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College Football Predictions 2022-2023

Posted: Nov 28, 2022Last updated: Nov 28, 2022

After Michigan’s decisive 45-23 upset victory over Ohio State last weekend, the whole college football landscape has changed.

Georgia is now almost the consensus No. 1 team, and TCU and USC are playoff bound, assuming they win their conference championship games.

Below, I go over my predictions for the rest of the season.

College Football Playoff Pick

Finals: Ohio State defeats Michigan

Semifinalists: USC & Georgia

Outside of the beginning of the season, Georgia has been the betting favorite at BetMGM since January to win the CFB National Championship. They started the offseason as +200 favorites in January, and now they are -165 favorites heading into the conference championships.

The Bulldogs have the best chance of winning the championship, but betting-wise, their odds are too short.

For essentially a two-leg parlay, you are better off betting on Georgia to win the first semi-final game, and then carrying over your winnings for the National Championship game.


Continue reading after taking a look at the latest CFB lines:


That is why in terms of betting strategy, I am betting on both Ohio State and Michigan as I think they are the best value bets.

Ohio State is now the fifth-ranked team in the country, but if TCU and USC lose as narrow favorites in their conference championship games, then they are likely in the CFP. I think TCU will lose, and Ohio State sneaks into the playoffs with the fourth seed.

In a semi-final game against Georgia, Ohio State should be a small underdog, and I think they will win. If that is the case, OSU will face off against the winner of the Michigan/USC game.

USC should be in the CFP if they win the Pac-12, but Michigan will easily beat them. In a hypothetical National Championship game between Michigan and Ohio State, I believe that OSU wins the rematch.

Heisman Trophy winner

C.J. Stroud, QB, Ohio State University

After Ohio State fell to Michigan, Caleb Williams of USC became the Heisman favorite. The typical Heisman winner plays for a national contender, usually at quarterback, and is one of the best players in the country.

Ohio State and USC are national contenders, but USC is currently on track to make the CFP while OSU is on the outside looking in. USC might slip into the CFP like a Trojan Horse, but Ohio State has a better reputation this season.

The Buckeyes have played much tougher competition than the Trojans. When you look at Stroud and Williams’ numbers, Williams has only done slightly better against much easier competition.

That is why I believe that Stroud could win the Heisman as a 20-1 underdog.

CFB Conference Champions

  • ACC: Clemson
  • Big 10: Michigan
  • Big 12: Kansas State
  • Pac-12: USC
  • SEC: Georgia
  • American: Tulane
  • Conference USA: UTSA
  • MAC: Ohio
  • Mountain West: Fresno State
  • Sun Belt: Troy

This weekend we have 10 exciting conference championship games. Half of them have a favorite of 3.5 points or less. The other half have favorites of eight points or more.

The chalk should win in the lopsided games, although Coastal Carolina has a chance to beat Troy in the Sun Belt Conference Championship.

In the close games, I believe that we will see some upsets.

For the Power 5 conferences, Clemson, Ohio State, and Georgia should win their conference championship games as heavy favorites. USC should beat Utah, but that game will be a nail bitter.

I predict that the most consequential Power 5 conference championship game will be in the Big 12, where Kansas State will upset TCU.

For the Group of Five conferences, I am most bullish on Ohio beating Toledo in the MAC. Additionally, I like Fresno State in the Mountain West Conference Championship and Tulane in the American Conference Championship game.

Author

Kevin Davis

Kevin Davis is a Betting Analyst at The Game Day residing in Hoboken, NJ. Previously a Bronx resident, Kevin got his start betting on sports at his local Bronx barbershop. When sports betting was legalized across the river in Jersey, Kevin was there on the ground floor making regular trips to the Hoboken PATH station or for soup dumplings in Fort Lee. Previously, Kevin has written for The Action Network, and Vegas Insider.

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