Week 11 of the NFL season will mark the second NFC East matchup in a row for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This time, it’s the New York Giants, who are coming off a bye week and will hope to have running back Saquon Barkley back.
The Buccaneers’ other NFC East matchup came against the Washington Football Team on the road, where they lost stunningly, 29-19.
It’s still unknown, but the Buccaneers could also have a player back of their own in wide receiver Antonio Brown. That will give a much-needed boost to this offense as Brown plays a style of football that best fits Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady’s play style.
Giants quarterback Daniel Jones may have different options coming in and out of the offense, but if Barkley can come back, the running game should come back to form and give Jones an elite option out of the backfield in the passing game.
Heading into Week 11, the Giants are 3-6 and don’t exactly appear to be a playoff contender. The Buccaneers dropped to 6-3 on the year after their Week 10 loss and are just a game ahead of the New Orleans Saints. The Giants could play spoiler here, especially if the Saints can pull off a win against the Philadelphia Eagles.
Monday Night Football should prove to be an entertaining contest, and we have some prop bets you need to take a glance at.
Let’s dive in.
Please note that all NFL gameday odds and lines are current as of 11:00 a.m. ET on Thursday, November 18.
Giants vs. Buccaneers Game Prop Bets to Make This Week
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Giants vs. Buccaneers Prop Bets: NFL Week 11 Prop Betting Picks
First Score: Buccaneers Touchdown (+107) at Caesars
This recommendation comes from a few different vantage points, but one of them is purely based on Brady and the offense wanting to make a quick statement at home coming off a tough loss.
Statistically, though, the Giants rank 20th in coverage, according to Pro Football Focus grades. So if Brown can re-enter the lineup, the Giants may not have enough players to deploy on coverage.
So far this season, Giants cornerbacks James Bradberry and Adoree’ Jackson have graded well in PFF’s system but have given up a combined seven touchdowns.
This game has the makings of an opening Buccaneers drive touchdown on five or six plays.
Winning Margin: Buccaneers by 13-18 Points (+360) at Caesars
Going back to the coverage unit, the Giants have given up 16 touchdowns. One of their top corners in Bradberry is also giving up 11.8 yards per reception.
We saw it many times last season, but the Buccaneers offense sometimes seems to disappear out of nowhere, and Week 10 was an example of that.
The “angry Brady" narrative actually has some teeth historically. In this one at home against a much lesser opponent, this has the makings of the Buccaneers, a top-three offense in the NFL per PFF, to mount a blowout.
As it stands now, the Buccaneers are already an 11-point favorite. Those two extra points should not be taken for granted, but even after the Week 10 blunder, the Buccaneers still average over 30 points per game and rank fourth in the league in total points.
Total Punts: Under 6.5 (+115) at Caesars
When I was browsing the props, I had to think about this one. When it comes to making the decision to take the under, there are a few different factors at play.
The first is the plus line at +115. That is a fairly good value for a prop like this.
According to Team Rankings, the Buccaneers and Giants average 3.3 and 3.8 punts per game, respectively.
However, if we assume that the Buccaneers are going all out and scoring at their average points per game or higher, this should help reduce their overall number of punts.
They will have Barkley back on the Giants’ side, who should help move the chains and sustain drives. The Buccaneers’ defense has been porous enough this season also to help Jones move the ball.
The line of 6.5 is perfect, and it will come right down to the wire, but I’ll take a chance on the Buccaneers limiting punts and the Giants leading the game in punts but also staying around their average, especially with Barkley back.