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Super Bowl DFS 2023

Frank AmmiranteFantasy Sports & Betting Writer
Posted: Feb 2, 2023Last updated: a day ago

We’ve got an exciting game on tap for Super Bowl 57, featuring the two best teams in the NFL in the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs.

Both teams have stars on offense, such as Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, Travis Kelce, and A.J. Brown.

This makes it an intriguing DFS slate with a number of options at your disposal.

With that in mind, let’s break down the Super Bowl 57 DFS slate at DraftKings. You’ll find recommendations for both cash games and tournaments, along with helpful tips for your lineup construction.

Super Bowl DFS Picks: Cash Games

Jalen Hurts, QB, Philadelphia Eagles ($11,200)

Hurts is the preferred quarterback here because of his dual-threat ability, raising his fantasy floor. The Eagles also love to use him in the red zone, giving him a chance at a rushing touchdown.

Philadelphia has a 26-point implied total, which is 1.5 more points than the Chiefs, adding to Hurts’ security in this spot.

According to Football Outsiders, Kansas City’s defense ranks 20th in Pass DVOA, making this an exploitable matchup for Hurts.

Roll with Hurts against the Chiefs in our fantasy pick of the day.

DeVonta Smith, WR, Philadelphia Eagles ($8,600)

Smith is the top choice at wideout for cash games due to his heavy usage and reasonable price. The second-year wide receiver saves you $600 in salary compared to teammate A.J. Brown.

We’ve seen Smith command a significant target share this year at nearly 27 percent, which ranked 16th among receivers with at least 50 targets.

The Chiefs have given up 22 touchdowns to wideouts this season, so we could see Smith find the end zone.

Jerick McKinnon, RB, Kansas City Chiefs ($6,800)

This selection comes down to price, as McKinnon is $400 cheaper than teammate Isiah Pacheco. You also save $1,000 by choosing the veteran over Miles Sanders.

While McKinnon took a backseat to Pacheco in the AFC Championship Game, he had carved out a significant role in previous matchups, scoring nine touchdowns in seven games.

The Eagles rank No. 1 in pass defense per Football Outsiders, so that could mean more check downs to McKinnon. DraftKings awards you a full point per reception, which aligns with McKinnon’s skill set as a pass-catcher out of the backfield.


Looking to build on your fantasy football Super Bowl game? Combine DFS with betting NFL player props for Super Bowl 57

Use these DFS Super Bowl tips and our Super Bowl player props to place bets with these Super Bowl LVII lines.


Noah Gray, TE, Kansas City Chiefs ($1,200)

Here we have the “punt play" of the week in a backup tight end, which is a player who comes at such a low price that he allows you to jam in other stars who are more expensive.

We saw Gray make a big play downfield in the divisional-round victory over the Jaguars, where he hauled in a 27-yard reception.

If he is able to provide similar production here, that would give us 3.7 DraftKings points, which is over 3x his salary. That’s all we need from him in a cash game format since our goal is to finish in the top half of the contest.

More Super Bowl DFS Cash Game Picks

  • A.J. Brown, WR, Philadelphia Eagles ($9,200)
  • Kadarius Toney, WR, Kansas City Chiefs ($4,400)
  • Jake Elliott, K, Philadelphia Eagles ($4,200)
  • Harrison Butker, K, Kansas City Chiefs ($4,000)

Super Bowl DFS Picks: GPP/Tournaments

Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs ($11,000)

Mahomes is the preferred play for tournaments because he is a bit riskier than Hurts due to the high ankle sprain, but offers a similar upside.

It is also likely that players will gravitate toward Hurts to stack him with A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith.

Furthermore, we could see the competition move away from Mahomes due to the Eagles’ elite pass defense. As a result, the star quarterback should be less rostered than Hurts.

Skyy Moore, WR, Kansas City Chiefs ($3,800)

With so many other options in this game, players are likely to avoid the Chiefs’ rookie wideout. However, I saw some flashes in the AFC Championship Game that leave me feeling hopeful.

Moore saw a career-high seven targets against the Bengals. While he only turned them into three catches for 13 yards, you have to like that type of usage.

Kansas City’s receiver room is a bit banged up right now, so Moore could be thrust into a larger role. You can also pair him with the Chiefs’ defense because he features as the kick returner.

If he is able to score a special teams touchdown, that would be worth double the points.

Miles Sanders, RB, Philadelphia Eagles ($7,800)

Sanders is relatively expensive compared to the field, ranking sixth in price. He could be the forgotten man in a game that includes Mahomes, Hurts, Smith, Brown, and Travis Kelce.

However, avoiding the Eagles running back would be a mistake. This is because of his heavy usage in the red zone, as he put up 45 attempts here during the regular season, which ranked third in the NFL.

Sanders is a great bet to score a touchdown in this one, making him a strong play at $7,800. It’s even more appealing with the projected low rostership.

Dallas Goedert, TE, Philadelphia Eagles ($6,400)

Goedert is similar to Sanders in that players are likely to go with a “stars and scrubs" approach in building their lineups, avoiding those in the middle tier of pricing.

That makes him an intriguing contrarian play at tight end. Remember, this is a player with an elite ability to rack up yards after the catch.

Goedert is one of the best tight ends in the NFL, coming off a year where he caught 55 of 69 targets for 702 yards and three touchdowns in only 12 games.

More Super Bowl DFS GPP Picks

  • Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs ($10,600)
  • Kenneth Gainwell, RB, Philadelphia Eagles ($5,000)
  • Eagles Defense, DST, Philadelphia Eagles ($3,600)
  • Chiefs Defense, DST, Kansas City Chiefs ($3,400)

Super Bowl DFS Stack

Jalen Hurts, QB, Philadelphia Eagles ($11,200)

Miles Sanders, RB, Philadelphia Eagles ($7,800)

Kenneth Gainwell, RB, Philadelphia Eagles ($5,000)

The goal of stacking players is to win a tournament for a larger payout. Since this is only a single-game slate, it is especially important to take a contrarian approach to roster construction.

That means that we’re combining players with a negative correlation in how they score fantasy points. While everyone else combines their quarterback with pass-catchers, we’ll take an alternative approach by including the running backs.

One thing is for certain, the Eagles love to run the ball in the red zone. Jalen Hurts (15 touchdowns), Miles Sanders (13 touchdowns), and Kenneth Gainwell (seven red-zone attempts in the playoffs) have provided us with strong production here.

Playing Hurts with two running backs is definitely going to be an unpopular approach. This is because Sanders and Gainwell could eat into Hurts’ production.

However, Hurts and Sanders combined for 92 red-zone attempts during the regular season, each eclipsing 40 in total. There’s a chance that the Eagles find success on the ground with all three of these players.

The other reason why this will be a build avoided by the competition is that the Super Bowl projects as a close game. For these three players to hit their ceilings, it would likely require the Eagles to win by double digits.

Playing in a single slate means you need to try to get creative to take down the big prize. Stacking Hurts with his top two running backs is a great way to get contrarian.

More Super Bowl DFS Stacks to Consider

  • Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs
  • Isiah Pacheco, RB, Kansas City Chiefs
  • Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs

How to Play Super Bowl DFS

Tournaments

You need to get contrarian when joining tournaments in Super Bowl DFS. That’s because it is a single-game slate, so if you create a popular lineup, you will be splitting the prize with several other players, even if you finish in first place.

You don’t want to join a contest with a $40,000 prize to 1st, only to get about $900 since you’re splitting it with over 44 other people. The goal here is to be the only winner of the big pot.

That means choosing riskier players who are usually avoided. You can also build a lineup that aligns with an unpopular game script, such as a blowout in a projected close game or vice versa.

Cash Games

Cash games are where you can play it safe. This is where you can double up your entry fee if you finish in the top half of the contest.

Choosing players with super cheap prices to allow you to jam in other stars is a prudent approach. You don’t need to worry about stacking players in an effort to create a correlation, so you can simply play the top options at cost.

Don’t take any risks when building cash game lineups. Avoid boom-or-bust types like deep-threat receivers, such as Marquez Valdes-Scantling. Their volatile production can sink your team. You want players with a narrow range of outcomes.

Stacks

Stacks are when you combine a quarterback with some of his teammates. The popular approach here is to stack passing games, such as Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, and Marquez Valdes-Scantling.

However, it’s a bit different in a single-game contest because we’re trying to get contrarian to win tournaments. This type of contest is the exception in that you can choose players with a negative correlation.

Taking this approach is a good way to differentiate your lineup from the competition. If you prefer to go with a positive correlation, be sure to find an unpopular player to round out your lineup.

Salary Cap Utilization

We have talked extensively about being contrarian in your lineup construction. Another way to do this is by creating a team that is below the salary cap, leaving money on the table.

Most other players tend to spend as close to the cap as they can, but this puts them at risk to split the pot in a single-game slate.

If your lineup is below the cap by $1,000 or more, there’s a good chance that it will be less popular. Be sure to take this approach in tournaments, but don’t worry about it in cash games.

Contest Selection

My last tip is to consider the contests that you’re entering. If you want to focus on tournaments, it’s best to go with single-entry formats. That’s because you won’t be competing with sharks who enter 150 lineups in larger fields.

If you do want to enter a large-field tournament, try to make at least 10 lineups because you’re competing against so many other players.

Be sure to incorporate some cash games as well because they can act as insurance to cover any of your potential losses taken in tournaments. My favorite approach is to combine a bit of both formats.

Lastly, be sure not to risk too much of your bankroll on a single slate.

Author

Frank Ammirante

Before joining The Game Day, Frank spent three years in the fantasy sports and betting industry, writing for websites like RotoBaller and 4for4football. Frank is an active member of the fantasy baseball and fantasy football community, participating in high-stakes leagues like NFBC/NFFC as well as industry competitions like Scott Fish Bowl, RazzBowl, and TGFBI. Frank is a member of the FSWA and IBWAA. Give him a shout to talk fantasy sports and sports betting.

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