Best Rashee Rice Super Bowl Prop Bets To Make Today
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Rashee Rice, the former SMU standout, has emerged as the Kansas City Chiefs’ most potent pass-catcher not named Travis Kelce. In his three playoff contests this season, Rice has 20 catches for 223 yards and a touchdown on 25 targets.
His 938 receiving yards in the regular season puts him second among Chiefs’ rookies behind Dwayne Bowe’s 2007 season. His seven receiving touchdowns is a franchise record for a rookie.
While the Chiefs won last week, the Ravens defense successfully bottled up the passing offense. Mahomes only had 241 passing yards on 30-of-39 passing.
Baltimore’s defense (first in defense DVOA) may be better than San Francisco (fourth), but the Niners aren’t that far off. It’s best to err on the side of the defense in these extremely high-pressure games featuring two elite defenses.
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Rashee Rice Player Props
Rashee Rice: Under 9.5 Yards on First Catch ()
DraftKings Sportsbook • 2 Units
Sometimes it’s best to listen to bettors. Almost every player has negative odds for their Under on this bet category, but Rice has the worst odds.
It’s worth noting that Rice was limited to 46 yards on eight receptions last week against the Ravens. The rookie wideout averaged 11.9 yards per catch during the regular season and despite the aforementioned low yardage last week, he’s still averaging 11.1 yards per catch this postseason.
Patrick Mahomes hasn’t averaged more than 13.3 yards per completion in any game this season. As a point of comparison, Purdy is averaging 13.9 ypc this year and averaged more than 13.3 ypc in five of his last seven games.
Under 6.5 Receptions ()
bet365 Sportsbook • 1 Unit
In this contest featuring two top defenses, disjointed offensive play could result in a low-scoring affair. With that in mind, underperforming stats could be on the horizon for Rice.
In their last seven games, the 49ers have only allowed two receivers to collect seven or more receptions (Amon-Ra St. Brown last week and Zay Flowers in Week 16).
Under 21.5 Yards Longest Reception ()
BetMGM Sportsbook • 1 Unit
Again, working under the presumption this is a l0w-scoring game with underperforming offensive performances, this isn’t a big ask. Defenses have successfully bottled up Patrick Mahomes for most of the season, at least in the sense that secondaries are keeping everything in front of them and forcing consistent execution on player underneath the defense.
Rice has failed to meet this threshold in 10 of his 19 games. Mahomes is averaging career-lows with 10.4 yards per completion and 261.4 passing yards per game this season.
Plus, Mahomes is averaging career-lows in completed air yards per completion (4.1), completed air yards per pass attempt (2.7), yards per attempt (7), passing success rate (48.2), and the list goes on.
Super Bowl MVP ()
FanDuel Sportsbook • 1 Unit
If you disagree with my entire hypothesis that this will be low-scoring game and Rice is going to blow up, flip the narrative on its head and take the longshot MVP bet.
After all, in the wild-card round against the Miami Dolphins, the 23-year-old collected eight passes for 130 yards and a touchdown on 12 targets. That kind of performance could do it if Mahomes spreads the ball around and doesn’t also toss a ton of TDs.
Over the last five years, quarterbacks have won Super Bowl MVP three times, and wide receivers have won the other two (Julian Edelman, SB LIII and Cooper Kupp, SB LVI).
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