The New York Jets are the second team in the Super Bowl era to have a winning record through six games as an underdog. The 4-2 Jets have New Yorkers believing.
Meanwhile, the Denver Broncos produced another horrific primetime performance on Monday Night Football. Denver lost and now has to face a red-hot Jets team on a short week.
Denver is still the favorite, but can we still expect Russell Wilson and co. to win these games? Are we still undervaluing the Jets?
Read on for our New York vs Denver predictions, betting tips, and best bets.
Jets vs Broncos Odds
The Jets opened as 3.5-point underdogs but were immediately bet to +2.5. The Jets crossed the key number of 3, likely meaning the sharps are very confident in New York in Week 7.
Jets vs Broncos Implied Totals
Broncos 20.75, Jets 18.75
Vegas oddsmakers expect a very low-scoring game, with the Broncos pulling out a slim victory.
Jets vs Broncos Pick of the Day
Read more on this Jets vs Broncos bet below.
Jets vs Broncos Prediction
Jets 14, Broncos 13
Denver’s offense is so dull. Nathaniel Hackett has produced nothing with his collection of talent, while Wilson has turned into one of the least-efficient quarterbacks in the NFL.
The Broncos produced a first-quarter touchdown against the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 6 when J.C. Jackson blew a coverage on a tight-end crossing route. The Broncos went up 10-0 following the touchdown and scored six points the rest of the game (a game that included overtime).
The Jets have been somewhat fun on offense. Zach Wilson can complete the occasional deep pass, while offensive coordinator Mike LaFleur can occasionally draw up an explosive run play. New York has shown signs of life on offense with players like Breece Hall and Braxton Berrios.
Both teams are defensive-reliant, however. Both the Jets and Broncos are top 15 in Football Outsiders Defensive DVOA metrics. So, we can reasonably expect a very low-scoring game.
I believe New York’s offensive ability, however unimpressive, will prove enough to out-duel a lifeless Broncos team.
Jets vs Broncos Bet Tips
Here are some Jets vs Broncos betting trends to consider before placing your bets:
- New York is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games.
- Denver is 0-5 ATS in its last five games following an ATS win.
- The Under is 5-1 in Denver’s last six games.
Jets vs Broncos Best Bets
Jets +2 (-115) at Betfred Sportsbook
We’d play the Jets at this number or on the ML.
Smart money is all over New York, and we already expect it to win outright. The Jets are playing better football and can keep up on both sides of the field.
It’s essential to play this number early. There is a chance Wilson is ruled out due to a hamstring injury, and the Jets would be favorites in that scenario.
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Under 39.5 (-110) at Betfred Sportsbook
Denver is second in Football Outsiders’ Defense DVOA metric, while New York is 12th. However, both teams are top 10 in the NFL in total offense allowed this season.
Meanwhile, both teams are in the back half of the league in Offense DVOA and total yards gained.
Both offenses stall out at midfield and are facing elite defenses. So this game will be a Rock Fight, and we’d play the Under to 38.5.
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