn’t even rack up a catch.
It’s also worth noting that the Seahawks rank 5th in zone coverage and 1st in two-high coverage rates. Douglas goes from 4.07 yards per route run (YPRR) vs man to 1.38 YPRR vs zone. He also drops from 2.75 YPRR vs single-high to 1.27 YPRR vs two-high. To that end, aside from a lack of usage, it’s also a bad coverage matchup for Douglas.
I’ll add Drake Maye to go over 36.5 rushing yards because the Seahawks have given up rushing production to quarterbacks lately. Just take a look at the recent game log:
- Matthew Stafford: 2 ATT, 16 YDS
- Brock Purdy: 5 ATT, 37 YDS
- Brock Purdy: 2 ATT, 21 YDS
Maye has rushed for 60+ yards in two of his last three games. There’s a good chance that he’ll have to keep that up against this tough defense.
I’ll add Kenneth Walker over 23.5 receiving yards because he’s taken on more of a role in the passing game with Zach Charbonnet out for the season. Walker has racked up 49 yards vs the Rams in the NFC Championship.
But even with Charbonnet healthy, Walker was making an impact, putting up 29 and 36 yards in his previous two games.
I’ll add Stefon Diggs to go under 16.5 longest reception. Diggs has gone under this number in three consecutive games. With the Seahawks running two-high coverage at a high rate, it’s going to be difficult for Diggs to make a big play downfield.
Seattle ranked 1st in yards per target allowed to wide receivers this season.
Parlay these four picks for a 9x payout at Underdog as your NFL pick of the day.
How to Play Super Bowl DFS
Tournaments
You need to get contrarian when joining tournaments in Super Bowl DFS. That’s because it is a single-game slate, so if you create a popular lineup, you will be splitting the prize with several other players, even if you finish in first place.
You don’t want to join a contest with a $40,000 prize to 1st, only to get about $900 since you’re splitting it with over 44 other people. The goal here is to be the only winner of the big pot.
That means choosing riskier players who are usually avoided. You can also build a lineup that aligns with an unpopular game script, such as a blowout in a projected close game or vice versa.
Cash Games
Cash games are where you can play it safe. This is where you can double up your entry fee if you finish in the top half of the contest.
Choosing players with super cheap prices to allow you to jam in other stars is a prudent approach. You don’t need to worry about stacking players in an effort to create a correlation, so you can simply play the top options at cost.
Don’t take any risks when building cash game lineups. Avoid boom-or-bust types like deep-threat receivers, such as Mack Hollins. Their volatile production can sink your team. You want players with a narrow range of outcomes.
Stacks
Stacks are when you combine a quarterback with some of his teammates. The popular approach here is to stack passing games, such as Drake Maye, Rhamondre Stevenson, and Stefon Diggs.
However, it’s a bit different in a single-game contest because we’re trying to get contrarian to win tournaments. This type of contest is the exception, as you can choose players with a negative correlation.
Taking this approach is a good way to differentiate your lineup from the competition. If you prefer to go with a positive correlation, be sure to find an unpopular player to round out your lineup.
Salary Cap Utilization
We have talked extensively about being contrarian in your lineup construction. Another way to do this is to create a team below the salary cap, leaving money on the table.
Most other players tend to spend as close to the cap as they can, but this puts them at risk of splitting the pot in a single-game slate.
If your lineup is below the cap by $1,000 or more, it’s likely to be less popular. Be sure to take this approach in tournaments, but don’t worry about it in cash games.
Contest Selection
The last tip is to consider the contests that you’re entering. If you want to focus on tournaments, it’s best to go with single-entry formats. That’s because you won’t be competing with sharks who enter 150 lineups in larger fields.
If you do want to enter a large-field tournament, try to make at least 10 lineups because you’re competing against so many other players.
Be sure to incorporate some cash games as well, because they can act as insurance to cover any potential losses in tournaments. My favorite approach is to combine a bit of both formats.
Lastly, be sure not to risk too much of your bankroll on a single slate.
