The AFC South is on the line when the Jacksonville Jaguars and Tennessee Titans square off for a Week 18 showdown Saturday night at TIAA Field.
The winner will claim the division championship and a home playoff game, but the two teams are going in opposite directions.
The Jaguars have won four straight and five of their past six to pull into the division lead. Meanwhile, Tennessee has dropped six straight after a 7-3 start but still can claim its third straight division crown with a victory.
The Jaguars won the previous meeting 36-22 in Nashville on Dec. 11. Can they do it again and claim their first division title since 2017? Let’s look at the Tennessee vs Jacksonville best bets.
Titans vs Jaguars Odds
Caesars Sportsbook has the Jaguars as 6.5-point favorites as of Monday night due to their home-field advantage, their current winning streak, and the fact the Titans are likely to have third-year quarterback Joshua Dobbs making his second career start on the road.
Titans vs Jaguars Implied Totals
Jaguars 22.75, Titans 16.25
Tennessee is allowing about 21 points per game, and Jacksonville is scoring about 24 points per game. The Titans have not scored more than 17 points in any game starting QB Ryan Tannehill has missed.
Titans vs Jaguars Pick of the Day
Read more on this Titans vs Jaguars bet below.
Titans vs Jaguars Prediction
Jaguars 27, Titans 13
This prediction is more a product of the Jaguars’ smoldering-hot stretch, since Trevor Lawrence is averaging about 267 yards per game and has turned the ball over just four times in their last four games. He has also thrown for 300 or more yards in three of Jacksonville’s last six, adding two rushing scores in that span.
Joshua Dobbs played his first NFL start essentially with a hand tied behind his back as Tennessee sat running back Derrick Henry in the team’s 27-13 loss to the Cowboys. The inexperienced Dobbs didn’t make any explosive plays, but he performed relatively well, completing 20 of 39 passes for 232 yards, one touchdown and one interception.
There’s always the potential for Henry to have one of those vintage 200-yard games where he steals a victory for the Titans. He’s averaged 105.3 yards per game in his career against the Jaguars, but those games were with Tannehill in the lineup.
It’s also worth noting that Henry rushed for 121 yards and a touchdown against Jacksonville the last time these two teams played, and the Jaguars still found a way to win.
Jacksonville’s defense has surrendered just six points over its last two wins, albeit against offenses led by Zach Wilson and Davis Mills. But Dobbs belongs in that class until we see otherwise, which means the Jaguars should again win handily.
Titans vs Jaguars Bet Tips
Here are a few Titans vs Jaguars betting trends to consider before making your bets:
- The Titans are 0-5-1 against the spread over their past six games.
- The Jaguars’ average margin of victory is 16 points over their past four games.
- Tennessee is averaging 15.25 points per game without Tannehill this season.
Titans vs Jaguars Best Bets
Jaguars -6.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
The chants of “Duuuuuuval!" should be rocking on Saturday night for one of the biggest regular-season home games in franchise history. Jacksonville has only won its division three times in its previous 28 seasons and has reached the playoffs just three times since the turn of the century.
The Jags have not only won four straight, but they’ve covered the spread in each game as well. They’ve also won and covered the spread in their past three home games, including a stunning 40-34 OT win over the Cowboys on Dec. 18.
Jacksonville can still reach the postseason with a loss, but with the chance to clinch the division and a home playoff game against a reeling divisional opponent starting a third-string QB, you can bet it won’t leave anything to chance.
Soon you will be able to bet on the Jaguars with these Florida sportsbooks!
Over 39 Points (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
There were 58 points in the first game these two teams played back in December, but again, Tannehill was Tennessee’s QB.
The Jaguars are scoring 28 points per game over the past six games, and Tennessee is allowing 26 points per game during its losing skid.
Tennessee mustered 13 points without Henry against the extremely strong Cowboys defense Thursday night. It should be able to get to that number again. If that happens, the number is low enough that the Over should hit.
Want to bet on the Titans? Check out the best TN sportsbooks!
Titans vs Jaguars Props
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