Welcome to Week 10! I continued my break-even streak last week, but I’m still up overall on the season so I’ll call that a win for now.
There are a lot of good props out there this week that I think we can take advantage of to get back to our winning ways.
Let’s dig in and see what we can find!
All NFL gameday odds for Week 10 player prop bets are current as of November 12 at 4:00 p.m. ET.
Best NFL Player Props Week 10
Dallas Cowboys vs Atlanta Falcons
Amari Cooper Over 60.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at Caesars
Wager: 0.5 Unit
The Falcons defense has been much better against the pass as of late, but they’re still a defense that can be exposed. Enter Amari Cooper.
After a bit of a slow start to the season after a strong Week 1, Cooper has now seen 32 targets over his past four games and the yardage is starting to follow. This total isn’t a slam dunk for Cooper (see units), but he’ll have plenty of opportunity to hit what is a relatively low total.
Dak Prescott Under 301.5 Passing Yards (-115) at Caesars
Wager: 1 Unit
Dak Prescott has had a couple monster weeks this season, but he’s generally looked like something is a bit off as he’s only surpassed 300 passing yards in three of his seven games.
The Falcons have only been allowing 248.8 passing yards to opposing quarterbacks this season, so while Prescott could easily hit 250-plus, he’d have to have a bit of an outlier game to hit this yardage total.
Cordarrelle Patterson Under 43.5 Rushing Yards (+105) at Caesars
Wager: 1 Unit
Is Cordarrelle Patterson a running back or a wide receiver? The answer is both, but it’s more of the latter, and we can take advantage of that this week.
Patterson has only seen double-digit carries in two games this season, and he’s topped 40 yards on three occasions. Conversely, he’s been seeing more love as a receiver as of late, so while he’ll likely do some damage against the Cowboys this week, much of that should come through the air.
Best NFL Player Prop Bets to Make in Week 10
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Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets
Emmanuel Sanders Over 49.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at Caesars
Wager: 1 Unit
Outside of a goose egg two weeks ago, Emmanuel Sanders has been extremely consistent this season. That consistency includes six of eight games where he’s exceeded this yardage total.
He’s consistently seeing somewhere between five and eight targets each week, which is really all we need to hit 50-plus yards.
Josh Allen Over 33.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at Caesars
Wager: 1 Unit
Speaking of consistency, this is a yardage total that Josh Allen has topped in six of his last eight games as well. He’s run the ball at least five times in all but one game this season, and he’s topped forty yards in four of his last five games.
While it’s true that the Jets defense has improved from last season, they’re still a defense Allen can take advantage of with both his arms and legs.
Josh Allen has been an effective runner this season, rushing for at least 35 yards in six of his eight appearances. (Image: USA TODAY Sports)
Seattle Seahawks @ Green Bay Packers
DK Metcalf Over 69.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at Caesars
Wager: 1 Unit
DK Metcalf has had to deal without Russell Wilson for a few weeks, but actually hasn’t suffered that much. He’s still managed to put up respectable yardage totals with an underwhelming Geno Smith throwing him the ball, and he’ll look to get back on track this week now that Wilson is ready to go.
Wilson was targeting Metcalf often before he got hurt, so there’s no reason to think he won’t see high volume again this week.
Tyler Lockett Over 66.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at Caesars
Wager: 0.5 Unit
Outside of his last game, Tyler Lockett suffered even more from Wilson’s absence. He only topped 35 yards once while Wilson was out, so things can really only go up from here.
The yardage total isn’t a no-brainer (see units) against a tough Packers secondary, but the Seahawks are likely going to have to play from behind in this one, so Lockett should have plenty of chances to surpass a relatively low mark.
Best NFL Player Prop Bets Today
Best Bet: Jalen Hurts Over 201.5 Passing Yards (-115) at Caesars
Wager: 2 Units
I won’t lie and tell you that Jalen Hurts has been playing well lately. He hasn’t. But this is a low yardage total he should be able to hit against a middling Denver pass defense that is also now without their best pass rusher in Von Miller.
While Hurts’ lack of passing attempts as of late are a little worrisome, that’s also been a product of game script, so I think we have reason to think his passing volume will increase this week.
Best Bet: Adrian Peterson Over 33.5 Rushing Yards (+100) at Caesars
Wager: 2 Units
What year is it again? How is this man still playing?
We can answer those questions another time, but for now, I’m liking this low total after Adrian Peterson saw 10 carries in his first game of the season last week. He only put up 2.1 yards per carry, but both his carry total and yardage total should go up this week.
The Saints have a really good run defense, but 34-plus yards isn’t that high of a total, and it’s one well within Peterson’s reach, making this our NFL bet of the day.
Nick Raducanu’s 2021 NFL Props Betting Record: 25-26, +0.05 Units
Thanks for reading our NFL Week 10 Player Prop Bets! For more NFL betting tips, check out our NFL Week 10 Best Prop Bets.
