My NFL touchdown props went 1-for-4 in Week 10 but were still profitable because James Conner (+600) found the end zone first in the Cardinals’ 31-6 blowout victory over the Jets.
Let’s hope for similar success this Sunday with my top NFL touchdown prop bets for Week 11.
NFL TD Prop Bets Today
NFL odds used for these Week 11 TD prop bets are current as of Friday, Nov. 15, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Week 11 Anytime TD Props: Jameson Williams (+165), T.J. Hockenson (+250)
Week 11 First TD Props: Jonathan Taylor (+600)
Week 11 Multiple TD Props: Josh Allen (+850)
Sportsbook Play of the Day
Week 11 Anytime TD Props
Jameson Williams: Anytime TD (+165)
Williams is always a boom-or-bust option, but trusting the third-year wideout comes a little easier after seeing him resume his typical role in the offense following a two-game suspension. He saw 48 snaps, second among Lions’ receivers behind the ever-present Amon-Ra St. Brown, and turned five targets into three receptions and 53 yards.
This week, Williams will face a Jaguars pass defense that has allowed 19 passing touchdowns and concedes the most net yards per attempt (7.2) to opposing quarterbacks in the NFL. That sets up well for Jared Goff to bounce back from his five-interception outing against the Texans last week.
Williams should be one of the primary beneficiaries, especially with tight end Sam LaPorta (shoulder) out. Back him to find the end zone as one of your NFL best bets today.
T.J. Hockenson: Anytime TD (+250)
Hockenson led all Vikings’ pass-catchers with nine targets, eight receptions, and 72 receiving yards last week against the Jaguars in just his second outing of the season. That feat is even more impressive when you factor in that he’s fighting with Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison for volume.
It’s clear that Sam Darnold has quickly struck up chemistry with the veteran tight end, who served as Kirk Cousins’ safety blanket over the middle since his midseason trade from Detroit two years ago.
- For more player props, check out our NFL prop bets today.
Darnold has completed four touchdown passes to tight ends this season, and Hockenson is way more talented than Josh Oliver (three) and Johnny Mundt (one). Hockenson already has three red-zone targets in two games and should get more looks this week with Minnesota favored by six on the road in Tennessee.
The Titans’ defense allowed multiple touchdowns to Detroit’s tight ends in Week 8, so there’s no reason a former Lion can’t follow suit on Sunday afternoon. At reasonably long odds, this bet feels like a worthwhile investment.
Week 11 First TD Props
Jonathan Taylor: First TD (+600)
If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it.
James Conner cashed us out last week against the Jets at these very same odds, so why shouldn’t I trust another one of the NFL’s premier running backs to do the same?
Taylor ran for a season-high 114 yards on 21 carries last week against the Bills and leads the Colts with five touchdowns on the season. The veteran will be the focal point of Indy’s offense, especially with the inaccurate Anthony Richardson returning at quarterback.
- See how else I’m targeting this game in my NFL parlays today.
New York’s run defense has yielded touchdowns to Conner, Joe Mixon, Rhamondre Stevenson, and Najee Harris over its last four games and has allowed the seventh-most rushing yards to opponents this season (1,340). It also missed 20 tackles against Arizona last week, the most of any team in a game this season.
The Colts should be eager to test the Jets’ resolve from the off, and this prop should cash if New York hasn’t taken Jeff Ulbrich’s tackling lessons seriously. I also suggest backing this bet up with a Taylor anytime TD (-110).
Week 11 Multiple TD Props
Josh Allen: 2+ TDs (+850)
It’s not every week that a quarterback garners consideration as a multiple TD prop bet, but I have a feeling Josh Allen is going to call his own number a lot this weekend when the Bills host the undefeated Chiefs.
We’ve seen that before from Allen when Buffalo and Kansas City get together. Last year, Allen rushed 10 times for 32 yards and a score in the regular-season meeting against the Chiefs and went for 72 yards and two scores on double-digit attempts in the Divisional Round.
- Get our staff’s thoughts on every game with our NFL picks against the spread.
Allen has four touchdown runs on the season, including a two-score effort in Week 1 and a 13-yard scamper last week against the Colts. While he hasn’t relied on his legs as much this season, he’s running out of pass-catchers he can count on.
Buffalo will be without rookie wideout Keon Coleman (wrist), tight end Dalton Kincaid (knee), and midseason acquisition Amari Cooper (wrist) is questionable after missing the last two games. Look for Allen to try to will his team to victory against the arch-rival Chiefs.
How NFL Anytime TD Prop Betting Works
When wagering on NFL touchdown props, you can pick a player to score a touchdown in the following ways:
- Anytime Touchdown: Choose a player to score a touchdown at any point in the game.
- First Touchdown: Your selection needs to score the game’s first touchdown.
- Last Touchdown: The play has to score the game’s final touchdown.
- Multiple Touchdowns: You can pick a player to score 2+ or 3+ touchdowns.
Some betting sites may offer “Next Touchdown" props as a live bet. This is where you choose which player scores the game’s next touchdown.
Each of these props has various odds. A player with a higher implied probability of scoring a touchdown will have shorter odds.
Choosing “First," “Next," “Last," or “Multiple" touchdown props will have larger payouts because they’re less likely to happen.
One important note about touchdown props: This does not include passing touchdowns if you choose a quarterback. You would need your quarterback to find the end zone with a rushing touchdown or a rare receiving score on a trick play.
NFL bets can also be made on other player props, such as receiving yards or total interceptions.
Best NFL Anytime TD Prop Betting Sites
DraftKings
DraftKings has a user-friendly platform with fair betting odds and a diverse selection of player props, including touchdowns.
You can bet on your favorite player to score the first, next, last, and multiple touchdowns. There are also future props where you can choose which player leads in rushing and receiving touchdowns.
If you’re new to sports betting, be sure to join DraftKings to get the best out of NFL touchdown prop wagering. You can also learn how to bet player props on DraftKings with our easy-to-use guide.
FanDuel
FanDuel started as a daily fantasy sports provider before expanding to the sports-betting space, and it has become one of the most popular operators in the industry.
You’ll find everything you need for touchdown prop betting here, which includes several players from both teams in each game on the slate.
Keep an eye out for any promotions because there are sure to be some that focus on touchdown props.
BetMGM
BetMGM carries the prestigious MGM brand, making you feel safe and secure when depositing money into your account. There are several banking methods available to make this a seamless process.
The site features a variety of betting markets, including touchdown props. What’s great is that there are several odds boosts, where touchdown odds are enhanced on select players, giving you more value on your wagers.
Whether new to sports betting or a veteran in this space, you’ll enjoy BetMGM.
Caesars
Caesars has been a prominent name within the casino resort industry and has now established itself as an industry titan within sports betting.
You can take advantage of a robust VIP rewards system here, where you can redeem your points for cool prizes like hotel accommodations at Caesars properties.
Be sure to check out Caesars for your touchdown props wagering.
How to Pick the Best NFL Anytime TD Prop Betting Sites
Here’s what you need to look for when choosing the best NFL touchdown prop betting sites:
- The site should feature every type of touchdown bet, including multiple scores.
- There must be several players to choose from rather than just the stars.
- The sportsbook should have promotions that cater to touchdown props.
- There should be odds boosts for players to score a touchdown.
- The odds should align with the rest of the market.
- The platform should be user-friendly with a generous welcome bonus.
NFL Anytime TD Prop Betting Promotions
You may find the following promotions available for touchdown prop bets:
- Free Bets: These can be provided as loyalty rewards to active users. They can be used on longshot touchdown props.
- Odds Boosts: This involves enhanced odds for a specific player scoring a touchdown.
Be sure to watch our sportsbook promos page to stay updated on the latest offers.
Best Anytime TD Prop Bets
These are the best touchdown prop bets to target:
- Anytime Touchdown: It’s hard enough to pick a player to score a touchdown, so you don’t need to make it even more difficult by specifying whether it’s the first or last score of the game. Please keep it simple and stick to anytime touchdown props.
- Multiple Touchdowns: If you want to shoot for the moon, you can take a player who gets a lot of red-zone usage to score more than one touchdown. A good example of this is Derrick Henry. Be sure to put less money on this bet than your anytime selection.
I suggest avoiding first or last touchdown bets because they can be random.
Anytime TD Betting Strategy
This is the strategy you should follow when targeting touchdown props:
- Choose a player on a team with a high implied team total. For example, if the Eagles are favored by four points in a game with a 50-point total, it means they have an implied total of 27 points. The more touchdowns a team scores, the better chance you hit your bet, so keep this in mind.
- Target a player heavily involved in the offense, especially in the red zone. You can look at a receiver’s target share or a running back’s red-zone usage to help you select. One good example is D.K. Metcalf, the main option for Seattle inside the 20-yard line.
- Be sure not to risk too much of your bankroll on touchdown props. Touchdowns can sometimes be random, so you’ll want to ensure you’re not too heavily invested in this market.
Benefits of NFL Anytime TD Prop Betting Online
Placing a touchdown prop bet online offers several benefits:
- Make your wager from the comfort of your electronic device.
- Shop around several sportsbooks to find the best odds.
- Take advantage of useful promotions or lucrative welcome bonuses.
- Get easy access to the customer support team whenever you need it.
- Enjoy multiple banking options to deposit or withdraw your funds.
How to Place an NFL TD Prop Bet Online
This is what you need to do to place a touchdown prop bet online:
- Sign up at your preferred sportsbook.
- Be sure to click our “Get Bonus" link to get the best welcome offer.
- Deposit money into your account.
- Check to see if there are any specific promotions for touchdown props.
- Research your wager.
- Place your bet.
Where Can I Legally Bet an NFL TD Prop Bet Online?
- Arizona
- Colorado
- Connecticut
- Illinois
- Indiana
- Iowa
- Kansas
- Kentucky
- Louisiana
- Maine
- Maryland
- Massachusetts
- Michigan
- New Hampshire
- New Jersey
- New York
- Nevada
- North Carolina
- Ohio
- Oregon
- Pennsylvania
- Rhode Island
- Tennessee
- Virginia
- Washington D.C.
- West Virginia
- Wyoming
Choose More Than One NFL TD Prop Betting Site
It’s important to choose more than one touchdown prop betting site because:
- You can shop around for the best odds. For example, Derrick Henry may be -120 to score a touchdown on one site but +110 on another. This can help your bankroll in the long run.
- Take advantage of multiple welcome bonuses. For instance, you can get a deposit match on one site and a second-chance bet on another. This allows you to maximize bet credits.
- When you join several sites, you can optimize your experience. Some sites have expansive prop markets; others thrive on promotions. You get the best of what each operator offers by signing up for more than one.
