To close out the NFL Week 9 Sunday slate, we have the Seattle Seahawks coming off a bye week on the road against the Washington Commanders.
The Commanders can’t seem to stay healthy. They’ll have quarterback Jayden Daniels back, but wide receiver Terry McLaurin is out with a quad injury. Additionally, left tackle Laremy Tunsil was limited on Thursday with a hamstring injury.
The Seahawks possess one of the best offenses in the NFL, and thus, they’re favored heading into this game. If the season ended today, Seattle would win the NFC West and serve as the conference’s No. 4 seed.
Below, I have my top five SNF best bets, including an against the spread pick, an over/under play, and three player prop bets.
Best Sunday Night Football Bets for Seahawks vs Commanders
All NFL odds used for these SNF best bets are current as of Friday, Oct. 31, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Seahawks -3 (-105) @ Commanders
I’m taking the Seahawks -3 on the road to start off my best bets for Sunday Night Football.
The Seahawks may be the road team, but this offense will be extremely difficult for the Commanders to stop. The Seahawks average 27.6 points (tied for fifth) and 244.4 passing yards (eighth) per game.
Additionally, the Seahawks are fifth in the NFL in pressures (120), which doesn’t bode well for a Commanders offensive line that has a dinged-up left tackle.
Finally, the Commanders will be without wide receiver Terry McLaurin, which will limit their production. They may try to turn to the run game, but the Seahawks allow the fewest rushing yards (75.7 per game) in the NFL.
Seahawks @ Commanders: Under 47.5 Points (-108)
My main worry for the over here is the Commanders’ offense.
They’re without McLaurin, the Seahawks have a stiff run defense, and quarterback Jayden Daniels is coming off his second injury this season against a defense that is fifth in pressures.
The Commanders are averaging just 17.7 points per game over their last three outings, which ranks 23rd in the NFL in that span.
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Elijah Arroyo: Under 1.5 Receptions (+127)
This line opened at 2.5, and I would’ve felt much more comfortable with that, but I’ll stick with it at 1.5 and plus-money odds.
Over the last three weeks, Arroyo has had a team target share of just 9.2%, catching six passes for 58 yards.
His season-long team target share is 9.3%, which ranks fifth on the team, behind fellow tight end A.J. Barner.
Under 2.5 was a lot more comfortable, but Arroyo isn’t used much in the passing game. The Seahawks are also favored, so perhaps we could see them run the ball more as the game comes to an end, limiting Arroyo’s potential targets.
Jeremy McNichols: Under 17.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
McNichols has been the Commanders’ go-to guy out of the backfield for catching passes, but I’m taking the under on his receiving yards here.
In instances where Daniels is the quarterback, the Commanders are underdogs, and McLaurin, Austin Ekeler, and Robbie Chosen haven’t been on the field, McNichols has a team target share of just 9.1%, catching two passes on 19 routes.
In fact, Jacory Croskey-Merritt has more targets than he does in those cases. Plus, McNichols is averaging 16.1 receiving yards per game. I’ll lean under.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime TD (-115)
Finally, for the last of my SNF prop bets, I’m taking Smith-Njigba to score a touchdown.
The Commanders are allowing one receiving touchdown per game to wide receivers, and Smith-Njigba is far and away the most used receiver on the Seahawks, boasting a 38.3% target share.
He leads the NFL in receiving yards (819) and has scored in four of his last five games, including three straight.
I like his chances to find the end zone again here, making it my favorite of these best Sunday Night Football prop bets.
